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What is your current yard temperature?


GottmitAlex

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Today's high was 14.1c/57.3f in London it was cloudy this morning and now we are under clear skies so the low tonight will be 10c. New years eve will be around 15c/59f, might even get up to 60f.

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11 hours ago, Foxpalms said:

50f/10c in London this morning with 80% humidity. The forecast looking mild for the rest of the month and going into 2023. Let's hope 2023 is a hot year!

Screenshot_20221230-070815977 (1).jpg

Screenshot_20221230-074409235 (1).jpg

So it will be colder than 2022. Whatever is forecasted the opposite often happens. In all seriousness, UK usually isn't impacted by El Nino as much as the US I believe. 

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48 minutes ago, pj_orlando_z9b said:

So it will be colder than 2022. Whatever is forecasted the opposite often happens. In all seriousness, UK usually isn't impacted by El Nino as much as the US I believe. 

The UK forecast isn't very accurate usually but for long term estimates it's usually somewhat true.  El nino doesn't impact us as much but might make us slightly warmer. However the summers here in the last 10 years just keep getting for most years warmer and warmer on average and also the winter. My guess would be 2023 is going to be warm and possibly warmer than this year which was the warmest on record for the UK. The question is when will be drought start in summer since it can vary.

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14°C at 11:45 p.m. which is pretty warm for a winter night. It's predicted to get even warmer with 15°C in the morning and a daytime high of 18°C tomorrow. Last year and a couple of times in the past decade it was often very warm on New Year's Eve. It is quite a contrast to the cold blast we had lately...

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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We actually already have 17°C outside at 8 o'clock in the morning. Very warm winter morning!

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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23 minutes ago, Hortulanus said:

We actually already have 17°C outside at 8 o'clock in the morning. Very warm winter morning!

15c in London but we have rain incoming so that will cool the temperature slightly.

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1 hour ago, Foxpalms said:

15c in London but we have rain incoming so that will cool the temperature slightly.

We might get some as well but for now it looks like we'll stay just below the rain. And it's 18°C already. I'm wondering if it is getteing even warmer later on.

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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It's 7.8ºC here - 46ºF.  We've had a run of more average days since the deep freeze, very welcome 10ºC/50ºF days and 5ºC/41ºF nights or thereabouts for over a week now.  Jealous of those balmy temps @Hortulanus!

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Manchester, Lancashire, England

53.4ºN, 2.2ºW, 65m AMSL

Köppen climate Cfb | USDA hardiness zone 9a

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20221231_122029.thumb.jpg.34a4b92baa43573d233798a7700fa409.jpg
It was already at 19°C when I got into the car. It still seems go get even warmer. The humidity makes it feel even more so.


Apperently records were broken already in the morning:
Capture.PNG.54df60a9d774a6f7b51dc6ab9f218470.PNG

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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2 hours ago, Ryland said:

It's 7.8ºC here - 46ºF.  We've had a run of more average days since the deep freeze, very welcome 10ºC/50ºF days and 5ºC/41ºF nights or thereabouts for over a week now.  Jealous of those balmy temps @Hortulanus!

For us it has been quite balmy right after the deep freeze but even more in the last couple of days. This lead to frost damage showing up very quickly on a couple of plants. It's actually very nice out with those temperatures and it feels a bit weird, but it was the same last year. We had unusually warm weather around New Year's Eve.  As I just checked temperatures above 20°C have already been measured today. Which makes it warmer than Sevilla. Predictions also went up for todays high.

Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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20c at 10.45pm. Tomorrow's top will be 30c, a nice start to 2023 before the week warms up in a couple of days. Happy New Year to everyone wherever you are in the world.

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Max of 14.7C / 58F here this afternoon. Very wet, windy, stormy and gloomy, although quite mild. The alternative however would be dry, sunny & cold with nighttime radiation frosts, so I’m not complaining!

It’s -6C / 21F in the Scottish Highlands, but a balmy +14C / 58F in central London at 9pm. Southern regions are tapping into the continental heat burst.

9A21898B-4AAB-49EE-90B6-0A79E119AB74.jpeg.805d41d42d489dd4d8bfe98865daa909.jpeg

Edited by UK_Palms

Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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Can't ask for a nicer afternoon on the final day of 2022.. Rain should hold off until late overnight / early Am tomorrow, so a great evening for ringing in 2023..

Chandler and the greater East Valley..


