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What is your current yard temperature?


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Posted

The impending cold spell here in Europe looks to be a bit of a bust now looking at the models. It will get colder by this time next week, but nothing like what was originally being modelled a few days back.

The eastern half of America on the other hand looks like it is about to get smashed by severe cold in the last week of January. Not even sure about Texas escaping it looking at some of the modelling. Houston may escape the worst, but Dallas may get smashed too. Modelling is showing ice storm risk as well as harsh nighttime temps...

Temperatures 30-40F below average in places...

G-90obgWUAAa5Bo.jpg.7a87bda67777d644dac2a67b82afb1cf.jpg

G-98zEKXIAA0cJ3.png.c59229849f276c2816accdf577c41f2b.png

G-9d2hwXAAAF061.jpg.f57a54e23c38ffe0652b183c834945c4.jpg

G--roZsWYAAo1k5.jpg.be3b19123e4438e31f3a613f764e3197.jpg

G-9yz7mW4AAfa-o.png.d2209fd99469b179ecc3e9da2c6ff66a.png

Dry-summer Oceanic / Warm summer Med (Csb) - 9a

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

Posted

@Than what was the min in your garden during the last two nights?

Posted
2 hours ago, Phoenikakias said:

@Than what was the min in your garden during the last two nights?

5,2 last night and 4,5 C the night before. Yours?

Zone 9b: if you love it, cover it.

Posted
1 hour ago, Than said:

5,2 last night and 4,5 C the night before. Yours?

3, not bad given southeastern mainland was especially affected by this cold spell.

Posted
1 hour ago, Phoenikakias said:

3, not bad given southeastern mainland was especially affected by this cold spell.

you are almost 10B!

Cold day today, maximum here was 11 C and only for like, half an hour. Now it is 10.

Zone 9b: if you love it, cover it.

Posted
5 hours ago, Than said:

you are almost 10B!

Cold day today, maximum here was 11 C and only for like, half an hour. Now it is 10.

Here max 12 C but I am completely in the dark about duration, I plausibly suppose that conditions were similar to the ones in your place. But I am not 10B , no way, not even closely, in  fact I am not even solid 10A, instead transitional between 10A and 9B.

Posted

A mild 63F at 6:26PM after another day in the mid / upper 70s... Headed for the lower 40s by sunrise.. 

End of the week, as we reach into the final days of January  ..and middle of winter ( Meteorological, of course, silly ) looks cooler, with maybe some showers wandering thru the region as a cutoff low off S. Cal makes it's way east across Baja and Sonora over the weekend.


Screenshot2026-01-20at15-19-57ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.thumb.png.f7d722504ed26509f13609df1b2a6ca7.png

How much rain locally?  ..Id be surprised if we get over .30"   Overall, highest totals w/ this system are more likely to fall over far Southern / S. eastern AZ.   Slight chance for iso. " winter - season " thunderstorm activity w/ this system too.

Some snow is possible over far N. eastern AZ / Maybe the highest peaks further west on the Rim,  ..if the coldest air associated w/ this system is around when the greatest chances for precip. are.  

Not looking like a big snow - maker anywhere up there at the moment regardless. 

Same can't be said for N.M. where moisture arrival may line up with the arrival of the next surge of cold air forecast to plunge south down the plains and squeeze out a decent opportunity for some of that white death only a few here enjoys seeing much of.. 

That said, not all models are on the same page w/ that particular scenario, so... they too may escape seeing any snow this time. 



Regardless,  temps. will cool back to the 60s for a few days locally / morning  lows maybe re- visiting the mid / high 30s on at least one morning ..in the developed parts of town at least..   

Nothing unusual though since it is mid January...





After this storm heads east of the area, temps rebound back into the lower / mid 70s again   ..or is how things are looking right now.. 

For now at least,  majority of the extended forecasts keep this part of the world above normal as we reach the end of the month / start of the final 28....   days of  " winter " 25 - 6. 


On a side note,  ..After a quick peak over the next couple days,  maybe another before the 3rd of next month,   is the Polar Vortex about to start down a slow glide toward the exit for the remainder of the winter,  ....a bit sooner than is suggested by the average??   

