florida 2025-2026 Florida Winter

[Boca Palms]

5 hours ago, JLM said:

Cold front passes thru here Monday. Here's my forecast lows for each night:
Monday night - 31F
Tuesday night - 27F
Wednesday night - 33F
Thursday night - 39F
 

At first glance, I thought you were predicting negative temperatures. Maybe a colon or comma would be better than a dash/minus sign.

[JLM]

8 minutes ago, Boca Palms said:

At first glance, I thought you were predicting negative temperatures. Maybe a colon or comma would be better than a dash/minus sign.

Ok.

This is Florida I'm talking about here. You're not gonna get real temperatures in the negatives, and especially that negative. A google search would go a long way. Maybe I'll use a plus sign next time just for you 😉

[kinzyjr]

Looks like somewhere between 34F and 36F for a low on Tuesday.  

[Boca Palms]

13 hours ago, JLM said:

Ok.

This is Florida I'm talking about here. You're not gonna get real temperatures in the negatives, and especially that negative. A google search would go a long way. Maybe I'll use a plus sign next time just for you 😉

I live in South Florida, so it wouldn't surprise me that North Florida gets that cold, but I guess it doesn't.

The lowest temperature ever recorded in Florida was -2°F (-19°C) on February 13, 1899, in Tallahassee. Generally, freezing temperatures are rare in South Florida, while Northern Florida experiences them more frequently.

[MarcusH]

21 hours ago, Boca Palms said:

At first glance, I thought you were predicting negative temperatures. Maybe a colon or comma would be better than a dash/minus sign.

Good luck trying to grow palms in that kind of environment.  Took me one second to realize that it wasn't a comma. 

[Silas_Sancona]

On 12/27/2025 at 6:30 PM, JLM said:

Ok.

This is Florida I'm talking about here. You're not gonna get real temperatures in the negatives, and especially that negative. A google search would go a long way. Maybe I'll use a plus sign next time just for you 😉

Me thinks you explained it perfectly / don't need to change anything. 
 

Not on you if someone cant see the obvious difference a dash  ( Ie: Bradenton -  40 ) 

…and a minus sign (  = Bradenton  -40 )

Help us all if Bradenton ever dropped to -40, lol…

 

 

[JLM]

15 minutes ago, Silas_Sancona said:

Me thinks you explained it perfectly / don't need to change anything. 
 

Not on you if someone cant see the obvious difference a dash  ( Ie: Bradenton -  40 ) 

…and a minus sign (  = Bradenton  -40 )

Help us all if Bradenton ever dropped to -40, lol…

 

 

Oh trust me I'm not gonna change anything. I've always formatted my messages that way, and don't intend to stop because someone got confused. I had decided I wasn't going to engage it any further though because there's more important things to do rather than argue with someone on the internet about dashes haha

My forecast hasn't changed much since that message aside from some number fluctuations which is expected. Still on track for a 2 night, light freeze event.

[kinzyjr]

Here, it looks like it will get close to freezing.  Up near the Green Swamp, it is almost a certainty it will hit freezing again.

[kinzyjr]

On 11/11/2025 at 9:21 AM, kinzyjr said:

Not as cold as predicted at the house - 36F here with little variation throughout the yard.  It also hit 36F in a few of the usual warm spots in downtown and the Lake Parker area.  That much was hard to believe considering those stations were so mild at 9:00pm when I took that screenshot.  The airport was closer to 35F, which was forecast.  It seems like all of the development in the County Line Rd area and the increased air and vehicle traffic in the area have made the airport record numbers a lot closer to what we see in the city limits.

Now for the post-Halloween scare: 

• https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLLAKEL263
• https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLLAKEL258

A few of the chilly stations on the map actually recorded a freeze, with tons of others nearby sitting in the 33F+/-0.5 range.

Since the cold snap back in November, the NOAA records show 35F at the airport.

There is a band north of the city that tends to get inordinately cold, extending west into Hillsborough County.  The station links here are among the coldest:

Lakeland:

• 29.3F    KFLLAKEL680
• 29.8F    KFLLAKEL584

Polk City:

• 29.3F    KFLPOLKC50
• 29.2F    KFLPOLKC93

Dade City:

• 29.3F    KFLDADEC183

Plant City:

• 28.9F    KFLPLANT226
• 29.7F    KFLPLANT336
• 29.1F    KFLPLANT334

This map shows the area where the stations with low temperatures congregate:

I ran across these Facebook discussions recently:

• https://www.facebook.com/groups/548974998586256/posts/3369851689831892/
• https://www.facebook.com/groups/548974998586256/posts/3386679438149117/

The reply about the temperature never going under 20F wasn't too surprising, because that is what the records show.  Some of the other replies about the temperature being identical throughout the city were surprising, considering the availability of this data.

GHCND_USW00012883_2025-11-1.pdf

[JLM]

30F this morning. Temperature is struggling to climb. Only expecting a high of 49F today before tanking to 29F tonight. 

Looking in the long range, mid to late January will be a time to watch. Pattern appears to be favorable for arctic outbreaks during that time.

[flplantguy]

Last night was above forecast, but today has struggled to reach and stay above 50.  Tonight is a concern if the winds die, so I'm doing some covering with Pasco under a freeze warning. The next night was well I bet will be below the expectation, but hopefully not and the cold punch loses it's bite fast.  The next one is my bigger concern, if history holds this would be the "pre freeze" cold event before the major cold front/freeze(s) shortly after.  With this setup cold shot at the end of December, there is plenty of time for another one or more cold waves to take advantage and bring a freeze before spring.  The pattern the last few years has been "fun" so i expect a freeze is coming soon after this one before February rolls around.  If not it will be a 2021 type of situation, where Florida dodges it but everyone else gets cold.  Sorry Texas, but that's what I hope for, just more mild than that one was.  The expectation is for above average temps through spring, but we all know how inaccurate those can be.  Good luck going into the coldest part of winter everyone!

[Matthew92]

2 hours ago, flplantguy said:

Last night was above forecast, but today has struggled to reach and stay above 50.  Tonight is a concern if the winds die, so I'm doing some covering with Pasco under a freeze warning. The next night was well I bet will be below the expectation, but hopefully not and the cold punch loses it's bite fast.  The next one is my bigger concern, if history holds this would be the "pre freeze" cold event before the major cold front/freeze(s) shortly after.  With this setup cold shot at the end of December, there is plenty of time for another one or more cold waves to take advantage and bring a freeze before spring.  The pattern the last few years has been "fun" so i expect a freeze is coming soon after this one before February rolls around.  If not it will be a 2021 type of situation, where Florida dodges it but everyone else gets cold.  Sorry Texas, but that's what I hope for, just more mild than that one was.  The expectation is for above average temps through spring, but we all know how inaccurate those can be.  Good luck going into the coldest part of winter everyone!

Yes I find it interesting that since 2010 much of peninsular FL has escaped extremely significant, hard freezing temps (Jan 2018 was the closest). Many say it's the climate change that has taken away the possibility of such cold, but places like far south TX, Louisiana, and FL Panhandle finally experienced temps close to or rivaling those seen in the 1980's at one time or another in the last several years. Again, my theory is that there isn't a lack of potent cold air to do it, it's that the weather dynamics/pattern has simply not aligned to inject such cold air down into the peninsula in such a particular way.

[Xenon]

3 hours ago, flplantguy said:

 If not it will be a 2021 type of situation, where Florida dodges it but everyone else gets cold.  Sorry Texas, but that's what I hope for, just more mild than that one was.  

I'm hoping for something closer to this, just more mild 😄

jokes aside, stay warm everyone 🌴

[kinzyjr]

@Xenon You forgot to include a graphic content warning with your post. 🥶

[HudsonBill]

So far so good. I havbt dropped below 48 yet here witch is surprising. I noticed that the wind kicks up and the temps even our a ton between weather stations. The cold spot was down to 37 I was at 48 wind picked up I got back up to 50 then dropped back down to right under 48 then back to 48 then the cold.spot rose to low 40s. 

[Jimbean]

I had a low of 35.8F here this morning in Melbourne.  

[HudsonBill]

30.8 under 32 for 1 hour. Flowers on my hibiscus are still ok 

[SeanK]

This popped up in my feed this morning. It is talking about JAN 10th.

Florida freeze map update as nearly entire state under warning, advisory

 

[Merlyn]

@JLM I saw:

Tuesday morning - 36.5F with no frost

Wednesday morning - 29.7F with mild to medium frost

I format things the same way too, no confusion here!    Officially the Sanford airport is showing 33F, continuing my unbeaten streak of being 3-5F colder than the closest airport...except that back on the November 12th freeze I hit 36.5F and the airport registered 36F.  I think the 20-30mph winds kept my yards basically identical to the airport, since the airport didn't have the benefit of the "urban heat island."  Last night was ~8mph winds, so I got a lot colder than the airport. 

[kinzyjr]

@Jimbean Good to hear from you again!

Everything here was between 35F and 36F.  I imagine the light breeze kept the readings within a degree of each other on all sensors.  KLAL recorded a lowest hourly of 33.8F.  Some of the stations out near the swamp were in the mid-to-high 20s again.  Onward to 2026.

