Polar Vortex

[Ivanos1982]

What in the name of all the gods? lol this is the canadian model for Houston this coming tues at 6 am... ugh

[Sabal_Louisiana]

The Canadian Model must have some really wonky algorithms. I have seen, more than once, isotherms in the lower teens around Las Vegas on their forecast maps..

[ChrisA]

The Canadian model is always MUCH colder thank any other model. I think it’s likely better designed for Canada and locations above 45N. 

[MarcusH]

I'm not sure what weather tool David Reimer uses for his forecasts but I just watched his latest video and he's predicting even colder temperatures.  For instance 15 to 17f for San Antonio.  I really hope we don't go below 17f. 

[Palmerr]

Hey reminder yall, inaccuweather don’t use it!!! Just DONT! They are very very inaccurate use lots of computers models in forecasts, and basically broke the law with their illegal hurricane forecast tracks saying they were more accurate than official info etc etc. Bad company. On the server I’m on you will get banned for posting inaccuweather stuff.

[Palmerr]

On 1/22/2026 at 6:35 PM, PAPalmtrees said:

I prefer Max a little bit more but I watch both of them and they're both very good

Check your NWS forecasts it has gotten a bit colder, 0F in Nashville for example. I didn’t mean to reply to ya lol whoops.

[Palmerr]

@Allen Hello brother, I really want you to prepare the situation that’s about to happen in Nashville I hope the warm air pushes up enough to bring rain instead of freezing rain. But man the stuff there that is forecasted is worse case scenario!!!!  Hope the warm nose makes it go above freezing but widespread tree damage and yeah.. maybe not palm damage you know ho tough those fronds are but yeah extensive power outages widespread tree damage and foliage damage. Just make sure to protect stuff that could be sensitive to breaking, I forgot I don’t know if you have bamboo or not but bamboo will be really affected by ice storms. Just wanted to warn you I know you probably always check your forecasts but still.

[PAPalmtrees]

50 minutes ago, Palmerr said:

Hey reminder yall, inaccuweather don’t use it!!! Just DONT! They are very very inaccurate use lots of computers models in forecasts, and basically broke the law with their illegal hurricane forecast tracks saying they were more accurate than official info etc etc. Bad company. On the server I’m on you will get banned for posting inaccuweather stuff.

I agree they can never get the forecast right They predict the temperatures being way colder than they actually will be there just straight up terrible

[PAPalmtrees]

3 minutes ago, Palmerr said:

@Allen Hello brother, I really want you to prepare the situation that’s about to happen in Nashville I hope the warm air pushes up enough to bring rain instead of freezing rain. But man the stuff there that is forecasted is worse case scenario!!!!  Hope the warm nose makes it go above freezing but widespread tree damage and yeah.. maybe not palm damage you know ho tough those fronds are but yeah extensive power outages widespread tree damage and foliage damage. Just make sure to protect stuff that could be sensitive to breaking, I forgot I don’t know if you have bamboo or not but bamboo will be really affected by ice storms. Just wanted to warn you I know you probably always check your forecasts but still.

Not trying to speak for him or anything but he did make a video on what he had protected the other day 

[PAPalmtrees]

17 minutes ago, Palmerr said:

Check your NWS forecasts it has gotten a bit colder, 0F in Nashville for example. I didn’t mean to reply to ya lol whoops.

oh lol That's what I was thinking when I saw that because I don't live in Nashville lol

[Allen]

14 minutes ago, Palmerr said:

@Allen Hello brother, I really want you to prepare the situation that’s about to happen in Nashville I hope the warm air pushes up enough to bring rain instead of freezing rain. But man the stuff there that is forecasted is worse case scenario!!!!  Hope the warm nose makes it go above freezing but widespread tree damage and yeah.. maybe not palm damage you know ho tough those fronds are but yeah extensive power outages widespread tree damage and foliage damage. Just make sure to protect stuff that could be sensitive to breaking, I forgot I don’t know if you have bamboo or not but bamboo will be really affected by ice storms. Just wanted to warn you I know you probably always check your forecasts but still.

