Deans List

[Ken Johnson]

I have a feeling that TD4 will skirt the East Coast as  Hurricane Dean. The Bermuda High is just right to zip it along the entire coast

Look out New York City.

Not to mention that a storm is forming that could hit South Texas in a few days!

Oh, and Aloha Flossie.

[SoLando]

Yep. Central FL's keeping an eye on it. It's all over the news.

[SunnyFl]

They've adjusted the track more to the west - it's coming in lower than originally thought.  The shear is reported to be relaxing and it has warmer SSTs ahead of it.   Everyone on the E. Coast AND Gulf Coast need to keep a watch on it.  Should be in the Caribbean by Saturday I think, so they'll have a better idea about any US landfall by then.

And now TD 5 in the gulf is threatening TX, which has had more than its share of flooding rains.  Since some rivers still haven't gone back down, if TD 5 hits, it could make a real mess.

Here we go again.

[SubTropicRay]

Not looking good now Ken.  This one is a bit reminiscent of Charlie's path.

[Alan_Tampa]

don't fret.  Won't be a bit of trouble for us in the Tampa Bay area.

Ken, I doubt this one is the One.

Alan

[SoLando]

It does look like Charley's path...and it's the time of year where those hurricanes take that sort of path. Charley's 3rd anniversary was yesterday.. It definitely does not feel like THREE years since that struck! I remember that night so well.

[palmsrgreat]

We should just see heavy rain here in Houston, nothing we arent used to this year already.

[Dave-Vero]

What's a bit odd is that Yucatan and Jamaica have been getting so much attention from hurricanes over the past 20 years or so.  Jamaica in particular had a rather low hurricane frequency.  This page has some interesting graphics on return intervals for the US.

NOAA

[bubba]

It is starting to look like a Northern Mexico hit for fast moving Dean.

[SoLando]

Mexicans should definitely be ready! Good thing this isn't Spring Break time for the Yucatan!

[SubTropicRay]

86 years and counting Alan.

[NBTX11]

My friends on the South Texas coast, be prepared.  Keep a very close eye out and take this very seriously.  Evacuate if local authorities start mandating evacuations.  Don't want to sound false alarm bells, just be prepared!

This one looks very threatening to the South Texas coast line, hopefully that changes.

Be prepared and take this seriously, if warranted, please!!

I hope I am wrong and this heads in a different direction.

[NBTX11]

They keep moving the projected path south into Mexico, good news for South Texans.

[happ]

...AND THE TRACK OF HURRICANE "DEAN" WiLL

BECOME IMPORTANT AS SOME OF ITS RESIDUAL MSTR COULD GET FUNNELED INTO THE REGION LATE NEXT WEEKEND.. . NWS-LA 3:35AM 8-19-07

The states west of Texas are ready for Dean though for entirely different reason's than the Gulf Coast.  Its like fighting over the spoils of moisture.  :laugh:

[happ]

We are patiently waiting for former hurricane Dean since the tropical depression continues to ride the easterly upper-level winds across Mexico.  Here's the latest from NWS-San Diego:

ON SUNDAY...IT CONTINUES TO LOOK POSSIBLE FOR THE REMNANT MOISTURE

FROM X-HURRICANE DEAN TO COME UP INTO SOCALIF VIA THE SEA OF CORTEZ.

THE REMNANT OR SPIN UP 583 SUBTROPICAL LOW IS PROGGED TO BE OVER

SOCALIF SUN THROUGH MON BEFORE IT EJECTS NEWRD IN 585 SW FLOW. THIS

LOW COULD SPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT SOCALIF. GFS PRECIP

ADDS UP TO UP TO 1 INCH OF RAIN FOR THE TWO DAY TOTAL. STILL TOO SOON

TO PUT QPF IN THE FORECAST...BUT WILL BEEF UP POPS AS MODELS SEEM TO

BE CONVERGING ON THE WETTER SOLUTION. WHEN X-DEAN REMNANTS CROSS N

INTO THE SEA OF CORTEZ ON FRI...THERE ARE ABOUT 50 UNITS OF VORTICITY

STILL AVAILABLE TO HELP THE SUBTROPICAL UPPER LOW SPIN UP INTO CALIFORNIA.

Don't wimp out on us Dean  

[LA PALM BOY]

ON SUNDAY...IT CONTINUES TO LOOK POSSIBLE FOR THE REMNANT MOISTURE

FROM X-HURRICANE DEAN TO COME UP INTO SOCALIF VIA THE SEA OF CORTEZ.

I remember as a kid (early 80's?) we had the remnant moisture of a hurricane get caught up in the monsoon flow and hit Albuquerque. It rained  5 inches in two days and we had our all time low maximum recored high for Aug....I believe it only got up to around 65 degrees that day. We shall see...rain would be nice here in LA!!

Doug

[happ]

What's left of a once category 5 hurricane that slammed into the Mexican coast last weekend is now nothing more than scattered isolated thundershowers & quite muggy air over SoCal [dew points/relative humidity above 70%

It's fascinating how weather systems circle the globe.  Dean started as a cluster of strong convection in the lower latitudes off the west Africa coast.  Pushed along by the trade winds it gained strength over the tropical Atlantic until it finally lost its tremendously powerful circulation/spin well into the Mexican interior.  

Once Dean entered Pacific waters it was a weak depression but picked up additional Gulf of California moisture before dissipating as it now is over the Southwest US.  

The hurricane that was  

[LA PALM BOY]

Well Happ...you got your wish! (rain, that is) courtesy of Dean-o!

Doug

PS: Sometimes leftovers really DO taste good!

[happ]

Yea, big deal, a trace here & there among gusty winds.  N. coast San Diego Co received the bulk of rain [Oceanside/Escondido/Ramona 1-2"]. Dean's "ghost" = humidity is all that's left  

This week will be hot & drier  

[osideterry]

To confirm your Oceanside stats, we got totally dumped on here. I woke to lightening and thunder, and by 10am it was pouring. Man was it humid when the sun came out!

[LA PALM BOY]

To confirm your Oceanside stats, we got totally dumped on here. I woke to lightening and thunder, and by 10am it was pouring. Man was it humid when the sun came out!

Ahhhh...a nice summer day....IN SOUTH FLORIDA!! :laugh: