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Outlook for February

happ

By happ
in WEATHER / CLIMATE

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happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
Posted

Hopefully the long-range forecast will come true. More wet weather for the Southwest & Southeast

febrain2010.gif

  • Upvote 1

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

epicure3 Grand Master

epicure3

Posted
Posted
Hopefully the long-range forecast will come true. More wet weather for the Southwest & Southeast

febrain2010.gif

Sure. A Feb 28th rain day would be nice at this point.

Coastal San Diego, California

Z10b

Dry summer subtropical/Mediterranean

warm summer/mild winter

Perito Experienced

Perito

Posted
Posted

I still hope for more rain, although ideally we would get some breaks in between storms to allow the water to soak in. It would be nice to top off all our reservoirs in the State and put an end to the drought talk. Happ, thank you for your updates and inside view of some of the weather forecasts. It really is nice to have the 'heads up' when severe weather might hit! Perry

Perry Glenn

SLO Palms

(805) 550-2708

http://www.slopalms.com

Nick L Enthusiast

Nick L

Posted
Posted
I still hope for more rain, although ideally we would get some breaks in between storms to allow the water to soak in. It would be nice to top off all our reservoirs in the State and put an end to the drought talk. Happ, thank you for your updates and inside view of some of the weather forecasts. It really is nice to have the 'heads up' when severe weather might hit! Perry

Ditto that!

Yes, thanks for the heads up Happ your insight saved me alot of grief. :winkie:

________________________________________________________________________________

___________________________________________________________________________

 

 

Nick L

 

Nice coastal influence at 32 43'26.88"N 116 59'01.52"W elev. 829

PalmGuyWC Grand Master

PalmGuyWC

Posted
Posted

I have some sad news. This morning Mt. Diablo outside of Walnut Creek was covered with snow. It is only about 15 miles from me. It rained most of the night and morning, and I think it was still snowing up there this morning. My low this morning was 42 F. At 5 PM this evening it's 47 F and the clouds that have kept some cover and warmer temps. are moving out. I think the next 3 nights with little cloud cover will see temps. near freezing, or at the very least some frost. I don't know if these temps will reach S. Calif, but heads up. This last front that went through is much cooler than the previous ones.

Dick

Richard Douglas

Perito Experienced

Perito

Posted
Posted

We had a little hail this afternoon and the temp. went down to 42F. Then I checked around 6PM and it was back up to 49F. I don't see any freezing low temperatures predicted here for the next few days so am hoping the forecast is correct- Chilly but not Cold!

Perry Glenn

SLO Palms

(805) 550-2708

http://www.slopalms.com

epicure3 Grand Master

epicure3

Posted
Posted
I have some sad news. This morning Mt. Diablo outside of Walnut Creek was covered with snow. It is only about 15 miles from me. It rained most of the night and morning, and I think it was still snowing up there this morning. My low this morning was 42 F. At 5 PM this evening it's 47 F and the clouds that have kept some cover and warmer temps. are moving out. I think the next 3 nights with little cloud cover will see temps. near freezing, or at the very least some frost. I don't know if these temps will reach S. Calif, but heads up. This last front that went through is much cooler than the previous ones.

Dick

It was 43F here in SD by my house an hour ago after a brief hail storm. It has shot up to 48F. Low is expected to be about 42F.

Coastal San Diego, California

Z10b

Dry summer subtropical/Mediterranean

warm summer/mild winter

PalmGuyWC Grand Master

PalmGuyWC

Posted
Posted

I was wrong about the temps. The clouds moved back in and kept it warmer. I thought it was all over but rain moving in over the SF Bay Area this morning. I've had over 8" so far. Temp is 45 this morning.

Dick

Richard Douglas

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I was wrong about the temps. The clouds moved back in and kept it warmer. I thought it was all over but rain moving in over the SF Bay Area this morning. I've had over 8" so far. Temp is 45 this morning.

Dick

Your storm won't make it into SoCal for another day or two but more rain looks likely again :mrlooney: Stayed clear but windy at times overnight so minimum stayed in mid 40's here. On Tuesday the NWS releases it's weekly update on drought conditions. There will be a huge improvement for California & Arizona.

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

DoomsDave Grand Master

DoomsDave

Posted
Posted

More rain is a good thing.

Fill up those water storage thingies . . . . . .

And the artesian basins.

The more rain No-Cal gets, the better we in So-Cal are, too. Your rain is so much more reliable . . . .

Let's keep our forum fun and friendly.

Any data in this post is provided 'as is' and in no event shall I be liable for any damages, including, without limitation, damages resulting from accuracy or lack thereof, insult, or lost profits or revenue, claims by third parties or for other similar costs, or any special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of my opinion or the use of this data. The accuracy or reliability of the data is not guaranteed or warranted in any way and I disclaim liability of any kind whatsoever, including, without limitation, liability for quality, performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose arising out of the use, or inability to use my data. Other terms may apply.

PalmGuyWC Grand Master

PalmGuyWC

Posted
Posted

More rain is a good thing.

Fill up those water storage thingies . . . . . .

And the artesian basins.

The more rain No-Cal gets, the better we in So-Cal are, too. Your rain is so much more reliable . . . .

