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Aussie heatwave


steve99
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I envy the Australian zone map, but not 40C.  It's gone that high here before, but thankfully, I wasn't in Florida for that.  50C here would be miserable with our oppressive summer humidity.

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Lakeland, FL

USDA Zone (2012): 9b | Sunset Zone: 26 | Record Low: 20F/-6.67C (1985, 1962) | Record Low USDA Zone: 9a | 30-Year Avg. Low: 30F | 30-year Min: 24F

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Watching the President's Cup (Golf) in Melbourne and it is amazing to me how cool it is. Everybody wearing sweaters and jackets and is in the 50'sF-60'sF. It is amazing how big and diverse that country is!

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What you look for is what is looking

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Yes summer is the best time for Albany.

Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Just starting to ramp up....
 

ABC image
The heat that has been baking Perth over the last few days is making it's way east. - ABC
 

Heatwave conditions will see much of the continent swelter this week, with records set to tumble.



Western Australia is just starting to get a little relief, but South Australia is next to feel the heat as a hot air mass moves slowly east — dragging the bushfire danger up with it.

A delayed monsoon and widespread drought means heat has been brewing over central Australia.

That heat has been making its presence felt over WA in recent days and is heading east as the week continues.

Who is in the firing line?

today, but it hit 41.2C at 1:40pm (AEST).

That equals the December record from 1981, but the annual record of 41.7C from February 2004 still stands ... for now.

It is the result of north-easterly winds associated with a trough to the east of the high bringing the heat to the centre and south.

Brisbane, south-east Queensland and northern New South Wales, will likely see relief this evening as the trough moves over, bringing cooler south-westerly winds.



Adelaide is forecast to be 40C and above from Tuesday, with temperatures peaking on Friday at 44C.

The highest temperature recorded at Adelaide (West Terrace) was 46.6C on January 24 this year.

Its hottest December day on record is 44.2C, recorded on December 31, 1904.

Widespread temperatures above 40C are expected in SA over the next few days, as well as for large parts of inland NSW, Victoria and Queensland later in the week.

Hot air in Canberra

Temperatures in Canberra are forecast for the high 30s and low 40s from Wednesday and into Saturday, which is tipped to reach 43C.

This would blitz the record of 41.6C measured at Canberra Airport's new weather station multiple times in 2017 as well as in January this year.

The highest temperature recorded at the airport's old comparison weather station (which closed in 2010) was 42.2C in 1968.

It is a similar story in surrounding areas.

For northern Australia, Darwin is expected to reach up to 36C with the chance of a storm for the rest of the week, while Alice Springs should peak on Thursday at 45C.



So far, it is looking like the south-east coast could avoid the worst of the prolonged heatwave conditions, although it will still be hot.

Melbourne is headed for a rollercoaster week — Wednesday should hit 39C before a cool change brings 23C on Thursday, then back up to 41C on Friday, before again dropping to the mid-20s on Saturday.

The peak day for NSW Saturday is expected to be the peak day.

According to BOM meteorologist Sarah Scully, the top temperatures for parts of Sydney will differ because of their proximity to a sea breeze.

In the west, Penrith is forecast to reach 46C on Saturday while Bondi on the coast is only expected to get to 29C.



What other records could go?

Perth just broke its , both in total and consecutive, recording 40.1C on Friday, 41.0C on Saturday, 40.9C on Sunday and 41.6C on December 3.

The big record in peril this week could be Australia's hottest day on record, calculated by averaging temperatures across the country.

The current record is 40.3C, recorded on January 7, 2013.

Blair Trewin, senior climatologist at the BOM, said it was looking like we would be at least a degree above this on Wednesday and Thursday.



There has been the suggestion that Australia's hottest recorded daytime temperature — 50.7C at Oodnadatta, SA on January 2, 1960 — could be in danger during this heat event.

But at the time of writing, none of the likely locations are forecast to reach this in the current seven-day forecast.

