What is your current yard temperature?

[Silas_Sancona]

After only dropping to 65F overnight here / 66F at Sky Harbour, which is hot, by late March standards ( Normal avrg. low at this point in the year is only 51F ) 90F at 11:23AM with lots of low to mid 90s around the valley..

Forecast high here in Chandler = 97 or 98..

Phoenix ( at Sky Harbour ) = 100F

Temps keep rising as quickly as they have so far thru the rest of the day?  85% chance we'll hit the century mark here / top it ..by at least a deg. at Sky Harbour by 5PM..

If the official WX station in PHX does manage to reach / exceed 100, it will not only break the daily record ( 96F ) but also be the earliest 1st 100F day -ever-  ..by exactly 1 day ( March 26th is #1, for now.. )

We'll see how things are looking ( Cooking? ) around 2PM. 

Eyes on the high country for another day of records up there too. 

[Silas_Sancona]

Temp check as of 4:47PM..

We did it ..here in / near downtown Chandler at least..  Back down to 97F currently.



Sky Harbour currently sitting at 99F. Looks like they will barely miss cracking 100.  Regardless, w/ " staying above 68 - 70 " in the forecast over there overnight, smashing the previous low record of 66 set in 1990 looks pretty likely.


Neighborhood - level wise?  plenty of 100 / 100+ readings around the valley this afternoon, inc. the year's first 104 - 107F readings ..Pretty wild for so early in the Spring.

#'s were as of 3:30PM.























About as hot further south.














80s / low 90s might not sound all that hot but close to the AZ / Mexico border? ..that's pretty toasty for late MARCH..











While 90s will hang around for a couple more days before a bigger cool down arrives by the final weekend of the month, 100s will be off the table for -at least- the first 6 - 8 days of the month ahead while some early April storms pass to our north keep the subtropical high from really dropping anchor over the state.

Next opportunity at making a run at the upper 90s / 100s may occur sometime around the 10th -13th, if the trough-y pattern setting up off CA  atm finally gets kicked out..

With a surge of moisture anticipated to move north through the state from Mexico tomorrow, there is a slight threat of dry, high - based Thunderstorms up in the mountains north / east of Phoenix, and possibly into parts of western New Mexico..  Something to watch for possible fire starts.

[sandgroper]

Currently 36c at 6.00pm after a warm top of 38c today.

[Silas_Sancona]

After a hot start,  final Friday of the month ends on a milder note as we gear up for what might be the last??? cool spell of this side of the year..

Weekend ahead looks perfect w/ temps hanging in the lower / mid 80s and some clouds passing thru at times..

At the moment,  as March ends at the start or next week, a series of storms expected to bring some April showers to California next week ushers in some cooler air that should stick around thru roughly the first Friday of April.



While most forecasts keep things dry here, not out of the question one of the storms forecast next week could bring some showers to -at least- northern AZ mid to late week..

Heading into the first full week of April, depending on the forecast,  the spigot may shut down as the trough that will bring the unsettled WX to CA / cool down here gets kicked out after the 7th or 8th.. We'll see..

90s may be back in the forecast -here at least- by that time.. 

Looking at tonight's 840 GEFS, lots of above normal colors for the west after the cooler start to April next week.  Thoughts from the ECMWF weeklys today are similar..


At the same time, some encouraging signs as attention turns to watching the progress / intensity of the rainy season in eastern and southern Mexico next month.. 

While the GEFS 840/00Z may be more optimistic than what the the current ECMWF might be suggesting, at the very least, the lack of " Below Normal " anomaly shading across that chunk of Mexico looks better than how things were looking at the same time last year..







Since both forecasts are just suggestions this far out,  we'll see how things actually progress as we head thru April.

Hopefully, by the beginning of May, we'll see the first hints of weak, dry storms trying to fire up over the northern end of the Sierra Madre Occidental just south of the AZ / MEX. border / fleeting buildups at times over the mountains around and south of Tucson as the rainy season slowly creeps further west and north across Mexico.

Up here, April = up go the temps, as we move forward
 

[PAPalmtrees]

10:35 zone 7a  Needmore Pennsylvania  Right now it's 71° and it's gonna be in the 80s today and high 70s all weekend

[PAPalmtrees]

12:15 Needmore Pennsylvania 81f 

[Silas_Sancona]

A mild 75F at 10:26PM as the final minutes of March tick away...

