What is your current yard temperature?

[UK_Palms]

Temp in the 30’s C here yesterday and not a cloud in the sky. However today is totally cloudy and only 25C / 77F here.

Northern England is probably dealing with one of its biggest wildfires in decades in North Yorkshire…

 

It looks like some parts of Hampshire and Dorset are running on about 5mm / 0.2 inches of rainfall for this entire summer. It’s just an absolute tinderbox. Some areas may be drier than the 2022 summer even. Photo taken yesterday during VJ memorial. Provisionally no rain there this August… 

 

Might be waiting until September for some rain…

 

Driest places this August out to the 16th…

 

Monthly data for August so far in southeast England where the Csb is heavily pronounced. The Met station at Manston in Kent has had no measurable rainfall after the first 16 days of August. London Heathrow has racked up 0.6mm from a thunderstorm.

[JohnAndSancho]

This is so old. It's been in the mid-high 90s during the day and mid 70s at night for a while, except one night got into the high 60s - that was glorious. Dew points in the 70s so it's insanely humid, but hardly any rain all summer. The crape myrtles are shedding leaves like crazy and I don't know if that's something they do after they bloom, or if it's from the drought. I sweat like a hog at anything near or above 80 now thanks to these pills, so I'm miserable. 

[UK_Palms]

Slipping into dangerous levels of drought here now. Many places in southeast England are still on 0.1mm / 0.004 inches for August after 24 days. It is really approaching 2022 levels now. London Heathrow is still on 0.6mm / 0.02 inches after 24 days of August.

 

This is what my neck of the woods looks like now…

 

The reservoirs in northern England are lower than 2022 now…

Fires out of control…

 

Expecting 30C / 85F tomorrow… we will see how that goes given the state of affairs… 😬

 

[UK_Palms]

Maxed out at 29.1C / 84F here on Monday.

 

It looks like London Heathrow is only on 113mm / 4.44 inches of rainfall over the past 6 months since March 1st. That is the spring and summer combined total so far. August total remains at 0.6mm / 0.02 inches for now.

There is just a wall of flames near Whitby in Yorkshire tonight. That needs a water drop from a plane, not a helicopter. Thousands upon thousands of hectares are going up in flames. Nearby Langdale has been burning for 15 days straight and now this…

 

Major problems in Wales as well. This is one of several fires there…

I don’t know why they haven’t just converted some water bomber planes after the 2022 ordeal. In many ways, this year is almost worse than that one. Tens of thousands of hectares have been lost that could have been saved with water bomber planes, not to mention all the boots on the ground that it has required. 🙄

These are active fires in Western Europe…

[sandgroper]

Yesterday was officially the coldest August day on record in Perth with a maximum temperature of 11.1c, it was also the coldest day recorded in 50 years.  Very unpleasant.

[Silas_Sancona]

After -quite- the afternoon " duster " ..and some decent rain -finally- ..to rinse off all the grit..  ...And the 30 deg drop in temps as the winds roared in

Partly cloudy, 78F,  ...w/ a Dew Point in the low 70s / Humidity at 80% at 12:54AM..

Window open  kind of night?.. Definitely

...We'll see if there's any more gas left in the tank for a few extra drops, n' bolts after the sun comes up. 

[Mazat]

9 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

After -quite- the afternoon " duster " ..and some decent rain -finally- ..to rinse off all the grit..  ...And the 30 deg drop in temps as the winds roared in

Partly cloudy, 78F,  ...w/ a Dew Point in the low 70s / Humidity at 80% at 12:54AM..

Window open  kind of night?.. Definitely

...We'll see if there's any more gas left in the tank for a few extra drops, n' bolts after the sun comes up. 

That is indeed an enormous drop in temperature...

We had experienced this in Egypt's desert back then during the day 45 degrees Celsius and more and then at night around 9 degrees Celsius 

Hope you're doing well so far 🤔

This morning it was 11 degrees Celsius here and then later in the afternoon almost 30 degrees Celsius... and high humidity, but it was fine ...

[UK_Palms]

18.7C / 64F at 8:30am here. 🌡️

Rain is coming, soon, as well as cooler temperatures, but in the meantime the Langdale wildfire is becoming one of the worst that I have ever seen here. Probably the worst fire ever in northern England, or at least it will be before this is over. I can see Pyrocumulus clouds above it.

[Mazat]

On 8/27/2025 at 9:49 AM, UK_Palms said:

18.7C / 64F at 8:30am here. 🌡️

Rain is coming, soon, as well as cooler temperatures, but in the meantime the Langdale wildfire is becoming one of the worst that I have ever seen here. Probably the worst fire ever in northern England, or at least it will be before this is over. I can see Pyrocumulus clouds above it.

Bad, bad...
We can only hope that it finally rains, and not just a few drops.

[Silas_Sancona]

96F on the way to the low 100s later under passing clouds and ...maybe... a  passing sprinkle /  iso. shower later, esp. west of the valley..

Final weekend of Meto- Summer looking ..pretty typical..  Warming a little, but nothing crazy.  Any opportunities for rain stay up in the mountains / over S.E' rn AZ.


Beyond the long weekend ahead, as September and Meteorological Fall arrives, maybe another boost in rain chances for the lower deserts ..and, ....what's that being dangled toward the end of today's forecast window?  ..A stretch of sub - 100 highs / mid / upper 70F lows?...  We'll see..





Looking quite nice in Tucson, ...if this forecast " carrot " pans out..




Further west?.. Nice fetch of moisture being pulled north / north east across S. Cal. today from ..what was Tropical Storm Juliette.  Better opportunity for some showers across those areas compared to anywhere east of Blythe / Parker,  and Yuma. 

Clearing out, but staying warm for the weekend out there. 



Orange circle = large wildfire in the Sierra south of Lake Tahoe..


All in all? ..Pretty typical Labour Day weekend ahead across the region. 

[JohnAndSancho]

Nice. 

 

Plus it's finally rained. 

[OutpostPalms]

It’s cloudy and only 80F here in Bay St Louis MS. 
This morning I recorded 5.7” of rain in a 5 hour span which was accompanied by a power outage that lasted over an hour. 

[Mazat]

Currently 19.6 degrees Celsius / 67.28 degrees Fahrenheit, rising, humidity 83%, and cloudy.

The weather forecast, if it is accurate:

[UK_Palms]

On 8/28/2025 at 11:33 AM, Mazat said:

Bad, bad...
We can only hope that it finally rains, and not just a few drops.

They have dodged a bullet in Yorkshire with the rain arriving just in time to put the breaks on that fire just as evacuations were taking place. Next time they won’t get so lucky. While the fire is now fully contained, it is still ongoing at day 22. They should have used planes to drop water on day 2 or 3. Instead it was allowed to explode in size at day 16.

You can see the flames encroaching on properties/residential areas as several bands of rain arrived to dampen things down. If that rain came a day later, houses would have been lost…

On another note, I had some Aurora here last night…

[Mazat]

1 hour ago, UK_Palms said:

They have dodged a bullet in Yorkshire with the rain arriving just in time to put the breaks on that fire just as evacuations were taking place. Next time they won’t get so lucky. While the fire is now fully contained, it is still ongoing at day 22. They should have used planes to drop water on day 2 or 3. Instead it was allowed to explode in size at day 16.

You can see the flames encroaching on properties/residential areas as several bands of rain arrived to dampen things down. If that rain came a day later, houses would have been lost…

On another note, I had some Aurora here last night…

Absolutely, Ben.

Sometimes I don't understand why necessary steps are not taken when the situation is already extremely precarious.

It's irresponsible and also life-threatening.

And there's no guarantee that the insurance company will always pay out. Possible damage must be contained as far as possible ...

[Silas_Sancona]

86F and still humid w a Dew Point in the mid 60s  after staying under clouds most of the day..   After last night's flash show n' dust..



....Kind of disappointed tho ..I mean,  we were supposed to be screwed today..