Instead, it is forecast to reach 47C in Oodnadatta for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday — not exactly pleasant, and summer still has a long, long, way to go.



Dr Trewin also noted that it wasn't just places around the ACT that could break overall records.

There are also opportunities for record highs on the Nullarbor on Thursday and from the Eyre Peninsular to north-west Victoria on Friday.

Heading towards our hottest year

The January-to-November mean temperature for Australia was its second highest on record.

A normal December would see us finishing the year at second highest on record, just below 2013, the current hottest year.

But an above-average December has the potential to push us over the line into the top ranking.

January to November was also the second driest on record for Australia.



It is hot, but what makes it a heatwave?

The Bureau of Meteorology defines a heatwave as "three days or more of high maximum and minimum temperatures that is unusual for that location".

It takes into account both overnight and daytime temperatures, as well as what the weather has been like in the lead-up so a heatwave is truly "unusually" hot for that location at that time of year.



John Nairn, the BOM's national heatwave project director, describes heatwave severity levels using a cricket analogy:
During a low-intensity heatwave, the whole family can be out playing and enjoying the sun, grandparents included, providing you take normal conditions like drinks and hats;
When it becomes severe, it is not a good idea for the grandparents to be outside;
When you get to an extreme heatwave, why are you even playing cricket?

Heatwaves may not appear extreme, but they are Australia's deadliest natural disaster, claiming more lives than bushfires, cyclones and floods put together.



This week is likely to be record-breaking, but it is unlikely to be the end.

Until there is widespread rain, the heatwave and fire conditions will continue — this is the time to check in on your granny and keep the kids in the shade.

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The heat wave down under is getting some press up here as well: https://www.yahoo.com/news/sizzling-australia-experiences-hottest-day-075210845.html

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Lakeland, FL

USDA Zone (2012): 9b | Sunset Zone: 26 | Record Low: 20F/-6.67C (1985, 1962) | Record Low USDA Zone: 9a | 30-Year Avg. Low: 30F | 30-year Min: 24F

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On 12/16/2019 at 7:43 AM, Tyrone said:

Yes summer is the best time for Albany.

I Love Albany all year around 

My first came to Aussi straight to Albany camping in mid June with -2c temp

We usually go every year but will absent this year bcz off my wife condition.

 

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A fantastic day in Perth today, a lovely cool 25c and we were lucky enough to get some rain! I know it won't last but I'm enjoying this bit of respite while I can, the garden looks better for it too, the veggies weren't laying flat on the ground which made a pleasant change to come home to.

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We hit 27C in Albany today before the rain kicked in. Got just over a mm then the sun came out and steamed everything up. Then the sea breeze kicked in and is only just calming down now at sundown. I’m building a new shadehouse so I had to secure all the shade cloth from blowing away. Blimmin wind.

My Juania seedlings are looking good despite the 38C we got on Sunday. 

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Yesterday in Birdsville was a scorcher.     I was there in late May this year and conditions were great, although the flies were horrendous.

 

 

Latest Weather Observations for Birdsville

IDQ60801

Issued at 4:12 pm EST Wednesday 18 December 2019 (issued every 10 minutes, with the page automatically refreshed every 10 minutes)

about.gifAbout weather observations | Map of weather stations | Latest weather observations for QLD | Other Formats
Station Details ID: 038026 Name: BIRDSVILLE AIRPORT Lat: -25.90 Lon: 139.35 Height: 46.6 m
Data from the previous 72 hours. | See also: Recent months at Birdsville
Date/Time
EST
Temp
°C
App
Temp
°C
Dew
Point
°C
Rel
Hum
%
Delta-T
°C
Wind Press
QNH
hPa
Press
MSL
hPa
Rain since
9am