1941555068_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-35-01ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.4e65895710d3d2e1a3d43acf3d071e8e.png

2131717998_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-35-30ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.6003d1c3a0d3afde3b8456699d897151.png

Tucson

118959709_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-36-52TucsonAZWeatherConditionsWeatherUnderground.png.dd82455a1bde91d46c965bfbb25bc132.png

181034132_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-37-28TucsonAZWeatherConditionsWeatherUnderground.png.964b0d3d241d1cd84ecfe88ae331acc6.png

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1877002006_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-38-51TucsonAZWeatherConditionsWeatherUnderground.png.ebfefab5e719cf5a94a3ffe15491432e.png


Rain tomorrow, maybe a rumble of thunder or two. Beyond New year's Day?? ..Suggested forecast for the first week of the year looking good right now.  We'll see it stays that way.  More later..

999440108_Screenshot2022-12-31at15-42-52ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.8cfb22af3a359388cbbee8fc2ba18eae.png

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13.5c in London at 1am with 80% humidity, not bad for the start of 2023.

Edited by Foxpalms
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12/31/2022 5:14 PM PST 

14c with evening cloud cover.

Our high today was 23c 

Happy New Year everyone.!

If I can sneak a pic at midnight, I will.

 

 

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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Happy New Year 2023!

And it's raining in San Diego/ TJ

16725618961549077873870478588078.jpg

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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Happy New Year to everyone!

14°C at 5:40 p.m.. Today's high reached 17°C. Still pretty warm. It didn't really cool down, not even at night. With 15°C this morning. Yesterday records have been broken with temperatures up to around 21°C.

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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11c / 52F / I’m reading 92% RH - but my gauge is located under foliage in the shade - so I think that number may be inflated a bit. I reckon it’s really in the low 80s. 
Has been drizzling since 22:00 last night; a great treat for the new year! 👍

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Some clouds / passing showers after a wet and flashy opening to 2023..  Some pretty respectable rainfall totals, esp. on this side of town / up in the mountains east of here..  For the moment, we may clear things out for several days after tonight / tomorrow morning.. We'll see if it holds since not all forecasts follow WxU's current suggestion ( ..keep more shower chances around over the next 4 or 5 days )

583664287_Screenshot2023-01-02at11-45-51ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.ad87eaf2f896af26691496036839c6c2.png

A contrast to the continued parade of storms suggested for northern and central CA. for the next week..  More on that elsewhere..

Looking further out, some interesting stuff to watch as 2023 unfolds..

Current PNA, NAO, AO:

PNA:

441244972_Screenshot2023-01-02at11-48-56pna_gefs.sprd2.png(PNGImage12001400pixels).thumb.png.b17a51a8111b0b5e69853aa491d124e1.png

NAO:

939784210_Screenshot2023-01-02at11-49-32nao_gefs.sprd2.png(PNGImage12001400pixels).thumb.png.0a75d9357e835de428107720c4884d03.png

AO:

1300265677_Screenshot2023-01-02at11-50-04ao_gefs.sprd2.png(PNGImage12001400pixels).thumb.png.01bd2c13168d5974522cf94d04d53cc1.png


Since some are referencing it elsewhere, No, we are not in an EL Nino episode, despite the El Nino-like weather occurring in various areas atm...  Nuthin' but Nina right now..


That said, "Cold Pool" in the far eastern Equatorial E. Pac. is showing clear signs of being destroyed.. What we need to see now, to get all that warm water on the left to build on this side of the basin, is at least 2 large Westerly Wind Burst generated Kelvin Waves between now and May.. 

1311689069_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-21-42ClimatePredictionCenter-MonitoringandData-EquatorialPacificTemperatureDepthAnomalyAnimation.png.90d6ffb4bbca7c22d00157b7e28b5526.png

445538223_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-22-03ClimatePredictionCenter-MonitoringandData-EquatorialPacificTemperatureDepthAnomalyAnimation.png.63f3fc936a8a8015c053c3fc5763d816.png

1932875545_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-22-17ClimatePredictionCenter-MonitoringandData-EquatorialPacificTemperatureDepthAnomalyAnimation.png.82d082cb4f03b197055a0ec3c0a00305.png

There is some suggestion one modest WWB may try to take shape in the next few weeks..  We'll see..  What is a Westerly Wind Burst?.. Lots of articles online to research.  Simply put, it is the pump that starts the entire El Nino process.. Winds blow west to east across the EQ. Pacific, driving "Waves" of warm water below the surface of the ocean east toward Ecuador, where that warmer water builds an ever expanding pool west across the equator/ Tropical E. Pac. Basin, that ultimately leads to a warm " El Nino"  ENSO cycle, if Kelvin Wave activity continues feeding warm water into the pool through the entire cycle...

All that said, right now at least, i'm not especially impressed at what the long term models are suggesting for ENSO.. 