Yupp, washed up Johnny Depple-gager crawled out of the storm drain again today to scare everyone.  

Soooo screwed....  


 

[Silas_Sancona]

81F  headed for the first  sub -75F low of the back half of the year. Could it actually drop  below  70 by dawn?


Nice taste of why we live here over the weekend, ..and next week ( nights esp. ) 

Some more rain by later next week? ..Tropically influenced / enhanced perhaps???  ..We'll see.  What heat might amp up early next week gets put back in it's place by next weekend again,  regardless of it decides to rain or not. 



Not too bad as we cruise thru September ...About time to get back out on the trails 

[Silas_Sancona]

97F headed for the 99 - 103F range a little later...

Clear ..and a touch warmer thru Wednesday, before ....Somethin interesting unfolds across the S.W. by the end of the week.


While Monsoon Season itself may be winding down, September ( ....And sometimes early - mid October )  is " Transition and Tropical Storm Season "

..That time of year when the Subtrop. / 4- corners high is steadily migrating further south and east, back into Mexico in response to shortening day length,  and the Polar Jet across the N.E. Pac. starts coming back to life ..and slowly sinking further south. 

 Sandwiched in between?  Tropical systems that continue to form off the western / Southwestern side of Mexico can get caught up between the two bigger  atmospheric patterns that define the seasons in this part of the world. 

While many still " escape " and head west out into the Pacific,  if the setup is right, individual systems ..or the moisture associated with one... can get dragged north into either CA., AZ,  ..and/or N.M and W. TX. 

Weekend ahead looks like an ideal set up for dragging  a majority of moisture associated with currently Tropical Storm Mario north / north east into CA and AZ. 



If a suggested trough expected to be positioned west of Oregon / Washington by mid week hangs over the Pacific long enough, moisture from Mario could bring significant ( for September ) rainfall to most of CA. instead of being confined to just S. Central and S. CA. 

Could bring a good soaking here as well, depending on other factors that may  ...or may not..  help that moisture hang around for a few days across state 48.  


Mario may not be the only Tropical / transitional season - related  moisture surge we might get in on as we head for the end of the month either..  Formation of at least 2 tropical systems off Mexico is possible before September ends.  



That could cancel out the 103+ highs suggested toward the end of the current 10 forecast thoughts. 



Me myself?..  happily welcome any flooding rainfall we can get 



Something interesting to watch as the week progresses for sure. 



Daniel Swain ( WX West ) will have a live YT session to discuss his thoughts on things tomorrow afternoon. 


 

[JohnAndSancho]

Don't judge me for taking the pic while driving. The light turned green during my camera's countdown. 

[Silas_Sancona]

97F at 10:48AM under increasing high / mid level clouds,  on the way to the low 100's later ..Depending on how much cloud cover hangs around or fills in thru the remainder of the day.  Humidity at 34% / Dew Point currently sitting at 60 deg. 

Contrast that w/ Yuma which currently sits at 94F w/ their humidity sitting in the mid 50s / Dew Point at 73 degs..  Some hot soup down there.

Showers / storms still on the way over the next 24 - 36 hours, though total extant and potential rainfall amounts are still all over the place. Regardless, temps will pull back to the 90s for a few days..


As can be seen on the current True Color Sat.,  what is left of Mario is currently working its way north toward Southern and coastal Cen. Cal.  where rainfall / storm chances will be greatest. 

How much? Will everyone get a soaking?   ..Like the forecast here, tough call on exactly who will get what. That said, highest P. Wat values will be over CA so, ..some areas could get a good soaking if storms are extensive instead of isolated and mainly confined to the mountains.. 




As long as increasing high cloudiness doesn't totally shade everything out by sunset, should be a great day for catching it later across both Cen. and S. Cal...  For the more adventurous? could be a great opportunity for getting shots of storms rolling over the coastal waters, esp. down south this evening too.

Further north, leading edge of Mario's moisture plume is sparking scattered storms over the mountains N.E. of Santa Barbara / Ventura and offshore of the Central Coast ..on it's way to the Bay Area.  You too may see some storm / shower chances, though majority of storms up there may be dry. 




Here / across S. AZ. / N.M. ?   smattering of high and mid level clouds rolling through w/ a few storms starting to form over the mountains east and south of PHX and across the Sierra Madre Occ. in Sonora and Chihuahua. 



Small " swirl " seen on Sat. down in far S.W. Chihuahua  ( Near the lower right hand corner on the Sat. loop )  may enhance storm development across S' rn Sonora/ N. Sinaloa  later.    Outflow / Gravity waves generated by storm activity down there may  ..or may not..  influence storm chances across S. AZ by this evening / overnight  as it is drawn N.W' ward in the overall mid / low level steering flow across the region currently. 

 Steering flow is pretty weak, so maybe it washes out / influence from it stays south of the border.

 

[JohnAndSancho]

Oh my god it actually rained for like 3 minutes. Just enough to make it hotter and more humid outside, like the daily afternoon showers in Florida. We used to joke that it'd only rain long enough to make it smell like rain. 

[Hu Palmeras]

19 hours ago, JohnAndSancho said:

¡Dios mío! Llovió como tres minutos. Lo justo para que hiciera más calor y más humedad afuera, como los chaparrones diarios de Florida. Solíamos bromear diciendo que solo lloviznaría lo suficiente para que oliera a lluvia. 

In my area, forest fires occur in the summer, but it rains a lot in the winter. I should protect my palm trees.

[Mazat]

We had a maximum temperature of exactly 31.1 degrees Celsius / 87.98 degrees Fahrenheit today, which was really high down in the community garden and at my colleague's professional Davis weather station about 350 meters away, where it was exactly the same. So in that sense, it's true.
In addition, the humidity was quite high.

[JohnAndSancho]

1 hour ago, Mazat said:

We had a maximum temperature of exactly 31.1 degrees Celsius / 87.98 degrees Fahrenheit today, which was really high down in the community garden and at my colleague's professional Davis weather station about 350 meters away, where it was exactly the same. So in that sense, it's true.
In addition, the humidity was quite high.

That's about how hot it is in my "greenhouse" with 68% humidity. 😬

 

It's 97° outside so it feels like the same, except outside there's breezes and it's not so confined so it doesn't feel as bad. 

[Mazat]

Currently, we have just under 14 degrees Celsius / 57.2 degrees Fahrenheit in the communal garden.
And this is what the forecast looks like:

[Silas_Sancona]

90 ..and apparently  Rapture - free  on your final September Tuesday. 


A little warmer today - Thursday, before ...what is looking like a pretty nice cool down ...and maybe some rain????  by the weekend ahead  as Monsoon season 2025 drags itself across the finish line..



Will that be the last of any rain chances as October arrives?  ..we'll see..


For today though.. 



..Or is it..

[Silas_Sancona]

87F and a touch humid ( 57 deg. Dew Point ) at 10:42PM..  Could we flirt w/ a record tomorrow? ..We'll see..  Drier than the past several days for sure.. Thursday? ..could be about as hot (  ..as mentioned earlier, )  or, slightly cooler, if moisture starts being pulled north from the Gulf of CA faster than is currently forecast. 

Part of what will determine how quickly this bump in temps hangs around, let alone if ..or how much..  rain we might see as the end of the week arrives  ..is this..


Nice, well defined Upper Level low starting to get it's act together on satellite atm  ..and generating quite a lot of thunderstorm activity off the Cen. CA. Coast, and areas near Pt. Conception / Santa Barbara atm. 



Will this be a September 23-24, 1990 - esque setup for the Bay Area?  bring storms to the Cen. Valley?,  ..and / or bring scattered overnight storms across more of greater coastal S. Cal?  ..We'll see.  

 

[OutpostPalms]

On 8/29/2025 at 3:37 PM, OutpostPalms said:

It’s cloudy and only 80F here in Bay St Louis MS. 
This morning I recorded 5.7” of rain in a 5 hour span which was accompanied by a power outage that lasted over an hour. 

