UK spring/summer 2026

[UK_Palms]

I figure I better start up one of these threads as I have a feeling it may be a dramatic year.

Anyway, it has been pretty warm here. Wales had 25-26C today and I had 22C here.

Tomorrow it will be 26C / 79F in London…

The fires are already back with a vengeance, despite many places having the wettest winter on record. The past few weeks have been pretty dry and warm however.

5 active fires at the time of writing this, but it is the Marsden wildfire has been wrecking havoc. All the roads in the area shut off. Helicopters coming in tomorrow.

 

We will see what the maximum is tomorrow in London. I would say 25-26C but it may reach 27C. I have a feeling the fires will be out of control the next few days…

[Chester B]

Time to plant some trees and cull some deer.

How does the upcoming Super El Nino typically affect the UK?

[Foxpalms]

I recorded 80.4f/26.9c with 35% humidity. I’m guessing St James’s Park would likely have been the warmest official station if it was working. Highest official temp was 26.6c at Kew Gardens. It’s been a very warm April evening, 66f almost 19c just after midnight. 

[SeanK]

26° is pretty warm for so early in the season.

[UK_Palms]

On 4/8/2026 at 9:19 PM, Chester B said:

Time to plant some trees and cull some deer.

How does the upcoming Super El Nino typically affect the UK?

I have been keeping tabs on the ENSO cycle. El Nino summers are typically on the cooler side and unsettled, with more rain. Some of the worst summers in recent decades have been during El Nino summers. Specifically neutral ENSO in spring that transitions into El Nino by May-June, almost always results in a lacklustre, cool, damp summer. But there aren't a huge amount of moderate-strong El Nino summers to use in an analog/case-study.

The Csb warm-summer Med summers usually fall during La Nina or ENSO neutral conditions, generally speaking. But there is no set formula to it. There are lots of other background drivers that influence things and also there are twice as many La Nina years as El Nino to use in a case study. Some analogs and predictions actually has it being pretty warm and dry here. So at this point, no idea what we get. We could get anything really.

I am going to throw my neck out on the line and say we are going to get a blazing hot and fairly dry summer. Seeing 1976 come up in certain analogs always fills me with hope. 🤣

 

How has this spring been for you guys in Houston? Warm/hot? Dry/wet?

[UK_Palms]

23 hours ago, Foxpalms said:

I recorded 80.4f/26.9c with 35% humidity. I’m guessing St James’s Park would likely have been the warmest official station if it was working. Highest official temp was 26.6c at Kew Gardens. It’s been a very warm April evening, 66f almost 19c just after midnight. 

 

It is a disgrace that the St James Park station has been offline for 2-3 months now! Goodness knows how warm it would have recorded yesterday, but I suspect at least 27C there. I screenshotted the PWS’s near to it. Look how warm they were, although it is central London with UHI.

 

I had 26C here…

 

I see some places managed 23-24C today as well. I had 22C here at 1pm but a cold front came in and dropped it back down to 15C by 5pm this afternoon. Like the Fremantle Doctor. Very windy as well.

How is this for crazy as well… Barcelona in Spain hasn’t recorded a temperature above 21C yet this spring. Yet. And London has already had 26-27C.

[Chester B]

27 minutes ago, UK_Palms said:

How has this spring been for you guys in Houston? Warm/hot? Dry/wet?

Above normal temps and below normal precipitation. One good one bad.  
 

Predictions are a wet fall/winter with a scorcher of a summer for 2027.