As April arrives,  some clouds, breezes and cool-ish  as a couple storms swing through the west thru the week..

Not expecting any, but, a very slight chance of a sprinkle or two as the strongest of the two storms ( Passing thru the state tomorrow and Wednesday ) rolls across the top of AZ over the next 36 hours..  High country spots like Flagstaff might squeeze out a dusting of snow. Bigger effect from it will be another round of wind, esp. across both the high country, and across far S.E. AZ.

Next storm, forecast to pass through on Friday, looks pretty weak, though it will likely bring more wind as it passes.  As it heads east into N.M, it could hang onto just enough cold air to generate a little snow as it heads into the plains on Saturday..



After that?..  while there is still some wavering in day to day forecast thoughts by some of the model runs atm, overall suggestion is this could be our last " cool " spell, w/ temps. quickly rebounding back into the 80s by the start of next week, w/possible 90s just beyond that..

Longer range thoughts looking toward mid month even hint that the next run of possible 100s may arrive soon..   We'll see..

For now, if you like it cool -ish.. Enjoy the next few days..  Might not see the 60s -for highs-  again until late ....November..

[Silas_Sancona]

74F with passing clouds and breeziness.. Reach the bottom,  temp - wise, tomorrow.

Enjoy, 'cuz

more confirmation today some big changes are on the horizon.. For the entire west,  as next week arrives..

[Silas_Sancona]

A pretty nice end of the week after a blustry  n' sorta chilly middle.   

Hanging in the low 70s, under plenty of sun, and some pretty, puffy clouds trying hard to drop sprinkles here and there while looking kinda monsoon-y..

Temps = Up up and away after today as what is left of the current trough over the west finally gets booted outta town..



W/ 850mb temps looking warmer this time around as this weeks warm up peaks,  compared to the heat wave last week, if we somehow manage to escape the next attempt at officially hitting 100 this time next week,  pretty likely, for now at least, the next opportunity won't be too far off..

In fact,  ..They be laughable fantasy now ...but might not be too far off from how the overall pattern may progress over the next few weeks..

W/ that in mind:

Mid 80s - low/ mid 90s in San Jose /  Mid - upper 90s, to above 100 for portions of the Cen.. Valley  ..in April?...  would be mind benders, if such readings did occur.   A day before  Easter?   ..Pretty darn wild, imo.

12Z ECMWF Fantasy -cast




12Z  ECMWF - AIFS  fantasies..




Funny pages kinda'  stuff for now?,  Perhaps,  ....We'll see what happens.. 

 

[UK_Palms]

Max of 24.1C here today. The situation is critical beyond belief. I have shut all my windows due to the wildfire smoke here. It absolutely stinks. Even Ireland is getting f*cked. I have had 0.1 inches of rainfall across 6 weeks now.

 

[Foxpalms]

Low of 44f/6.c with a high of 66.4f/19.1c with 28% humidity.  Not quite as warm as yesterdays high of 73.4f/23c. Yesterdays low was 52f/11c. 

Forecast looks pretty good in terms of temps. With the ground as dry as it currently is and with clear skies we will likely over achieve those temps.

[sandgroper]

Having a lovely break on the Abrolhos Islands here in Western Australia. Very pleasant cooler temperatures 80 kilometres off the coast, currently a sunny 25c at 3.30pm.

[PAPalmtrees]

cold weather and a Frost warning of course Hopefully the plants are okay all of my Canna Lily and elephant ears have leaves and most of the trees are Leafing out I'm gonna have to cover up some of my plants. Not the most normal thing to have high 20 temps in April but definitely Has happened a couple times before.

[Silas_Sancona]

Toasty 86F under wall to wall sunshine...  Sizzle-fest Take #1 ..on the way for the rest of the week..   We'll see if the current temps anticipated for the peak of this heatwave are under ..or over.. done.. Regardless, 104-107F readings at the neighborhood WX station level are certainly possible both days..



Unless things change by the end of the week, heat should back off -a little- by the weekend.

No matter what,  Great weather for getting the box of Canna Rhizomes on my doorstep, in the ground.. 

[Mazat]

at the moment it is exactly 18.5 degrees celsius / 65.3 degrees fahrenheit and rising, in the morning when i left it had an unbelievable low minimum of 0.5 degrees celsius / 32.9 degrees celsius. so these enormous differences between daily minimum and maximum have become more extreme from year to year down here in the community garden. 
we told our meteorologist colleague yesterday that this does not mean oceanic climate, he was speechless. of course he had to check the weather station or ventilation to say if it deviates then a maximum of 1 degree celsius / 33.8 degrees fahrenheit, on a sunny summer day even a little more ... 

[Mazat]

3 minutes ago, Mazat said:

at the moment it is exactly 18.5 degrees celsius / 65.3 degrees fahrenheit and rising, in the morning when i left it had an unbelievable low minimum of 0.5 degrees celsius / 32.9 degrees celsius. so these enormous differences between daily minimum and maximum have become more extreme from year to year down here in the community garden. 
we told our meteorologist colleague yesterday that this does not mean oceanic climate, he was speechless. of course he had to check the weather station or ventilation to say if it deviates then a maximum of 1 degree celsius / 33.8 degrees fahrenheit, on a sunny summer day even a little more ... 

rainfall march to date 20.4 mm / 0.8 inch

[Mazat]

1 minute ago, Mazat said:

rainfall march to date 20.4 mm / 0.8 inch

 

[Foxpalms]

High of 74f/23.3c yesterday with 21% humidity. UV index was a 5.5. The grass is starting to brown after weeks without rain.

I have also noticed loads of self seeded echiums have appeared all over the garden.

Next week it looks like we won't be getting much rain. 

[Silas_Sancona]

82F at 9:26AM ...headed for day #3 at / above 100F.. Should be the last early 100 of this streak though as some troughs passing to our north push temps back into an above ..but closer to normal... range over the coming days..

Eyeballing it, but doubt the currently suggested opportunity for " April showers " showing up in the forecast atm right around Easter come to pass..



If it actually pans out and that passing system did manage to draw in just enough moisture for any, we might get a sprinkle here..

At the most optimistic end, ...since it is mid- April, can't rule out any thunderstorm activity occurring -somewhere- nearby should that storm manage to pass close enough to create good dynamics during the warmest part of the day..  Doubtful, ...but we'll see..

Typical dusty breeziness associated w/ passing spring storms here is more likely than any rain..

Any quick cooldown  associated w/ that blip on the radar should be short lived as temps appear to rebound afterwards, though maybe not returning to the 90s right away.. 

[Silas_Sancona]

A slightly toasty ( 90F at 2:27PM ), slightly breezy, sun-shiny Wednesday in  mid April..

Cool break between the 90s over the next few days as a narrow trough swings thru the state..

What was looking like a decent shot at a few April Showers sometime on Friday now looks pretty slight as a majority of moisture this trough was expected to pick up as it passes through stays well north of the lower deserts..

Not to say something can't be squeezed out as the tail end of the trough quickly passes east overhead, but,  a few sprinkles, similar to what occurred on Monday as some subtropical moisture passed through looks more likely than anything that would wet the sidewalks or soak the ground..



A memory as the trough reaches the Central Plains by mid - day on Saturday, taking the 70s / low 80s with it..  Back to the mid / upper 80s by Easter, next stretch of 90s starts on Monday..  we'll see if temps stay in the lower 90s thru the rest of the currently suggested 10 day forecast, or the heat kicks it up a notch ( ..or two, ..or .. ) as we close in on the final days of the month..



On a side note: While i'll post it again later, looks like PRISM group has been working w/ the UofA to construct some better detailed precip / precip %'age maps from past Monsoon seasons going back to 1981.

https://cales.arizona.edu/climate/misc/SWMonsoonMaps/historical/past_SWUS_monsoon.html

Interesting to look over to see how each season shakes out, let alone how one corner of the state might reach 150 -200% of normal rainfall, yet most of the rest of the state barely cracks 50-70%  that same year. Arizona and New Mexico aren't big states, so such a varied outcome some years over such small areas is pretty unique and goes to show how while your backyard gauge might have only accumulated dust, 70 miles away, a friends backyard gauge might have been full / their local landscape green..