Thanks so much.  I have everything protected and a generator.  We are forecast to get .4-.5 inch ice as of last I saw

[Palmerr]

3 minutes ago, Allen said:

Thanks so much.  I have everything protected and a generator.  We are forecast to get .4-.5 inch ice as of last I saw

Oof. But yeah that’s good man .4-5 inches is still oooof.

[Palmerr]

People are saying this will be snowmageddon 2010 (2026 edition) and yeah it will be. Our snow record is on track to break the record 13.3 inches set in the 1800’s!!! At least 7 days below freezing which is.. very not normal not even a once every 5 winter thing this will be insane. Now things can change but this isn’t the type of temps to change.

[PAPalmtrees]

23 minutes ago, Allen said:

Thanks so much.  I have everything protected and a generator.  We are forecast to get .4-.5 inch ice as of last I saw

That's scary. I'll be praying for everyone's safety in the area

[ChrisA]

2 hours ago, Palmerr said:

Hey reminder yall, inaccuweather don’t use it!!! Just DONT! They are very very inaccurate use lots of computers models in forecasts, and basically broke the law with their illegal hurricane forecast tracks saying they were more accurate than official info etc etc. Bad company. On the server I’m on you will get banned for posting inaccuweather stuff.

Thank you for the heads up. I just looked up what you're talking about and had no idea. I've been using that site for many years, never again!  Hoping everyone stays safe through this storm, it's going to ravage much of the South. We're hunkered down now here in Texas. 

[Palmerr]

I converted someone from that horrible company yayayay!

[MarcusH]

From all weather sources you guys use what is the ultimate low in the weather forecast so far ? I'm at 16f on Monday night Northeast San Antonio, TX.  

[Palmerr]

So uhmmmm yeah almost an INCH IN NASHVILLE .2 in LEXINGTON mah LORD (Second photo is the SPC (storm Prediction Center) Cheif meteo.. Broyles…

[Palmerr]

I’m supposed to get like -5F like man wth I hate these past winters

[MarcusH]

1 hour ago, Palmerr said:

I’m supposed to get like -5F like man wth I hate these past winters

So let me ask you this. Does it get colder than predicted, now and for the next few days or were the weather forecast for your area as cold as predicted? 

[PAPalmtrees]

1 hour ago, Palmerr said:

I’m supposed to get like -5F like man wth I hate these past winters

Good old, Great Plains effect

[UK_Palms]

2 hours ago, MarcusH said:

From all weather sources you guys use what is the ultimate low in the weather forecast so far ? I'm at 16f on Monday night Northeast San Antonio, TX.  

Thats actually pretty brutal to be honest, in light of recent years as well where you have had freezes. A low of 16F really not great.

We had the coldest start to a January in 16 years here a few weeks back and St James Park in central London only went down to -3.7C / 25F. London Heathrow in the western suburbs went down to -5.9C / 21F. Again you have to go back 16 years to the last time it was colder than that in early January. Just goes to show how insanely protected we are in the UK and especially London.

I am watching developments from afar. This cold spell influences our weather here due to eastern USA cold inadvertently powering up the jet stream to deliver further mild westerlies off the Atlantic, nullifying any cold air attempts in western and central Europe. In other words, you guys have got the brunt of all the cold air, so we don't have to in Europe (especially western Europe).

[DTS]

This is absolutely the worst forecast ive seen 😭

[MarcusH]

40 minutes ago, UK_Palms said:

Thats actually pretty brutal to be honest, in light of recent years as well where you have had freezes. A low of 16F really not great.

We had the coldest start to a January in 16 years here a few weeks back and St James Park in central London only went down to -3.7C / 25F. London Heathrow in the western suburbs went down to -5.9C / 21F. Again you have to go back 16 years to the last time it was colder than that in early January. Just goes to show how insanely protected we are in the UK and especially London.

I am watching developments from afar. This cold spell influences our weather here due to eastern USA cold inadvertently powering up the jet stream to deliver further mild westerlies off the Atlantic, nullifying any cold air attempts in western and central Europe. In other words, you guys have got the brunt of all the cold air, so we don't have to in Europe (especially western Europe).

The UK is the colder version of NZ in Europe.  You have it pretty good over there while we get beaten up here , even in the South. We possibly could end up colder than predicted.  I wouldn't be surprised if we go below 16f where I'm from. Send us some milder temperatures over here. 

[Palmerr]

The situation with the ice storm is very very bad. This amount of ice in TN.. ALREADY is a very bad sign. Models could have underperformed this will be going on for a bit longer. I think the “catastrophic level area” has moved away from AR and more into MS and TN.

[Palmerr]

4 hours ago, MarcusH said:

So let me ask you this. Does it get colder than predicted, now and for the next few days or were the weather forecast for your area as cold as predicted? 

Eh I mean we are leveling off due to the forecast being within 3 days it won’t change as much, the -5F is in 4 days+ so it’s fluctuating. Now -4F but yeah I’d say within 1-3 days least fluctuation 4-10 days don’t trust it yet.

[Palmerr]

3 hours ago, DTS said:

This is absolutely the worst forecast ive seen 😭

Man that is coooooooold!!

[Palmerr]

His went from worse to catastrophic to just flat out psychotic this is in TN….. that’s insane…. This shouldn’t here ALREADY

[MarcusH]

Not as bad as up north but the damage is already taking place.  We buttomed out at 21/22f with everything covered in ice.  Hopefully the ice melts before sunset .  Tomorrow morning will be even colder. 

[PAPalmtrees]

Over 7 inches of snow on the ground in needmore Pennsylvania Also it's sleeting a little bit outside

[Palmerr]

On 1/24/2026 at 4:07 PM, PAPalmtrees said:

Good old, Great Plains effect

It ain’t the Great Plains affect lol, we are way too east to get wild temp fluctuations. At the same latitude it can reach -10F and that’s normal. We are way too wet (almost 50 in annual precipitation) and east location.

[Palmerr]

Overall for us this storm wasn’t a bust snow wise. Only got like 3 inches but man we got .75+ inches of ice. Here’s a tree at mah other home. Got above freezing hit like 34F so it melted a bit but yeah it crashed again and now it’s below 20F the damage in Nashville is…absolutely insane. I have never seen a more catastrophic ice storm. Especially places SW of Nashville my lord.

[PAPalmtrees]

16 minutes ago, Palmerr said:

It ain’t the Great Plains affect lol, we are way too east to get wild temp fluctuations. At the same latitude it can reach -10F and that’s normal. We are way too wet (almost 50 in annual precipitation) and east location.

Yeah I realized that when I Created the post I was not thinking clearly obviously. Actually Kentucky does get those wild temperature swings from the warm air from the Gulf and the cold air from Canada But not as bad as the Great Plains

[Palmerr]

18 hours ago, PAPalmtrees said:

Yeah I realized that when I Created the post I was not thinking clearly obviously. Actually Kentucky does get those wild temperature swings from the warm air from the Gulf and the cold air from Canada But not as bad as the Great Plains

Wild to a point, we get sometimes up to 90F in winter in very rare cases and -10F or so in very rare cases but only a 100 degree possible temp difference in winter, ain’t that bad.

[Las Palmas Norte]

21 hours ago, PAPalmtrees said:

... Actually Kentucky does get those wild temperature swings from the warm air from the Gulf and the cold air from Canada ...

Actually, we get our cold air from Alaska (USA) and pass it on down. 😁

[PAPalmtrees]

1 hour ago, Las Palmas Norte said:

Actually, we get our cold air from Alaska (USA) and pass it on down. 😁

 

1 hour ago, Las Palmas Norte said:

Actually, we get our cold air from Alaska (USA) and pass it on down. 😁

Good thing you guys have those mountains and water or else the air would be very cold

[Las Palmas Norte]

2 hours ago, PAPalmtrees said:

Good thing you guys have those mountains and water or else the air would be very cold

 

The Pacific Ocean acts to moderate extremes. I'm on the Island (Vancouver Island) in the Pacific Ocean. We have two distinct seasons, the rainy fall and winter, and the dry pleasant summers. Spring is a transitionary mix. Regards.

 

[Palmerr]

On 1/26/2026 at 7:53 PM, Las Palmas Norte said:

 

The Pacific Ocean acts to moderate extremes. I'm on the Island (Vancouver Island) in the Pacific Ocean. We have two distinct seasons, the rainy fall and winter, and the dry pleasant summers. Spring is a transitionary mix. Regards.

 

Climate and especially the western climate is so fascinating to me