 

[PalmBossTampa]

Im away from Lithia and slightly nervous about my temps back home. It was 34 degrees yesterday morning in Lynn Haven, FL. 20mph winds when i walked dog at 7am so feel like temp was 24. Where I’m staying i gave an Allogoptera arenaria for cold testing several years ago.,and it took 17 degrees for 7 hours couple years ago. Here’s a picture of that palm after 100% recovery.  I think my small seedling greenhouse on lanai will be fine so long as the heater cuts off and doesn’t blow hot/dry air all day

[JLM]

27F this morning. Nothing really to report here as its already dropped to this temperature earlier this month. 

[flplantguy]

34.2 for a bit just after sunup when the wind died down, mostly warmer in the yard under cover.  Inland was pretty cold as @HudsonBillwas saying, so I feel good about it (25 at the airport officially, but 24 was mentioned on the news). high barely reached 50 with onshore winds today, and I expect it to be as bad tonight with frost. No damage yet on anything and all the worst spots will be covered tonight.  High pressure building in, so a good radiational cooling event following that front means frost/freeze again tonight. 

[kinzyjr]

Unless you can throw a rock from your front door to salt water, you're under a Freeze or Frost Warning tonight:

[HudsonBill]

2 hours ago, flplantguy said:

34.2 for a bit just after sunup when the wind died down, mostly warmer in the yard under cover.  Inland was pretty cold as @HudsonBillwas saying, so I feel good about it (25 at the airport officially, but 24 was mentioned on the news). high barely reached 50 with onshore winds today, and I expect it to be as bad tonight with frost. No damage yet on anything and all the worst spots will be covered tonight.  High pressure building in, so a good radiational cooling event following that front means frost/freeze again tonight. 

I am dreading tonight! I had 0 damage hibiscus pullovers and all still perfect after last night. The lack of frost helped a lot. 

[HudsonBill]

I meant hibiscus flowers 😆 

[flplantguy]

Inland has low 30s already, but I'm at 51 with onshore flow still. The second that stops it drops like a stone and the forecast is 36 or 41 depending on source. I think 36 is more likely but remains to be seen. 

[flplantguy]

If below is accurate that's a huge difference over a very short distance.  Explains why there are no palms in shady hills too

[HudsonBill]

1 hour ago, flplantguy said:

If below is accurate that's a huge difference over a very short distance.  Explains why there are no palms in shady hills too

Dude the temp difference between the coast and inland is insane.  It's 38 here rn and super foggy. This weather makes no sense to me it was as cold here this am as southeast Pennsylvania where I moved from. How? Literaly no ome will ever convince me that that makes sense. 

[HudsonBill]

Still right at 38. Foggy and damp it's insane humid. Dewpoints are very high its holding the temp up from dropping. I don't think we will go below freezing tonight. 

[flplantguy]

It did here kind of, the tempest with a cold bias hit 31.8 for 3 minutes with an hour at 32. Light frost on the plants in front but not a lot. Damage remains to be seen, there was some in November but after some chill I'm hoping for less this time. The spindles will look terrible if not🤞

[JLM]

35F this morning. Not expecting frost or freeze here for at least the next 7 days.

[Merlyn]

34.2F in the backyard here, with medium frost around 7:30.  The frost built quickly to around 8AM to almost snow-like consistency on all the roofs.

[Jimbean]

I had a low of 37.6F this morning here in Melbourne.

 

Happy new year to everyone

[Matthew92]

Unexpected 32 degree low this morning (forecast was a few degrees above freezing). The previous morning was 27 deg. 

[HudsonBill]

4 hours ago, flplantguy said:

It did here kind of, the tempest with a cold bias hit 31.8 for 3 minutes with an hour at 32. Light frost on the plants in front but not a lot. Damage remains to be seen, there was some in November but after some chill I'm hoping for less this time. The spindles will look terrible if not🤞

33.3 over here. It was only below 34 for about 45 min. No damage either night. 

[kinzyjr]

The minimum temperatures in the garden were all between 37F-38F.  There was ice from condensation on top of the cars and frost on the rooftops.  In my yard, no frost due to tree canopy.  In the neighbors' yards that have no trees, lots of frost.  You can tell where the property line is by the frost:

Welcome to 2026!

[kinzyjr]

Airport records are attached as a ZIP file.

20260101_obhistory.zip

[kinzyjr]

Looks like it will cool off again in a week or so, but nothing to write home about yet:

[SubTropicRay]

Lucky us 🤬 This was not on yesterday's forecast but it's coming into its own.  Look for growing blue across the eastern US as the days move along.  It's January after all and there are no free rides.