After this post it didn’t rain for 27 days. Finally got 0.17” for our first September rainfall. Also 77F at dawn this morning was very summer like but a cold front is coming over and we might see under 70F tomorrow morning. Daytime highs still in the upper 80s. 

[Silas_Sancona]

93F and headed down.......  At 8:22PM w/ scattered clouds and an outflow boundary in the area..  If it doesn't kick off a few scattered storms / showers as it passes through the valley over the next few hours, rain and storm chances will ramp up as we approach Sunrise.. 


How much will we get?

..When it comes to precip. generated by Upper Level Lows,  it is hard to pin down how everything might play out until we see where the greatest forcing and upper level diffluence is setting up in the AM hours tomorrow..  

Could get soaked, ...or see most of the good rains stay east or north..   Hopefully, ..we get soaked..  If not? could be the last good shot at rainfall for awhile..


Regardless, temps dive  ..and stay down thru the upcoming weekend.    Could see the Falls' first sub -70F lows too. 




May heat up a little toward the end of next week,  but nights stay perfect.. 




Interesting Sunset set up side note:

Looking south tonight, only thing in view is this impressive looking mountain of clouds towering above the southern horizon.. 

Since most of the storm activity today has been further east, it was interesting that this storm popped where it did.


Looking at satellite, that storm? = ..sits due south of the border in Mexico.. 

Absolutely no large clouds between where it sits and my driveway.. 




Hospital buildings hide any of the storms that were racing across Tucson at the same time. 



Being to see this beast well inside Mexico, from my driveway = Pretty neat.

[Silas_Sancona]

After a pretty wild weekend of heavy rain, bring pelted by dime to quarter - sized hail, flooding, and " spin-y stuff " ( on Friday ) back to quiet and seasonably hot days / perfect evenings as both September ...and Monsoon Season 2025.. wrap up.. 

Temps head up a little more thru the week, before falling back again over the weekend ahead..  Maybe some mid / lower 60s overnights as well..




While rain is out of the picture for the moment,  things may not stay totally dry as we head toward mid month.. E. Pac. may have enough juice in the tank to aim a couple more Tropical systems at Southern and/or Central  Baja ( ..Or flirting w/S. Cal. again. ) ..which in turn could bring more rain to state 48, ...and parts of CA... over the next couple weeks ..If what is being presented on a many of the model runs over the last few days is to be believed.. 

Pacific itself is also somewhat active atm bringing some early season rainfall chances to both Central and N. Cal..

We'll see if or how all the moving parts come together ( ..or don't ) to bring more warm season rain chances to the desert..


Regardless, at least there are no no big October  heatwaves lurking on the immediate horizon.. Just your standard fare, fall season weather in the desert.  Touch warm for the mid day hike, Perfect if on the trails in the morning / evenings. ..Or,  up in the mountains anywhere across the state. 




With this year in the bag,  will be posting the preliminary Monsoon season rainfall totals over in the Monsoon thread soon..  

Needless to say, .. " The Strange Effect " couldn't have been a more fitting title this year. 

[Silas_Sancona]

100F at 4:42PM  under wall to wall late afternoon early October sun.. Little warm but not bad..  'Nother day just cracking the 100F mark before a nice cool down for the weekend .." Cool "  = low 90s / nights dipping into the 60s locally this time of year here..

Slightly warmer again to start next week before... the potential for heavy rain???



Lots of hints in all the recent day to day model runs of something bringing back the possibility of rain to the deserts sometime after mid week next week.. 

*Could a 2.5" - 6" soaker be looming on our horizon,  or do the best chances for any degree of a good soaking stay just to our west,  north  ..or east??

*Could we see a legit tropical system cross into AZ? ( ..Been quite some time since one has btw. )

Both are tough to answer questions this far out.. 

Regardless, More  clouds = temps will get pulled down again to -at least- the low 90's by that time..  Wetter outcome to the forecast at that time? = the potential for our first stretch of 80s of the fall. 



Today's 6 -10 and 8 -14 day thoughts..  As usual, what you see now, will change between now and Wednesday but, even the suggestion of a 50 - 70% chance of above normal rainfall painted across the state / region, this time of the year,  is something to monitor closely.  


6 - 10 day: 





8 - 14 day:





...We'll see how things evolve over the next few days as we enjoy a nice weekend ahead...

[Chester B]

95f the last couple of days.  The heat doesn’t seem to want to let up. 

[Silas_Sancona]

68 and dropping at 10:13PM...  Could we notch the first sub -60F low of the fall tonight ...or perhaps tomorrow??  We'll see..

Perfect regardless.

Ditch the couch and yack box tomorrow,  Get out and get the legs moving..  Check the scores at 10:20PM. 


Another bump up  currently suggested as the new week arrives,  Maybe skirting 100 again by late week,   ....before???




Our next shot at rain chances??  



ATM, models, all of them,   are all- over- the- place- regarding those chances.. 

* Where will whatever is left of Priscilla end up? 

* Will a cut off low suggested to form off Cen or S. Cal.  be in the right  ...or wrong..  position  at the same time? 


* Or,  .....Could it be the remnants of a potential Tropical system that might develop  after  Priscilla that gets the job done,  -if it even forms?




* ....Or   ....Do we get nuthin'  ( Nuthin ='s  Priscilla's remnants / remnants of whatever might form later aim more west, ...more toward CA ..or even out in the Pacific?   ...or dodge the Southwestern U.S. entirely, and head more into Chihuahua / Durango and somewhere across TX? ) ..

Got time, but,  ...we'll see.   



Gotta love the weather..




>>Speaking of which..  Musings on the up coming winter across the best part of the lower 48 soon. 


.....Could the " strange effect " have a cool season remix?   


We shall see...




 

[Silas_Sancona]

81F at 10:23AM,  headed for the lower 90s later...

Looking at those rain chances as we inch closer to the suggested time frame in the 10 day,  yanked from the 10 day on Saturday,  hoisted again today...



Will we see ...potentially... 6 days straight of rain chances?  ..Think that is likely overblown / too optimistic  ....but, such an outcome can't be tossed in the trash, just yet,  either.. 

Compared to thoughts from most of the forecast model runs,  WX U's. current " rainfall total " suggestions are quite conservative. 

Looking beyond it's thoughts,  Throwing all thoughts on the subject in a jar,  giving it a stir,  and picking an average total of what we might see,  1.2" - 2.6" seems to fit the range of low to high end possibility for the valley right now ..if everything comes together as is currently suggested.. That too may lean a tad conservative as well.

Regardless, our brief, early week warm up will quickly get the axe by Friday ..if not sooner... if  thicker cloudcover and any showers arrive before Friday..



This round of Tropically- influenced / Transition season rain chances might be the last opportunity we see either..



While the signal fades a little as rain chances end here,  if accurate, current GEFS OLR  Anom.  forecasts re- intensify the wetter / cloudier MJO  signal across Mexico, Central America, and portions of the Caribbean in about 6 or so days, reaching peak intensity ( of that signal ) by day 15.



Obviously,  ...since it can change numerous times in 15 days,   what is suggested today isn't something to hang a hat on. 

That said,  ...typically at least, when that signal is present over Mexico, it is a sign of increased odds for some deg. of tropical cyclogenesis. 



W/ plenty of warmer than avrg. water still present off the Pacific side of Mexico  ...and most of the U.S. West Coast atm,  moisture from any tropical system that forms close enough to Baja Sur as we head later into October will have a better chance of being directed toward CA and the Southwest. 

SOTO ( State Of The Ocean ) SST data as of Oct. 5th:



Will that happen?? 

..You know the answer.. 

Wait  ..and ...see.


For now?  ..We'll see if a good, multi day soaking is on our doorstep..

[Chester B]

91F at 1pm here in Houston.  Still holding onto the heat and could really use some rain.

[Silas_Sancona]

97F at 11:50 AM w/ scattered clouds increasing in coverage.  Could today be the last 95F+ day for ..at least.. a week??

Depending on just how " cloudy " things turn out tomorrow, and on Friday,  highs on both days may not reach the currently suggested numbers. 


At the same time?.. While there's still some wavering on totals ( Tropically enhanced moisture surges are notoriously tough to forecast, esp. here ), weekend ahead continues to look pretty wet. 

Slim chance an iso. shower or gusty outflow surge wanders west off the mountains east of the valley later this afternoon / evening if storms manage to build across the Whte Mtns. today. 




Rain chances may extend into the start of next week, depending on where the majority of moisture from a weak tropical system that may track up the Gulf / W. Sonora, into AZ and S. N.M. by that time.

If the bulk of moisture from it gets stuck across S.E. AZ, rather than making it up our way / further north toward Flagstaff, they could see quite a lot of rain Sunday - Tues. before everything quiets down. 


Should mention that while chances have been scaled back ...compared to some earlier thoughts,  good chunk of S. Cal ..from roughly Los Angeles to San Diego.. may see some showers / iso to scattered storm activity Friday and Sat. 

 

[JohnAndSancho]

[Silas_Sancona]

3 days of heavy mainly overnight / morning rain and warm / cloudy / humid days =   ..if this is what June through October is like in Mazatlan or Puerto Vallarta  ..Where do i sign up to move, lol...   Last 3 days would have = a perfect summer this year had we seen similar events like this back in July and August.  

While we might not have received some of the crazy high rainfall totals that had been suggested earlier last week,  PHX itself shattered numerous daily rainfall records that last couple days and reached 4th wettest October status.  Easily the wettest start to the winter rainy season in several years.  I also don't remember it raining so hard over the course of 3 days that sizable chunks of both yards briefly flooded. 

W/ more sun / better heating in the AM hours today,  rain / storm chances hang around thru the rest of today on this side of town before everything dries out starting tomorrow..

As things dry out here, big, early season N. Pac. storm will work it's way thru Cen / S. Cal today bringing a good dose of rain for many areas ..and Snow ( For the Sierras ) today - Wed.. 

Another somewhat weaker storm may bring more showers / another round of snow in the Sierras to -at least- N. and Cen. CA over the weekend / early next week. 

Here? influence from the trough associated w/ the CA storm as it hangs out across the Great Basin will keep temps in the perfect zone...  70s to low 80s by day,  Mid / upper 50s to the low 60s over night.. 




Areas higher up on the rim, like Flagstaff, may see their first sub 32F lows this week as well.  Tis' the season..




As far as any more rain ..from the Tropics??..  Models aren't seeing anything yet but,  ..That isn't to say the door is closing just yet either..

OLR related MJO signal thoughts today seem to hang on to the wet / cloudy signal across Mexico / Gulf of Mexico / Caribbean  for the next 2 weeks  ...so, perhaps some gas left in the tank as we head for the second half of the month??








Excluding whatever falls today, Fri -Sunday rainfall totals for the area ..and beyond ( Rainlog.org data )



Maricopa CO FCD Rainfall totals:






















Rainlog.org data:  4.00 - 5.40" of rain near the house, in under 72 hours? = ..Not bad at all. 




















Pretty darn impressive totals for 3 days though Tucson / far S.E. AZ didn't get the heavier rainfall they'd expected.. 

Regardless,  Heavy rain events like this in October / Nov. = how some of our really good  winter / spring season wildflower seasons here got started. 

We'll see how things progress moving forward..

[JohnAndSancho]

I absolutely hate this time of year in the south. It'll be like 85 during the day and 40s and night. Run the AC all day and run the heater once the sun goes down. All the tender stuff is inside on the bench, everything else is cool outside for another month or so. 

[JohnAndSancho]

60°s all day long and this. I thought it'd be a good day to work in my faux greenhouse some more but instead I think it's a good day to nap some more.