Unfortunately our N. Cal. rain hasn't been all that reliable the past few years. A front is moving in on the SF bay area today, but it's moving very slowly. I am getting off and on what I call a Seattle drizzle, but heavier rain is forcast for later in the day. Most of it is going just north of the Golden Gate, and Marin Co. is probably getting drenched. They can get 3" sometimes and it will be sunny here, usually the earlier fronts. More rain forcast for later in the week, so let 'er rip. My rain buckets are full. I wish I had a way to store more rain water. I could actually use a couple of days of sun and some drying out. Much to soggy to pull weeds or work outside, and it's only 49F right now at 9:30 AM

Dick.

Richard Douglas

amazondk Grand Master

amazondk

Posted
Posted

Not that any of this affects me much. But, I do like to watch what is happening with the weather in the USA. Here is accuweaather for February in the news this morning. Accuweather for Feb.

It looks like there may be more threads on cold weather events upcoming.

dk

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happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Not that any of this affects me much. But, I do like to watch what is happening with the weather in the USA. Here is accuweaather for February in the news this morning. Accuweather for Feb.

It looks like there may be more threads on cold weather events upcoming.

dk

Joe Bastardi made his February prediction over a week ago. Long-range forecasts are, of-course, somewhat unreliable but Bastardi has a fairly good track record. The comment about some of the cold extending into the Great Basin puts it closer to California than what occurred earlier this month. Hopefully the arctic air will not reach as far south as well.

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

The weather computer models continue to back off on much rainfall for SoCal this week :( and we could end up with little if any moisture. Partly cloudy\ cool but dry!

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

A fairly potent storm is moving into California starting in NorCal today & SoCal tomorrow evening into Saturday. Pretty decent rainfall rates are forecast. This system is a bit north of the usual El Nino track so expect cool temps w/ the chilly post-frontal airmass by Sunday morning [possibility of frost in places].

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

epicure3 Grand Master

epicure3

Posted
Posted

A fairly potent storm is moving into California starting in NorCal today & SoCal tomorrow evening into Saturday. Pretty decent rainfall rates are forecast. This system is a bit north of the usual El Nino track so expect cool temps w/ the chilly post-frontal airmass by Sunday morning [possibility of frost in places].

.5"-1" predicted here in coastal SD. Nice, but not a real soaker.

Coastal San Diego, California

Z10b

Dry summer subtropical/Mediterranean

warm summer/mild winter

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Hey Epicure,

We become conditioned to expect less than more rainfall in SoCal but this system has the potential for some pretty heavy showers in LA county. NWS_LA posted this earlier this morning:

THE WRF SHOWS A JET STREAK AND ASSOCD VORT MAX INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL BAND AS IT PUSHES ACROSS L.A. COUNTY...AND CONSEQUENTLY REALLY INCREASES RAINFALL RATES AND PRECIP TOTALS FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS IT COULD MEAN TROUBLE FOR THE BURN AREAS...BUT AT THIS TIME...WHETHER THIS OCCURS RIGHT OVER L.A. COUNTY AS IS CURRENTLY INDICATED IS STILL IN QUESTION. IF LATER MODELS CONT TO SHOW THIS...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR THE BURN AREAS WILL HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED.

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

gsn Veteran

gsn

Posted
Posted

The weather computer models continue to back off on much rainfall for SoCal this week :( and we could end up with little if any moisture. Partly cloudy\ cool but dry!

A fairly potent storm is moving into California starting in NorCal today & SoCal tomorrow evening into Saturday. Pretty decent rainfall rates are forecast. This system is a bit north of the usual El Nino track so expect cool temps w/ the chilly post-frontal airmass by Sunday morning [possibility of frost in places].

Less than 3 days apart?

I can only imagine how well the computers would do predicting the weather if they factored taro cards into their calculations? :lol:

Scott

Titusville, FL

1/2 mile from the Indian River

USDA Zone COLD

epicure3 Grand Master

epicure3

Posted
Posted

Hey Epicure,

We become conditioned to expect less than more rainfall in SoCal but this system has the potential for some pretty heavy showers in LA county. NWS_LA posted this earlier this morning:

THE WRF SHOWS A JET STREAK AND ASSOCD VORT MAX INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL BAND AS IT PUSHES ACROSS L.A. COUNTY...AND CONSEQUENTLY REALLY INCREASES RAINFALL RATES AND PRECIP TOTALS FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS IT COULD MEAN TROUBLE FOR THE BURN AREAS...BUT AT THIS TIME...WHETHER THIS OCCURS RIGHT OVER L.A. COUNTY AS IS CURRENTLY INDICATED IS STILL IN QUESTION. IF LATER MODELS CONT TO SHOW THIS...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR THE BURN AREAS WILL HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED.

They have increased the spread in SD to .75"-1.75" which is a pretty large spread.

Coastal San Diego, California

Z10b

Dry summer subtropical/Mediterranean

warm summer/mild winter

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Here's today's revised "Drought Outlook". Almost all of California is out of the drought conditions forecast: :mrlooney:

drought2-4-10.gif

Compared to previous outlook:

droughtdata4-24-09-1.gif

Edited by happ

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

happ Grand Master

happ

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Oops :blush:

The second graph is from last April. Here's the correct former graphic from late last month [1-26-10].

drought1-26-10.gif

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

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