  ..We'll see..


Screenshot2026-01-20at15-23-27ECMWFCharts.thumb.png.254421e5cddea356fe3fbbfa17af69f8.png

Posted

A warmer than forecast 73F under partly cloudy skies at 1:40PM on your 2nd to last Friday of January 2026... 

Some rain ahead for the evening / early morning hours tomorrow??  ..I have my doubts in the current forecast suggestions..  

Looking at the current COD True Color Sat across the region,  two things stand out ..that may keep much - if any- rain out of the area..


1: nothing but clearing skies to our north / west.. Drier air is also being pulled south / east toward the area from CA and the Pacific..


COD-GOES-East-regional-southwest.truecolor.20260123.203617-overcounties-map-glm_flash-barsnone.thumb.gif.e77df18f54f8c41a58911c68f39903f1.gif



2: Low that is bringing our rain chances looks like it is diving further south off Baja / will cross Baja near ..or just south of.. the Baja Spur, before heading east across Mexico,  than was forecast earlier. 

Moisture feed on the right side of the low,  currently passing over Baja Norte, doesn't look all that impressive, imo.  Outside, most of what cloud cover has passed overhead is confined to the mid /upper levels and doesn't look " juicy "  < ..like it would bring much rain >

That can change later ofcourse..

FYI: On the map,  Maricopa, Pinal,  and Pima Cos are under the yellow " Nex Lab " tab in the upper right corner..


CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-regional-eastpac-truecolor-20_36Z-20260123_counties-map-glm_flash_noBar-92-1n-10-100.thumb.gif.1d7bb07b420cc39b07c3a60e81cd42be.gif



If the " digs further south than forecast " scenario is the case for this system,  that would shunt most of the " ideal " dynamics for rainfall further south and east across AZ..  With anything more than .10" of an inch of possible rainfall falling south and east of a line roughly following I - 10 between here and Tucson / I -19 Between Tucson and Nogales.

Yes, if there are any stronger showers / weak brief storms that form over the area later tonight / tomorrow,  always favored < in these setups > upslope spots north and east of the valley could see a nice  .20"+ downpour ..but again ..a few heavier showers vs a prolonged band of rain passing through is the current thought..

Here?  i anticipate nothing more than asphalt wetting spit ( under .15" ) ..   West side of town / Downtown and Tempe area?    ..You might not see a drop. 

2nd area of low pressure anticipated to drop south from Eastern Utah / Western CO across far E. AZ / NM along the western edge of the overall arctic airmass headed south across the plains  may end up slightly more to the east of AZ than currently forecast so,   ..any influence from it may be minimal, esp. here.

Regardless, it's outta here by tomorrow evening..

Though the more recent 10 day forecasts have warmed a couple degs. over earlier thoughts,  still could see a couple cool mornings / chance for " around at sunrise in shady spots frost "  here and there,  esp. in the typically cooler spots but,  " minimal frost threat " chances end by Tuesday or Wed. morning.


Screenshot2026-01-23at13-18-29ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.thumb.png.4e7ff0319fde9006462ce2154e2ef887.png

Overall pattern heading through next week may keep nights cool -ish as some northerly /N.E'rly  flow hangs around this side of the divide but 70s are back by Monday  ..Per the CURRENT forecast thoughts..

Could also be returning to the upper 70s by the time January closes out if the warmer forecast model thoughts on the maps atm pan out.

" Take it with a grain of salt "  Side - Note:  ..Cuz it always changes...   Looking through the final month of winter via today's 3 -4 week thoughts, ...among others from different models that gaze out that far..   Looking pretty good, as we reach the final 28 day stretch of winter 25 - 26. 


Screenshot2026-01-23at13-18-59ClimatePredictionCenter-Week3-4Outlook.png.30054a8c9e9455aea81f062e20e04c23.png



I myself think we'll have 1 or 2 more " minimal frost / sunrise lows in the upper 30s " chances before March 1st  but,  ..We'll see. 



All that said,  As dry as it is now,  ..and likely will continue to be going forward..   we could be a couple weeks away from our first big warm up of 2026,    esp. if a large ridge sets up over the area again..  

Regardless, Sure lookin like Spring is just an on ramp away for the low desert   ...and  -at least-  S.Cal.  :greenthumb:



 

  • Like 2
Posted

68F today and soon to be a whole lot worse.

  • Like 1
Posted

actually 3.7 C / 38.66 F down in the community garden

Posted

24F at my house in San Antonio. Power is still going! NICE!

  • Upvote 1

-Chris

San Antonio, TX - 2023 designated zone 9A 🐍 🌴🌅

(formerly Albuquerque, NM ☀️ zone 7B for 30 years)

Washingtonia filifera/ Washingtonia robusta/ Sabal mexicana/ Sabal uresana/ Sabal minor/ Sabal miamiensis/ Dioon edule

2025-2026 - low 20F/ 2024-2025 - low 21F/ 2023-2024 - low 18F/ 2022-2023 - low 16F/ 2021-2022 - low 21F/ 2020-2021 - low 9F

Posted
1 hour ago, MarcusH said:

23f right now but it was 21f around 7am with ice all over the place. 

 

1 hour ago, ChrisA said:

24F at my house in San Antonio. Power is still going! NICE!

It's pushing its way here. I think I'm gonna be up all night babysitting my POS gas heater in the plant room. 

  • Upvote 1
Posted

The ultimate low at my house this morning was 22F (-5.5C).  Now my thermometer is showing 29F (-1.7C). The sun is peaking through the clouds here and there and the ice is melting.  Amazingly the ice is starting to melt where the sun or at least the brightness is hitting it.  Still frozen in the shade.  Fortunately we are locked in a MEGA drought as all the precipitation that was forecasted was cut in third. The one inch with thunderstorms we were on tap to get two nights ago amounted to 0.37" and the nearly .3 inched of ice they forecasted we were going to get was maybe 1/10th.  The roads look clean and dry, even though there is hardly a soul out. Tonight is  supposed to reach 21F and tomorrow night is forecasted for 18F.  We will see. My robusta's look miserable. Filiferas are holding up, but I do wonder how my 70+ year old ones are going to do. I've written before, but they have mostly defoliated in 4 of the last 5 winters, so if they don't tolerate this winter better, then it'll be the 5th time in 6 consecutive seasons. No Bueno!

  • Upvote 1

-Chris

San Antonio, TX - 2023 designated zone 9A 🐍 🌴🌅

(formerly Albuquerque, NM ☀️ zone 7B for 30 years)

Washingtonia filifera/ Washingtonia robusta/ Sabal mexicana/ Sabal uresana/ Sabal minor/ Sabal miamiensis/ Dioon edule

2025-2026 - low 20F/ 2024-2025 - low 21F/ 2023-2024 - low 18F/ 2022-2023 - low 16F/ 2021-2022 - low 21F/ 2020-2021 - low 9F

Posted
1 hour ago, ChrisA said:

The ultimate low at my house this morning was 22F (-5.5C).  Now my thermometer is showing 29F (-1.7C). The sun is peaking through the clouds here and there and the ice is melting.  Amazingly the ice is starting to melt where the sun or at least the brightness is hitting it.  Still frozen in the shade.  Fortunately we are locked in a MEGA drought as all the precipitation that was forecasted was cut in third. The one inch with thunderstorms we were on tap to get two nights ago amounted to 0.37" and the nearly .3 inched of ice they forecasted we were going to get was maybe 1/10th.  The roads look clean and dry, even though there is hardly a soul out. Tonight is  supposed to reach 21F and tomorrow night is forecasted for 18F.  We will see. My robusta's look miserable. Filiferas are holding up, but I do wonder how my 70+ year old ones are going to do. I've written before, but they have mostly defoliated in 4 of the last 5 winters, so if they don't tolerate this winter better, then it'll be the 5th time in 6 consecutive seasons. No Bueno!

Most of the ice is gone but like you said there's still some ice in shaded areas and from my observation I still have some ice on palms here and there.  Hoped for more sun but no it's completely overcast at this moment.  We're back to our typical winter again.  

  • Like 1
Posted

Yes, the clouds have been persistent today. The sun came out several times but I am thinking the sun's energy is being mostly used to melt ice which raises humidity and probably creates more clouds. According to my min/max thermometer we just barely reached 32F and are back down to 30 now.  

-Chris

San Antonio, TX - 2023 designated zone 9A 🐍 🌴🌅

(formerly Albuquerque, NM ☀️ zone 7B for 30 years)

Washingtonia filifera/ Washingtonia robusta/ Sabal mexicana/ Sabal uresana/ Sabal minor/ Sabal miamiensis/ Dioon edule

2025-2026 - low 20F/ 2024-2025 - low 21F/ 2023-2024 - low 18F/ 2022-2023 - low 16F/ 2021-2022 - low 21F/ 2020-2021 - low 9F

Posted

28f and falling! Just brought my Wunderground back online. :) 

Howdy 🤠

Posted

Coldest day so far this winter. We had 30°F overnight low.

 

 

20260125a.thumb.jpg.4243db20906e251fa51183262caa6171.jpg

  • Like 2
Posted

I've got multiple apps telling me multiple things so I'm just gonna roll with Accuweather. It says our temp is 28 with a "feels like" of 11 and I absolutely believe it. My nipples could cut glass and my boy parts are halfway up my ribcage after walking the dog, and everything is just soaking wet. The whole yard is like the carpet in a flooded house. My toes are all wet. I'm not particularly enjoying this but I know a lot of people got it worse than this so I'm just gonna scratch my belly button and keep checking the plant room heater. 

  • Like 1
Posted

A mild 72  w/ some thicker mid level clouds passing through at 1:49PM..  Will they  thin out enough-,  long enough,  to reach the suggested forecast high today?  We'll see.. 

Regardless,  upward trend continues as we head through the final days of Jan. '26.. 

Weekend ahead?  ..If it holds ofcourse..  Chef's Kiss

First week of the final 28 days of winter here?  ..Looking just as nice.  We'll see how any  passing cloud cover helps ..or hinders.. reaching  ( or exceeding ) the currently suggested forecast highs.. 78 or 9 could end up a deg or 3 warmer if clouds ain't messing with insolation.


Screenshot2026-01-28at13-36-47ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.thumb.png.9ea883acbd40dcb8525c3cac94804b27.png

We'll see how long it lasts..   


 Lots of Sunrise / Sunset opportunities over the coming days regardless..


Side note  P.V. check:    🤔 Why is a Bruce Springsteen track suddenly ringing in my ear 🤔  ..I'm goin down, down, down....


Screenshot2026-01-28at13-44-59ECMWFCharts.thumb.png.269680579089fb8b05a51f1916fc1649.png


Also,  While only worth 1/4th of a penny < at best >,   Accuweather's thoughts on Spring were dropped this morning.. 

Worth even less,  but,  Old Timer's  Almanac  also released their " Spring season " thoughts yesterday too.. 



 

Posted

Nearing 22:30 hrs - Jan. 28, 2026 - Through the kitchen window.

 

2026-01-28.jpg.2f6152ff9ede34bdb14a74490279b096.jpg

  • Like 2
Posted
4 minutes ago, Las Palmas Norte said:

Nearing 22:30 hrs - Jan. 28, 2026 - Through the kitchen window.

 

2026-01-28.jpg.2f6152ff9ede34bdb14a74490279b096.jpg

:greenthumb: Only 2 ( or 3..  Hard to tell, but looks like 50F ) deg. cooler than here  ( 52 at 11:34PM local time ) 

  • Like 1
Posted

Was worried earlier cloud cover hangin around might spoil todays step up in temps but, ..Lookin pretty nice around the hood atm ( 4PM )

Screenshot2026-01-29at15-53-46ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.485ed2465057d7828588a645bfe999d4.png




What could be better than yesterday's forecast thoughts?  ..Howabout' todays.. 

 :greenthumb: :greenthumb:  =  IF  it holds..  :greenthumb:


Screenshot2026-01-29at15-54-13ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.thumb.png.6da979637e0e6168e891dc30d173ca14.png

 

Posted

11C / 52F here at midday. The past 3 weeks have been very mild and VERY wet. Nights have been pretty mild.

IMG_1016.thumb.jpeg.7d9f2aaab9c32fee2cc323b75f355f65.jpeg


Phenomenal cold coming to Ukraine and parts of eastern Europe. The war over there will have to wind down for the next few weeks as it is just too cold to fight. If you think it is cold where you are in parts of the mid-West and east coast of the USA, well… Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, is expecting close to -30C / -22F. There will be at least 2 consecutive nights of -26C / -15F with daytime maximums of -17C / 2F. That is close to the all-time record there. And many places have no electricity or heating due to infrastructure damage. The Met Office are forecasting -29C / -20F on Sunday night.

IMG_1017.thumb.jpeg.54b7f01ace92b92286cf68fb8cb81bc0.jpeg

IMG_1015.thumb.jpeg.30e4e24596e133e8c12290d901bb5a18.jpeg
 

The all-time record minimum at London St James Park for comparison is -10.0C / 14F in February 1929. So Kyiv’s daytime maximum will be significantly colder than that!!! Kyiv is also slightly lower latitude/closer to the equator as well at 50N vs 51N for London. So absolutely brutal cold for them guys. In fact Kyiv’s minimum on Sunday night may be colder than the UK’s all time record, which is only -27C.

Dry-summer Oceanic / Warm summer Med (Csb) - 9a

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

Posted

Screenshot_2026-01-31-08-30-36-053.thumb.jpg.c1a4ce762e912059b9d5f02f0478f907.jpg

 

Nice and toasty. 

 

I've been working in the grow room and going in and out all night. My testicles have ascended into my ribcage. 

Posted

High of 7.6°C Low of 3.9°C today. Currently around 6°C. So far winter has been quite dry but also very grey. But it seems to get clearer and clearer. At least the sun is already sitting higher and the days get brighter.

  

Posted

Almost 80F at 1:19PM on the final day of January and month #2 of winter 25 -26..  

Looking ..warm to ...toasty??   for the next 9 days, no matter how you slice n' dice the current forecast.   Could we flirt with  ..or exceed a daily record or two in the coming days??


Screenshot2026-01-31at13-16-20ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.thumb.png.6c871fdfee27d1a0302b9455bf11cfa1.png

Looking great around town too..

Screenshot2026-01-31at13-14-01ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.12243251054a94054a51d9a2f792d85b.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at13-14-32ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.9ae9b22eed8e9f4bf6755bb62952ee5a.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at13-15-18ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.12a84f14b2659bbb5bf93eaef98778b9.png



While month 3 of winter here can be mild,  If it holds, 2 ( Perhaps more?? ) several days of highs reaching the lower to mid 80s would be quite an achievement for February. 

Eye-balling the " Neighborhood Level " readings for any 90s over the coming week to 10 days too. 


Curious how the next 6 - 12 days could stack up against a couple specific years,   If the forecast over the coming days stays in the park,  it could easily top both 2018 and 2021 in just how warm the month started / days it stayed warm before pulling back a bit later on,  if it does at all.

Feb. 2018:


Screenshot2026-01-31at11-54-21WeatherinFebruary2018inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.3969fbab688dd4932feb13eec548687c.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-55-01WeatherinFebruary2018inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.0d85db50b038cdd15c773bc112bb1ebc.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-55-26WeatherinFebruary2018inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.fbf5c53b98b9243aa6c819badbb61efc.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at11-56-15WeatherinFebruary2018inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.634f83e520928be5e0b6fb86086b55eb.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-56-47WeatherinFebruary2018inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.791377b5355c053af62045e5e1257b9f.png



Feb. 2021: 

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-57-29WeatherinFebruary2021inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.28345ad14c7cf4214e09443326d580e1.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-58-19WeatherinFebruary2021inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.0faaaa7bc23b7aed50742d3839af6080.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at11-58-53WeatherinFebruary2021inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.3b63baa0c3b08034d6c5bf0c5528a656.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at11-59-23WeatherinFebruary2021inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.920d9d346eee2cd3676bdc8c42822843.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at11-59-49WeatherinFebruary2021inChandlerArizonaUSA.thumb.png.8159ed5fa7b0d5ec02d26290bb35ebbc.png


** Time and Date Historical WX Data.. **



Why pick these two years?   ...Well,   if you've been around long enough,  you'll pick up on why    ..If not? ..stay tuned..    Regardless...



Looking forward as we count down the final 28 days of this winter,  two scenarios could play out ..

One, it stays warm to fairly mild n' dry thru the month..

2nd scenario is,  like most years,  inc. the two highlighted,  we start out warm,  then pull back a bit / introduce some shower chances here and there again later  ..temporarily..    ..before we're essentially  ..." off to the races "  by the time we reach March..   Looking over all the current longer - term model thoughts,  both outcomes are on the table atm.  

CanSIPS Monthly outlook should update ( Feb - Jan '27 forecast range ) later today / this evening.  Other longer range model data ( CFS Monthly / From Copernicus, etc ) will trickle in over the coming week. 



Not just the low deserts of AZ welcoming in Feb. on the " quite warm "  side  either.. 

 Looking over point and click forecasts across CA,  ..Even areas up in the Bay Area may see highs in the lower to  mid 70s over the next few days, inc. both Santa Cruz, and Monterey. San Diego may flirt w/ 80 on one or two days as well. 

Several 82- 85+ readings on those point and clicks throughout a good chunk of S. Cal, esp. inland from the immediate coast. 

Unfortunately, Cen. Valley spots may have to dela with more Tule Fog issues keeping a lid on temps.. 



End of the month look at SSTs ( ** Via SOTO data  )  as we slide out of winter 25 -26..  Pretty warm overall across the N. Pacific,  but  ..QUITE warm off  Cen. / S. CA,  Pretty warm further north,  up into Canada / Alaska   ..and also quite warm off a good chunk of  W. / S. Mexico / both sides of Baja for this time of the year..   Imo, Since SSTs will only warm from here onward, generally speaking,  a very interesting way to start off 2026.  


Screenshot2026-01-31at13-54-34SOTObyWorldview.thumb.png.4f99481be84e1b5c3e1ce1c26a0a6ff6.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at13-55-17SOTObyWorldview.thumb.png.e53d22cecbe84966d5d885af8dcd4603.png




End of the month P.V. check:   SSW?  ..and..  potential  collapse on the way????

Screenshot2026-01-31at13-56-07ECMWFCharts.thumb.png.1a6156d4f827b6a13e7ad21a7a57d2f2.png


May check in later w/ some top out readings.. 

  • Like 1
Posted
1 hour ago, Silas_Sancona said:

May check in later w/ some top out readings.. 

Some late afternoon readings across AZ and CA at 3:57PM MST..

Locally:


Screenshot2026-01-31at15-45-15ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.ac09a9a0657d228a65ae413b5676ead4.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-45-47ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.369fa27705074bf0977f716905f11751.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-47-35ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.bf594432a82f43e36cfeac88990812f8.png




Tucson and da'  Border..

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-54-26RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.afb0a3cc31281771310dfd7562e395a7.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-54-55RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.e521fa99c3dc33426f7c3dbbc45ecc1f.png



CA..

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-49-30RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.f5ba15ea9d861c1aa2cfc1ba1b9e46f1.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at15-50-05RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.18c254756704d4029ce017580445d7f6.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at15-50-41RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.61b4ebe6a6e03fdd5a63d486626f917c.png


Screenshot2026-01-31at15-53-38RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.651f36413af0fd0472e2cbdb43e7a772.png

Screenshot2026-01-31at15-51-55RiversideCA10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.b378e425b90b79f09a1596819194d930.png

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On another note as we end the month   ...and likely " winter " 25 -6


 To All ASU fans:   Please enjoy our always generous   servings of stabby forks for dinner tonight 🤣👎


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  VIVA  ....LOS GATOS!!  

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 ...Onward to destroying Oklahoma State.  :greenthumb:

Posted

Describing the weather on your Sunday afternoon / First day of February /  Day 28 of the LAST month of winter 25 -26??   Late 80s / early 90s band Cameo said it best:     " A surprise package on a bright, clear,  sunny day..  

Nothin but 80s around town at 4:20PM MST   ..W/ a few neighbrhood spots getting real close to 90F as the afternoon wraps up.. 


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Managed to squeeze out an 85F in the hood around 3. 

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As i'd anticipated, PHX ( At Sky Harbour ) broke their daily high record.. Will be interesting to see if the low tomorrow morning is also within record territory, esp. if any clouds move in over night to trap heat.. 

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Tucson lookin about as niice as well..  Upper 60s /low 70s around the Border towns south of the Old Pueblo, ..which is quite nice this time of year down there..

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Little cooler today compared to yesterday when checking in on many areas of S.Cal.  About the same up in / around the South Bay / Monterey Bay region.  Another bump up expected for many areas out there at some point this week..



Current forecast is hung on 80F w/ some clouds around tomorrow  but,  ..i really think it will end up warmer  ..esp. if any cloud cover present thru the day is the high,  thin stuff  and patchy / accounts for less than 50% coverage at any given time through the day..  We shall see.    'Next shot at the mid / < Upper??? > 80s returns by " Hump " Day (  Wednesday ) 




'Eeegardless,  Enjoy the week ahead / Don't even think about whining about the " heat "  :greenthumb: 



'Siide Note for 2-day:  Some stats for January across the region: Interesting that our " Mean Temp " was higher than Yuma last month.


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Posted

Recorded a high of 81F and morning low of 53F today where I am in the east valley of AZ. The warm weather looks like it will continue through the weekend before cooling off next week. 

This really has been a mild, if not warm winter here in the desert southwest. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, 80s Kid said:

Recorded a high of 81F and morning low of 53F today where I am in the east valley of AZ. The warm weather looks like it will continue through the weekend before cooling off next week. 

This really has been a mild, if not warm winter here in the desert southwest. 

Managed to top out at 83F around 3PM, before wavering between 81 -82 until about sunset down here..  60 currently. 



 

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Posted

Rolling through the mid 60s at 9:44AM,   Headed for  ..Flirting with 90,  perhaps??  later?    ..We'll see. 

Suggested forecast high here in Chandler is 85 but, with wall to wall sunshine and temps already moving through the 70s in several neighborhoods around the valley,  before  10AM,  reasonable to think seeing at least a few 90 ( ..or 90+ ) readings by 3:30PM  aren't off the table..  Again though,  ..we'll see.  Slightly toasty today regardless. 

As noted, early Feb. warmth hangs around thru at least Monday,  before a potential cool down sets in as we head toward mid month as the overall pattern becomes less blocked, thus allowing some deg. of unsettled WX conditions to return to AZ  ..and the rest of the west ..at least temporarily.  


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We'll see if that equals any more rain / snow chances,  let alone ..what would likely be..  the last opportunity for some mid to high 30s morning lows before the pattern flips again toward the end of the month.  .. Flipping again = Is the current thinking at least..

Low desert spots locally aren't the only folks enjoying some great weather over the next few days either..  Once again, touring the point and click forecasts, many spots in S.CA will reach the 80s / flirt with 90F readings  today  ..and/ or tomorrow, before temps start a downhill slide over the upcoming weekend. 

" hot " February includes the " often misses out on such " winter "  warmth  spells " Bay Area spots like  San Jose/ Los Gatos, Santa Cruz, and various spots near Monterey which could see highs flirt with 80, close to the beaches..  Not bad..  :greenthumb:





Today's side note: ..we'll see what today's thoughts suggest around 1PM but,  .. Going with yesterday's,  for the moment at least,  While it weakens again, appears the P.V.  may avoid diving into complete reversal / SSW territory..

**From the ECMWF Website **


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If.. that is the case,  that could factor into the mid /late  month forecast..



Lengthy  but Judah Cohen ( Posts weekly / bi-weekly blog updates on the AER website ) echoed similar thoughts on what may  ..or may not..  happen w/ the Polar Vortex over the next few weeks..  https://published.aer.com/aoblog/aoblog.html

As mentioned,   We'll see what is suggested today.. 


 

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Posted

North side abient temperature.

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South side ambient temperature. 

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Posted

82F at 4:51PM after reaching the forecasted 85 earlier, despite the stiff easterly breezes through the afternoon..  Same breeziness tempered neighborhood - level highs a hair today as well.. Still, quite warm regardless. 

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Same breeziness likely helped various areas around S.Cal top out in the low 90s / Areas up in the south bay reach into the 80s, even near the beaches in a few circumstances. 

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Anticipated increase in clouds tomorrow may keep temps closer to 80 ..if not slightly below,   depending on how quickly they move in. Same quick system might  squeeze out a sprinkle or two Thursday night before it moves out. 

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Posted

Although I've only lived in the area for a few years, I would guess that the Phoenix metro area is tracking to have one of the warmest winters on record. High was 81 again yesterday.  Many of the highs this winter would pass for July in the northeast. We've also had many nights in the 50sF which is tough in the desert where the nights are typically chilly. 

My lemon tree is in full bloom which usually doesn't happen until late March/early April. It's in a large (~25 gal) pot and maybe has more to do with the early season rain but I've had it over four years and haven't seen this before. 

Posted

30°F at my place NE of ATL. Downtown, 34°F.

Posted

Nice. 

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Ofc they said we were gonna be cold so I just covered up the palms again. 

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Posted

Another fine 69F at 6:59PM MST after reaching 83 ..or 4 earlier under mainly clear skies. 

Weekend ahead looks  ..Just as fine across the valley / region,  though a little cooler w/ some rain sneaking into the forecast by Monday across parts of CA.. 

Temps both tomorrow, Sunday, and Monday  could end up a deg or two warmer than what is currently suggested  ..as is what happened today. 


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Here, next week?... We'll see how quickly we'll start cooling down.  Regardless, even pulling back to the mid 70s later next week, if that occurs,  would still be above avrg. for the 2nd week of Feb.  

While the idea of some storminess returning to the area is on ..pretty much..  all the models atm as we head for mid month,  it may not add up to much,  even if it brings some rain / snow chances, and a couple days of cool-ish afternoons / mornings. Increasing sun angle / associated time for insolation are quickly ramping up so , ..pattern change that could have brought a freeze threat a month ago is quickly becoming a non concern ..that's not to say a freak cold morning isn't still possible thru ~roughly~ March 8th but ..sustained cold spell threat is almost wrapped up for the winter here.   We'll see. 

 

Looking at a few early in the month thoughts for March from the CFSv2,  you can see how  ...for now...  the dry  / above avrg ( temps ) trend is holding for the west  ..if not building a bit < in today's thoughts >   

Precip anom and probability:


Screenshot2026-02-06at18-56-13summaryCFSv2.NaPrecProb.202603.gif(GIFImage1100850pixels)Scaled(84).thumb.png.e88d21832ecc73cc381ad05450ff27ad.png

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Temp anom and probability: 


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Since forecast thoughts from this model are a constantly shifting target that can flip n'  flop  multiple times per week, always take what it says (  right now,  or,  ..at any given time )   w/ a grain of salt.     We'll see how this looks around the 16th.  By then, other model thoughts, that aren't quite as shifty,   should have a decent view into what the first month of Spring '26 could look like. 

With that said,  should the dry / trending drier,  and high % of above norm temps suggestions hold,  March could offer up a decent taste of early season heat.. 




..Part of the back and forth in some of the current the forecasts may be tied to what the P.V. is  ..or appears as though it may not..   be doing..  for the moment at least as we move through the rest of the month.  

 Trend going forward may still be headed below normal but, ..compared to how the plot below looked a few days ago,  a general drop into neg. avrg. territory doesn't look all that frightening..  Any significant SSW and/or possible collapse / reversal are off the table   ...for the moment... 

Will be interesting to see if  the trend manages to stay near normal a bit longer ..say thru the 20th /  end of the month   before starting that gradual slide toward a final warming ( Final warming = Where the P.V. disappears for the year )


Screenshot2026-02-06at18-48-00ECMWFCharts.thumb.png.587e8b83626120f577f2b4da8b25db0c.png

For now,  enjoy another perfect " winter " weekend in the desert.. :greenthumb:

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Posted

Measured above on the balcony fortress 🤗☀️ in the shade 

Down in the community garden at the Bresser weather station, solar-ventilated 🤗

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