Using any of the Precip % maps, one can click onto it and open other stats related to how much rainfall fell that year, not just in what gauges X Y Z  local NWS office, Flood Control District,  or sites like Rainlog.org might use,  but state / region -wide...  Which tells the story of how good or bad things were,  on a wider and more important than just in one's back yard  scale..

UofA has always had this data, but it looks like they fused it all together to make it easier to access..  Interesting stuff regardless.

[PAPalmtrees]

I'm loving this weather Needmore PA zone 7a

[Silas_Sancona]

After a little more rain than i'd expected last night ( ..enough to wet the sidewalks/ streets ..and trickle off the roof for an hour )  ..and quite a wind event before the rain finally made it to this side of the Valley...

A fine 69F at 1:41 on 4 / 19 ..under wall to wall sun and a few lingering puffy clouds, and a much nicer breeze than yesterday evening..

Can't ask for a better Saturday for that pre- Easter Picnic in the park,  walk about in the desert,  or backyard BBQ  in Mid April in the Desert.. 

Up ..a notch.. tomorrow. Still plenty nice for those enjoying Easter Sunday festivities.

Up a couple more notches by Monday, then maybe down a couple by next weekend..




All in all?   Chef's Kiss kinda forecast as we close in on April's exit.. 

[PAPalmtrees]

Currently 90° zone 7a Needmore Pennsylvania 

[OutpostPalms]

9:07 pm Bay St Louis, Mississippi currently 72 degrees F. Almost getting to that time of staying 70+ 24/7. 

[PAPalmtrees]

Currently raining and the temperature is 65 degrees, next weeks Weather is going to be pretty nice.

[Foxpalms]

Min of 8c/46.4f with a high of 18c/64.4f with 39% humidity. 

Forecast looking pretty good for the next 7 days.  Gfs run till May the 7th is showing predominantly high pressure.

[Foxpalms]

Forecast looking very good for the end of April and the start of May. I have a feeling mid May will cool down to around 18-20c before it heats up again. This summer definitely has potential to be one of the hottest on record. In terms of extreme heat that will all depend on how dry Iberia is going into summer. Average high so far for April has been 17.5c with an average low of 8c. With 15mm of rain. 

Palms all growing well even the Opuntia microdasys is starting to flower, which is around 1 and a half months earlier that it flowered last year.

[UK_Palms]

Currently 18C / 64F right now.

A heat injection is imminent here. A taste of summer to end April and start off May. Likely 27-28C but a small chance of it reaching 30C at Heathrow, Kew Gardens, St James Park etc.

All of my tomatoes, peppers and veg will be planted out by tomorrow. I could have got them all out a week ago really.

[Foxpalms]

2 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

Currently 18C / 64F right now.

A heat injection is imminent here. A taste of summer to end April and start off May. Likely 27-28C but a small chance of it reaching 30C at Heathrow, Kew Gardens, St James Park etc.

 

 

The night time temps are particularly impressive for April here considering the fact it's clear skies all night.  18c at 1am and 21c at 10pm, which will be even warmer in the garden here or at street level in central London. 

Have had my chilli and tomato plant's in the ground for a few weeks now and they have put on a good amount of growth.  Certainly a lot more than last year.

 

[UK_Palms]

23C / 74F at midday here. Probably looking at 25-26C / 78F later this afternoon.

It is looking very warm later this week. The Met Office’s UKV has 30-31C showing for Thursday and Friday. The 31C / 88F is over west London and parts of Surrey.

 

I am in the 30-31C / 85-88F area on those charts, however I doubt it will go above 29C. It’s looking like 5 days of 25C+ for some places though, if today reaches 25C.

 

[Foxpalms]

Min of 11c/51.8f with a high of 25c/77f with 32% humidity. The UV index was a 6/high. Clear skies all morning, then sun and a bit of cloud around in the afternoon that suppressed the temps slightly, before back to clear skies this evening. Hot for April/ early May conditions later this week. If the 29c+ temps were on the Wednesday instead of Thursday that would of potentially been a record high for April.

I don't think I have ever seen my herbs, palms and other tropical plants grow this fast in mid spring before. My Acacia has already put on more than a foot of growth.

Parts of grass in London are already browning completely, likely only a matter of time before the ground starts looking like a desert!