mm
Dir  Spd
km/h
Gust
km/h
Spd
kts
Gust
kts
18/04:03pm 47.2 40.4 0.7 6 25.0 SSW 26 61 14 33 1004.4 1004.1 0.0
18/04:00pm 46.4 40.6 0.2 6 24.6 SSW 20 32 11 17 1004.4 1004.1 0.0
18/03:30pm 46.2 40.6 0.0 6 24.4 SE 19 30 10 16 1004.8 1004.5 0.0
18/03:00pm 46.0 41.2 -0.1 6 24.3 E 15 22 8 12 1005.1 1004.8 0.0
18/02:30pm 45.8 42.8 1.9 7 23.7 ESE 7 15 4 8 1005.5 1005.2 0.0
18/02:00pm 45.8 40.9 1.9 7 23.8 ESE 17 24 9 13 1006.0 1005.7 0.0
18/01:30pm 45.6 41.8 1.7 7 23.7 ESE 11 17 6 9 1006.5 1006.2 0.0
18/01:00pm 46.4 41.9 2.3 7 24.1 SE 15 26 8 14 1006.8 1006.5 0.0
18/12:30pm 45.4 40.4 1.6 7 23.5 E 17 30 9 16 1007.3 1007.0 0.0
18/12:00pm 45.0 40.3 3.2 8 23.0 E 17 30 9 16 1007.7 1007.4 0.0
18/11:30am 45.5 40.5 3.5 8 23.2 ENE 19 26 10 14 1008.1 1007.8 0.0
18/11:00am 44.3 38.5 4.3 9 22.3 ENE 24 35 13 19 1008.4 1008.1 0.0
18/10:30am 43.3 37.3 5.1 10 21.4 ENE 26 33 14 18 1008.7 1008.4 0.0
18/10:00am 42.3 36.8 5.7 11 20.6 E 24 32 13 17 1008.9 1008.6 0.0
18/09:30am 40.9 35.4 5.9 12 19.6 E 24 35 13 19 1009.1 1008.8 0.0
18/09:00am 39.4 33.1 5.9 13 18.6 E 28 35 15 19 1009.1 1008.8 0.0
18/08:30am 38.2 32.1 5.0 13 18.1 E 26 33 14 18 1009.0 1008.7 0.0
18/08:00am 36.7 30.6 4.9 14 17.2 E 26 35 14 19 1008.8 1008.5 0.0
18/07:30am 35.4 30.3 3.9 14 16.6 E 20 28 11 15 1008.7 1008.4 0.0
18/07:00am 30.9 28.2 3.8 18 13.9 ESE 7 9 4 5 1008.4 1008.1 0.0
18/06:30am 28.9 25.6 2.2 18 13.2 SE 9 11 5 6 1008.1 1007.8 0.0
18/06:00am 28.0 24.3 2.2 19 12.7 SE 11 13 6 7 1007.9 1007.6 0.0
18/05:30am 27.8 23.9 1.3 18 12.8 SE 11 13 6 7 1007.6 1007.3 0.0
18/05:00am 28.0 23.8 1.5 18 12.9 SE 13 15 7 8 1007.3 1007.0 0.0
18/04:30am 28.2 24.3 0.9 17 13.1 SE 11 13 6 7 1007.0 1006.7 0.0
18/04:00am 28.4 24.4 0.2 16 13.4 SE 11 13 6 7 1006.9 1006.6 0.0
18/03:30am 29.1 25.0 -0.1 15 13.9 SSE 11 13 6 7 1006.9 1006.6 0.0
18/03:00am 30.3 26.2 -0.1 14 14.6 SSE 11 15 6 8 1006.8 1006.5 0.0
18/02:30am 30.4 25.9 -0.1 14 14.6 SE 13 15 7 8 1007.0 1006.7 0.0
18/02:00am 30.8 26.2 -0.8 13 15.0 SSE 13 15 7 8 1007.4 1007.1 0.0
18/01:30am 31.4 25.8 -0.3 13 15.2 SE 19 20 10 11 1007.6 1007.3 0.0
18/01:00am 30.8 26.8 0.2 14 14.8 SSE 11 13 6 7 1008.0 1007.7 0.0
18/12:30am 32.5 27.6 -0.5 12 15.9 SSE 15 19 8 10 1008.3 1008.0 0.0
18/12:00am 33.5 28.5 -1.0 11 16.7 SSE 15 20 8 11 1008.3 1008.0 0.0
 

