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Friday at 10:28 PM1 day

A toasty, ..but not awful ( ..except when breeziness stops, lol ) 103 -108F around town at 2:51PM under passing, but slowly increasing high clouds..

Clouds, courtesy of ..what is left of Douglas.. will continue to increase thru the rest of the afternoon / evening, and stick around thru the day tomorrow, helping to limit what could've been another open oven door kinda 4th, to something a bit more manageable.

While it isn't listed in the current forecasts, keep a close eye on the UA WRF HRRR runs tomorrow..

While it may not add up to more than a few sprinkles, locally at least, reasonably consistent thinking from the HRRR runs over the last few days suggest " spit ", ...here or there tonight thru Sunday morning.... can't be totally ruled out as thicker moisture ( still confined to the mid high levels ) passes through town.

2 fer 1 special Sat imagery today lays out why....

What is left of Douglas, sending a decent plume of high and mid level moisture our way.. Low level circulation entertains fish out over the Pacific.

At the same time, bit more of an increase in activity / N.W.-ward flow down across Sonora today that might trigger gravity wave - induced disturbances that could provide enough lift in the mid levels to spark another round of widely isolated late night / morning sprinkles / bolt or two as such a disturbance gets caught up in some weak " out of the south " flow and pushes through Cen. AZ. if that even occurs at all..

If some of the more aggressive HRRR runs pan out, might even be a chance for a little more activity tomorrow evening..

We'll see...

As decent of a job as the HRRR can do picking up on near -term precip chances, it can also overhype it's thinking/ a given outcome, just like any other WX model ...so, I'll be watching, regardless.. Never pass on even remote opportunities for surprise bolts

" Better " chances for storms < mainly dry, even up there, however > up in the mountains, esp. east and south of town thru the weekend.

Oven Door opens again down here, starting on Monday, while Dew Points start a slow climb back to where they should be atm thru the week.

Hot in T- Town too, but with more clouds ( and a storm or two perhaps??? ) around

As the 4C High starts building back over the area, first ...good... signs of an uptick in Monsoonal activity return to the mountains, and S. AZ starting sometime next week, ..Slowly < ...ever so slowly... > inching their way closer to the valley as we head toward next weekend.. ..Per the current thinking ..which of course, is subject to change.

As usual, this idea shows up best the closer you get to the border...

Today's 14 day and 3 week thoughts.....

Screenshot 2026-07-03 at 13-25-56 Climate Prediction Center - 8 to 14 Day Outlooks.png

Fingers crossed......