What is your current yard temperature?

[Foxpalms]

Low of 44f/6.6c under clear extremely calm skies last with a high of 73f/22.7c with 13% humidity. This in the second day in a row the humidity has been under 20%, desert like weather. I’m having to flood the garden with water in the morning and evening to keep certain plants growing/staying alive. UV was a 6.  The temp hasn’t dropped as fast tonight and it’s currently 56g/13.3c at 1.20am. Next week the day temps look pretty good high 60s low 70s and the nights start to warm up to the low 50s consistently. The average high for April so far has been 17.1c here and will continue to climb.

[UK_Palms]

Nice peaceful night.

2 hours ago, Foxpalms said:

Low of 44f/6.6c under clear extremely calm skies last with a high of 73f/22.7c with 13% humidity. This in the second day in a row the humidity has been under 20%, desert like weather. I’m having to flood the garden with water in the morning and evening to keep certain plants growing/staying alive. UV was a 6.  The temp hasn’t dropped as fast tonight and it’s currently 56g/13.3c at 1.20am. Next week the day temps look pretty good high 60s low 70s and the nights start to warm up to the low 50s consistently. The average high for April so far has been 17.1c here and will continue to climb.

Chilly 5.1C here at 3am under clear skies after a max of 23.1C. Humidity down to 10% here earlier.

The state of those fires in Northern Ireland tonight. Absolute infernos.

 

 

[Foxpalms]

Min of 50f/10c with a high of 72.1f/22.3c with 28% humidity. Which slowly rose late this afternoon as the clouds came in. It drizzled for a very short time this evening and that was it for rain! Uv was a 6.5. London Heathrow up to 17.3c as the average high with 4.4mm of rain this month which is slightly higher than here. 
 

[Silas_Sancona]

A nice 78F at 10:58AM on the final Tuesday of April..  Headed for somewhere in the mid / upper 80s later w/ an increase in high clouds edging into local skies thru the afternoon and evening. 


Little warmer tomorrow w/ more clouds around but still pretty reasonable for late April.  

Rest of the week looking ..about the same.. Bump up to the mid / upper 90s possible as we start May, before another system ..that currently looks dry for the valley..   shaves off a few degs again for the start of next week. 

If the system scheduled to pass thru southern AZ tomorrow / Thursday,  or the system forecast after that manages to squeeze out anything wet locally,  it will likely be similar to the random, spit -zy sprinkles that passed through town a couple days ago. 







After a pretty remarkable March that saw wayy more of them than anyone would have thought was possible,  it's pretty remarkable that in April, when you'd expect to start seeing them, we will end the month with NO 100F readings. Yeah, there's two days left in the month but,  ..Ain't gonna touch the century mark on either day.








As May   ...and the final month of Met. Spring...   arrives,  first 5 -8 days could see some deg. of a continuation of April's " up and down " / " subdued heat "  pattern as a few more troughs passing through N. Cal.,  and /or the Great Basin may help keep a lid on a quick resurgence of any big heat here..

While it's just a couple runs,  so far,    some hints are starting to show up in some of the WX Model thinking suggesting that the   .." reasonable " break we've been enjoying after the massive melt down we saw in March,  may be about to flip  ..perhaps as abruptly as it did in March by the time we reach the 10th -12th of next month.. 

Yes, ..while much can < and will likely > change < repeatedly > by that time, just as occurred before March turned sizzling,  when you start seeing hints, you start paying attention   ..Unless you're the kind of human who enjoys always being caught with their shorts down. 

..Anyway..

Scare- cast thought for now, to be tossed in the trash soon?,    ..or ..   ..a hint to eye ball periodically,  to stay ahead of what may lie ahead??  

This morning's 006Z GFS at 378 hours.. 2m temp thoughts..

While mid - 100F readings in May aren't exactly crazy,   after a   ..pretty mild..    April,   abrupt resumption of 105 /105+ heat might catch some folks by surprise / burn some stuff a little. 





500mb anomaly thoughts.. 





12z thoughts from the GFS aren't quite as bullish on building a ridge back over the area  ..keeping some deg of weak troughing lurking around the west, which in turn keeps the heat reasonable here..



That said, both the 12z EC- AIFS and AIFS  ..as well as the 12z runs of both the Ensemble - based GEFS and newly added AIFS -ENS < T- Tidbits > lean in on the idea of building some deg. of ridging / dialing up the heat over AZ and most of the the west after the 10th.. so,    ...We'll see what happens.. 



At the same time?.. Some hints from the GFS over the last few days of the East Pac. off Southern Mexico trying to spin up some sort of disturbance,  right around the start of our Hurricane season ( May 15th ) ..

Depending on which run you look at, it may do nothing, quickly fall apart and head due west,  ..or try to form an actual system and lurk off Mexico for a few days while trying to move north a bit.    Regardless,  any moisture from  ...whatever...  it does,  should it even develop into an actual system at all,    stays well south of AZ over areas of Mexico south of Mazatlan,  and/ or  Puerto Vallarta.. 

A start to    ...what could be a very busy season,  ahead?
 

 

[Silas_Sancona]

Reasonable 90F at 1:07PM as some " summer-y " moisture moves in from the south / southwest..

Compact, and quick moving upper level low that had potential to bring us some end of  " April showers " now looks to stay too far south to bring us anything ..anything meaningful at least.. as it works it's way east across the AZ / N.M. /Mex. border toward El Paso over the next 12 -18 hours.. 

That said,  late - spring upper level lows are notorious for doing unexpected things sometimes so i'm not completely ruling out ..at least a sprinkle or two sometime this evening / over night.. about as far north as a line following the 202 from Chandler to Gold Canyon. 

" Better " rain and storm chances will stay south and east of Casa Grande and Tucson ..Roughly 20 -35% chances respectively..

Best chances will be confined to areas over far S.E.'rn AZ ..Mainly Cochise Co.  where there is an outside threat for isolated flash flooding issues / daily rainfall records to be broken in a few spots if some of the showers /storms down there generate heavier rainfall. 

While we likely won't see much ..if any.. water falling from the sky up here,   storm activity down south could generate a strong enough north / northwest - moving outflow to generate some dust / 35 /35+ mph wind gusts passing through the area. 



As sunrise arrives on the first day of May,  storm will be headed into central TX.,  and we'll be heating up  ..For the weekend at least.. 



Next upper level system anticipated to pass through the area will arrive by Sunday or Monday, knocking back temps. into the 80s again  ...for a few days at least. 


Still watching for signs of a bigger heat wave arriving  around the 8 -10th,  and the E. Pac. west of southern Mex.. 

More later

[JohnAndSancho]

Cold. And I just put away the space heater and my flannel Jammies and shut off the gas to the Carbon Monoxide Machine in the grow room. It's in the low 50s and supposed to get in the 40s the next couple nights. And I'm pretty sure we're out of drought status by now. As I write this we've had 5" of rain this week and it's supposed to stay raining all weekend. ⁹