INRQqoN.jpg

 

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I've been to Birdsville a few times, even in January which is on average the hottest month. It was very hot but I don't remember the temperature being this high. It's still only around the middle of December, a couple of weeks before the start of the 'hottest month'.

Port Augusta is forecast 49C today.

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The south eastern South Australian town of Keith reached 49.2c ( 120.6f ) today ! That is an absolutely astonishing recording from a location at 36.09S of latitude , and is certainly a record high for such a southerly location in Australia.
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/more-records-tumble-as-heatwave-rolls-on-scientists-point-finger-at-climate-change/530747

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Two NSW volunteer fireos lost their lives today in the West of Sydney, both with young families and just before Christmas. Bloody terrible. These people are real hero's. 

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13 hours ago, sandgroper said:

Two NSW volunteer fireos lost their lives today in the West of Sydney, both with young families and just before Christmas. Bloody terrible. These people are real hero's. 

Very sad. What many don’t realise is that the majority of fire fighters in this country are unpaid volunteers. They have lives, families and jobs, but devote their time, and in some cases their lives, to do the training and fighting fires for no monetary reward. Without volunteer fire fighters this country would be on fire constantly.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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To give some Northern Territory perspective to the unprecedented heat torturing Australia atm.... the AWS at Tindal is running at 5.1c above the monthly average at 40.7c This is an incredible reading for a station so deep in the tropics at 14.5S of latitude !
And the next 7 days show some 43's and a 44c on Boxing Day in the forecast ! Already exceeded the previous Dec maximum temp 7 times this month !
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/station.jsp?lt=site&lc=14932&list=ds&fbclid=IwAR3XtkdO1Mzcc9YerD53j4CYT1NM6bDWccM11KJKFHCZRZwqDzXJDs11QYE

Edited by greysrigging
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Just checked out the next 4 months of outlooks for the country and its almost a certainty (above 80% chance) that both maximums and minimums are going to be above average for the next 4 months for almost the entire continent. Ive never seen outlook maps quite like it. Normally the west of the continent will be warm while the east is cool or the other way around. Ive never seen it where the entire continent is the same for the foreseeable future. We may have seen a mega shift in the climate down under and the old climate may have left town, never to return. The crazy thing is, the southern areas have had some of the worst of the extreme heat (except for my area), so running south to Victoria or Tasmania may not be the answer for those trying to escape 40C plus summers every year.

Here's hoping for some cooler wetter weather. But not TOO wet. With all the bushfires destroying forests and everything holding hill sides together, flash floods are what we don't want.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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SAID HANRAHAN

"We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
In accents most forlorn,
Outside the church, ere Mass began,
One frosty Sunday morn.
The congregation stood about,
Coat-collars to the ears,
And talked of stock, and crops, and drought,
As it had done for years.
"It's lookin' crook," said Daniel Croke;
"Bedad, it's cruke, me lad,
For never since the banks went broke
Has seasons been so bad."
"It's dry, all right," said young O'Neil,
With which astute remark
He squatted down upon his heel
And chewed a piece of bark.
And so around the chorus ran
"It's keepin' dry, no doubt."
"We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
"Before the year is out.
"The crops are done; ye'll have your work
To save one bag of grain;
From here way out to Back-o'-Bourke
They're singin' out for rain.
"They're singin' out for rain," he said,
"And all the tanks are dry."
The congregation scratched its head,
And gazed around the sky.
"There won't be grass, in any case,
Enough to feed an ass;
There's not a blade on Casey's place
As I came down to Mass."
"If rain don't come this month," said Dan,
And cleared his throat to speak--
"We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
"If rain don't come this week."
A heavy silence seemed to steal
On all at this remark;
And each man squatted on his heel,
And chewed a piece of bark.
"We want a inch of rain, we do,"
O'Neil observed at last;
But Croke "maintained" we wanted two
To put the danger past.
"If we don't get three inches, man,
Or four to break this drought,
We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
"Before the year is out."
In God's good time down came the rain;
And all the afternoon
On iron roof and window-pane
It drummed a homely tune.
And through the night it pattered still,
And lightsome, gladsome elves
On dripping spout and window-sill
Kept talking to themselves.
It pelted, pelted all day long,
A-singing at its work,
Till every heart took up the song
Way out to Back-o'Bourke.
And every creek a banker ran,
And dams filled overtop;
"We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
"If this rain doesn't stop."
And stop it did, in God's good time;
And spring came in to fold
A mantle o'er the hills sublime
Of green and pink and gold.
And days went by on dancing feet,
With harvest-hopes immense,
And laughing eyes beheld the wheat
Nid-nodding o'er the fence.
And, oh, the smiles on every face,
As happy lad and lass
Through grass knee-deep on Casey's place
Went riding down to Mass.
While round the church in clothes genteel
Discoursed the men of mark,
And each man squatted on his heel,
And chewed his piece of bark.
"There'll be bush-fires for sure, me man,
There will, without a doubt;
We'll all be rooned," said Hanrahan,
"Before the year is out."

John O'Brien

 

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Got to 28C yesterday with about 60% rh. Not too hot but the sun really burned quick. UV index of 13. Going for low 30s today.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Hellishly hot overnight min temp at Kintore last night, didn't drop below 36c !
And after a 48.0c ( rounded ) day !!
Imagine sitting down to the Christmas Roast at these towns....
Jervios, Yulara, Kintore, Rabbit Flat, Boulia, Port Hedland, Roebourne and Telfer.....
All recorded 47.0c ( rounded ) on Christmas Day !
PS// the Kintore reading comes in at 47.7c ! An outstanding record max although the site at the Airport only open since 2001.
The reason for this temp being so remarkable is the altitude of the site at 454m ASL. given the 'rule of thumb' Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate of 1c per 100m of altitude, this temp converts to a sea level reading of 51c or thereabouts ! A 50c official recording is a rare thing in Australia, much of the reason being the modest altitude of much of inland Central Australia.

 

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Normally summer doesn’t kick in down here until early January with Xmas time being a coolish possibly drizzly affair, but not so this year. Summer started early and the dried out fields that normally stay green all year prove it. Forecast thunderstorms and rain will hopefully come through in a week.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Australia's 3 highest minimum temperatures on record have all occurred this year...and all on the 26th: 1. 36.6ºC at Wanaaring, NSW on January 26th 2. 36.1ºC at Moomba, SA on January 26th 3. 36.0ºC at Walungurru, NT on December 26th
And Hobart broke a December record with 40.8c today. Friendly Isles reached 41.9c, a new Dec record for Tasmania !

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25 minutes ago, greysrigging said:

Australia's 3 highest minimum temperatures on record have all occurred this year...and all on the 26th: 1. 36.6ºC at Wanaaring, NSW on January 26th 2. 36.1ºC at Moomba, SA on January 26th 3. 36.0ºC at Walungurru, NT on December 26th
And Hobart broke a December record with 40.8c today. Friendly Isles reached 41.9c, a new Dec record for Tasmania !

All on Australia Day! I saw Tassies temps on the news tonight,  amazing!

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This is where im at ATM, in the Hunter Valley, im glad im not in the far south coast and Victoria people are too late to evacuate the fires and are heading towards the beach for safety, im sure you'll all see images come to surface soon, it's horrendous. 

Screenshot_20191231_152531_au.com.weatherzone.android.weatherzonefreeapp.jpg

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This bushfire season has been truly remarkable. It will change the ecology forever I think. Australia’s climate has changed. It’s now harsher than ever before.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Well, while the rest of the country bakes in record heat the south west of the country has the air conditioning turned on flat out. We had over 11mm of rain overnight and are going for a maximum of 17C. Perth is going for a max of 23C. 

A cyclone is brewing off the NW coast and expected land fall is around Wednesday Thursday next week, but we will have to wait and see what happens. The monsoon appears to be kicking in up north.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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Yes it looks like the drought may break, fingers crossed forecasts show moisture coming across the continent. 

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2 hours ago, palmad Merc said:

Yes it looks like the drought may break, fingers crossed forecasts show moisture coming across the continent. 

I really hope this is right. I'm loving the cool temps and welcome bit of rain in Perth even if it will be short lived.

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Been watching that development the past week.

EC has a low forming west of the Kimberley and moving down to cross the coast around Pardoo. GFS has this system staying off the coast and then heading off west into the Indian Ocean,

Both show another low forming slightly later in the north Arafura Sea.

EC has this low moving down to Darwin by the 12th. GFS on the other hand has this low crossing the central Arnhem coast around the 8th. Then south west across the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and the Kimberley, and over Broome out into the Indian Ocean. It's shown to intensify north west of Karratha, but well offshore.

Although this will likely break the drought in the north of the country (or north west at least), another massive dry surge is moving from the south west into the southern parts of the continent. The developing monsoon trough south of the equator is causing massive flooding in Java at the moment. Will be interesting to see if this continues to push down and counters the dry air mass moving up. In normal years you'd expect this to happen.

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All time heat records set today in the Sydney Basin with Penrith Lakes topping the country at 48.9c ( 120.02f ). at least 4 other Sydney suburbs topped 47c (  116.6f ).
The nations capital, Canberra maxed out at 44c ( 111.2f ).... beating a record dating back to 1939. 
http://www.australianweathernews.com/news/2020/200104.SHTML

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7 hours ago, greysrigging said:

All time heat records set today in the Sydney Basin with Penrith Lakes topping the country at 48.9c ( 120.02f ). at least 4 other Sydney suburbs topped 47c (  116.6f ).
The nations capital, Canberra maxed out at 44c ( 111.2f ).... beating a record dating back to 1939. 
http://www.australianweathernews.com/news/2020/200104.SHTML

Been paying close attention to various twitter feeds from Australia being re posted by a few Climate/ Weather gurus i check in on and ..just simply incredible.. both in terns of the magnitude of the heat across most of the country, and on going extreme fire situation there. Can't imagine walking out your door at 4pm in the afternoon to nearly pitch black skies, let alone having to be rescued from the beach, because that's the ONLY safe place you can go..   No words for describing the Satellite pics / Sat. composites being shared today.. Some pics posted by people flying over the fires today as well.

Needless to say, even among various climatologists/ Weather experts here in the U.S., there have been a few feisty discussions this week regarding the various factors involved in helping to create such conditions there atm. While i imagine most people understand the "These kinds of extreme WX patterns occur at X intervals of time / X ecosystem / organisms in X ecosystem evolved with/ without Fire" discussion points, There are other things i think many people choose to ignore.. or understand is more significant. Free to make such a choice of course, but thankful i don't " play the ponies" so to say.. 

As much as i'm hoping 100F/ 40C+ heat is delayed as we head toward our spring / summer here, hoping current conditions there break, or at least back off significantly as Australia heads into your Fall/ Winter season ahead.. Hard to fathom loosing 15+ MILLION acres of land to fire, with the bulk of summer ..and early Fall, still left to go.. 

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The deserts in Australia are just going to get bigger and bigger the more these fires burn. Who would have thought before 2018 that old growth rainforests would burn.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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