 

[UK_Palms]

Very warm here on Tuesday. I will have to update the other thread soon.

 

Just a taste of what is yet to come in the next few days, before it cools off a bit. Possibly 30C / 88F on Thursday.

 

No rainfall in the forecast for us down here, going out 16 days to mid-May. That would be a concern as St James Park is only on 20mm / 0.7 inches for the entire spring so far and Heathrow is on 22mm / 0.8 inches, going back to late Feb. So those are the totals from the past 9 weeks actually. We might not get much more before June gets here.

[Mazat]

community garden:

maximum of 27.7 degrees celsius / 81.86 degrees fahrenheit on monday, yesterday 28.7 degrees celsius / 83.66 and today 29.4 degrees celsius / 84.92 degrees fahrenheit and in the nights a minimum of 7.5 degrees celsius / 45.5 degrees fahrenheit. weather station works perfectly, sabine got sunburnt and was only briefly in the community garden ...
so the differences between minimum and maximum are simply enormous for this area.

[Foxpalms]

Min of 10.5c/51f with a high of 28.2c/82.8f with 27% humidity. UV index was a 7/high. Only 1.2c off the record high for April. Tomorrow is going to be hotter, now forecasted to be 30c. 

[sandgroper]

20c at 6.30am heading for a top of 31c.

[UK_Palms]

@Mazat I mean if we are going off garden readings then my nearest PWS was 30.1C / 86F today…

 

Obviously sheltered garden microclimates do not reflect the actual temperature under the correct Meteorological siting. Hence why my nearest Met station only recorded 26.7C at Wisley Gardens. I believe your nearest official station was in the region of 24C.

Again, garden and street level temps…

 

RAF Lakenheath 4pm… 25% humidity…

St James Park 4pm…

There’s no doubt it is going to be a hot one tomorrow. 30-31C is being forecast.

 

As of 2am, the Met station at St Catherine’s Point near Ventnor is reporting 18C. As is the PWS in Ventnor.

[Mazat]

6 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

@Mazat I mean if we are going off garden readings then my nearest PWS was 30.1C / 86F today…

 

Obviously sheltered garden microclimates do not reflect the actual temperature under the correct Meteorological siting. Hence why my nearest Met station only recorded 26.7C at Wisley Gardens. I believe your nearest official station was in the region of 24C.

Again, garden and street level temps…

 

RAF Lakenheath 4pm… 25% humidity…

St James Park 4pm…

There’s no doubt it is going to be a hot one tomorrow. 30-31C is being forecast.

 

As of 2am, the Met station at St Catherine’s Point near Ventnor is reporting 18C. As is the PWS in Ventnor.

Yes, you're right, Ben.

the weather stations in the gardens reflect what the sensor measures, including ventilation, but due to the sheltered location the values are simply much higher, which is of course much lower (usually) at an official weather station as there are no interfering factors nearby and the station is usually placed in an open area away from buildings and trees etc.

the weather station of a neighbor of ours had 24.9 degrees Celsius Max yesterday but is completely free of buildings, trees and is on a very large meadow.

[Mazat]

5 minutes ago, Mazat said:

Yes, you're right, Ben.

the weather stations in the gardens reflect what the sensor measures, including ventilation, but due to the sheltered location the values are simply much higher, which is of course much lower (usually) at an official weather station as there are no interfering factors nearby and the station is usually placed in an open area away from buildings and trees etc.

the weather station of a neighbor of ours had 24.9 degrees Celsius Max yesterday but is completely free of buildings, trees and is on a very large meadow.

Regarding our exotic plants, he said that it doesn't work out so well for him on his large property, he always feels the cold winds, even his 2 Trachycarpus fortunei that are in pots ...

[sandgroper]

Currently 18c at 6.00am heading for a top of 26c with the chance of a few showers which would be well received.

[Foxpalms]

Min of 12c/53.6f with a high of 29.5c with 22% humidity. The sky was clear this morning before quite a lot of cloud came in which suppressed the solar heating other wise it likely would have been 30c+. Very warm night for this early in May, the temp here still 18c at 2am. 27c tomorrow forecasted.  The average high for April was 18.3c with a low of 8.3c. I recorded 250 hours of sunshine for April and the met office announced it was the sunniest April on record.