1738266213_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-04-09nino34Mon.gif(PNGImage1100850pixels)Scaled(75).png.1fff6cbe56092d3d67777158c3b365c5.png
As you can see in the current chart,  we may only barely reach "Lean El Nino" status ( +0.50- +0.75C anomalies ) by late summer, which is a lower forecast than what was suggested earlier. Some of the blue lines are currently suggesting barely reaching Neutral by mid/ late summer, while others suggest reaching +1C anomalies at that time. Those change each day, so don't pay them much attention.  The Dashed " Ensemble Mean" is the "forecast thought" to watch over the coming months.  

We'll also soon be entering the "uncertain" phase in predicting what lies ahead ( Green "SUB" = Spring Unpredictability Barrier ) Dark Blue Arrow is the starting point, Currently in La Nina territory... 

Yellow "X" represents  June, roughly where forecasts should have a pretty good idea on where things will be headed as we come out from under the Spring "Barrier"

Will we actually head into a El Nino this year?.. or hang closer to neutral for 2023? ( The Purple circled area, ], and ? mark )

Where things stand in June could also influence both this year's Monsoon cycle ( Light Green circle and ? mark ) and how active ..or quiet   the East Pacific Hurricane Season could be ( Dark green circle and ? mark )

Won't dive into them since it is a pipe dream right now, ...and i don't trust the current  "suggestions" enough  but some interesting things to casually check in on over the next 4 or 5 months in some long range "monthly" forecasts.

Regardless, could be another wild year ahead..


In the mean time, keep an eye on the P.V. ..that could get interesting as we head through Jan. and into next month.  No, there is no imminent SSW ( Sudden Stratospheric Warming ) forecast, but, hints of one occurring -at some point / to some degree- are around.  If it did occur over the next few weeks, effects -at the surface- wouldn't be felt until sometime in Feb. Note:  Colors on the map indicate temperatures at 10hpa, -not-  at the surface..

1813481641_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-42-51PV-Forecast(@PvForecast)_Twitter.png.8b1a6aec1d192a8b93a2663bbfd9e28e.png

2110559194_Screenshot2023-01-02at10-41-46PV-Forecast(@PvForecast)_Twitter.png.426dad82803b1c7e08ecf4154d443489.png


For now, the Wx focus in on California.. 

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11C / 52F here at 2pm. Cool, wet, windy and gloomy. Not much difference between day and night. It will be warmer during the day tomorrow and Thursday though.

Stuff like Archontophoenix and Rhopalostylis are actively growing again outside here following the freak cold snap a few weeks back. The CIDP and washies are pushing new sprears too.

44728C67-A96A-4A8F-8333-CF062CD9CEE5.thumb.jpeg.c1999453e031a930507ab0289561fbbf.jpeg

Edited by UK_Palms
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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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It's 11.3ºC/52ºF here first thing in the morning, very mild and humid.  The overnight "low" was 10.8ºC/51ºF.  Yesterday had my biggest ever (since I've been recording) winter diurnal temperature variation - we had a cold, clear start to the day with a low of 0.3ºC/32ºF and eventually reached a high of 11.6ºC/53ºF.

It being the new year I've run my statistics for 2022, which was warmer than 2021 - average high of 14.6ºC/58ºF and low of 8.9ºC/48ºF.  That is despite December being the coldest in a dozen years, averaging 5.6ºC/42ºF for the high and 1.6ºC/35ºF for the low.

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Manchester, Lancashire, England

53.4ºN, 2.2ºW, 65m AMSL

Köppen climate Cfb | USDA hardiness zone 9a

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11°C at 7:30 p.m. - Today's high was 14°C. Still pretty balmy but not as warm as around New Year.

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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23.3C 73%RH 18.2C dewpoint at 8.46am. Going for 29 and possibly some wet stuff that falls from the sky a little later. The westerly wind has just started which makes a change from the easterlies we’ve had for days. 

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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12°C at 9:30 p.m.. After the very warm weather it's cooling off a bit towards normal temperatures. It's still very balmy and nice out. The upcoming days we also finally get some more sunshine. The last weeks were very rainy with only a few sunny bits.
Sunshine hours for tomorrow:
Capture.PNG.20c8fdbe0eca6302f26d90dc14efd35d.PNG

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Yes it's me Hortulanus 😂

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16730377756012194561911809697022.jpg

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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13C / 55F here at 2am. The mild theme continues with my last frost now 3 weeks ago. I'm going to go well over a month without a frost in the depths of winter here and I am right out in the country with no UHI. I have had a number of nights stay above 12C / 54F this week and one night didn't go below 14C / 57F.

Spears are proper moving again on pretty much everything, especially the CIDP. The crownshaft palms like Archontophoenix, Kentia, Rhopalostylis etc have been outside for 2 weeks now and seem to be benefitting from the mild nights with new spears opening. If I was down on the south coast by now, these would be planted out. Here's the King.

1115786626_thumbnail_image0-2023-01-07T021127_282.thumb.jpg.18fbe06f4c0b506390ad8a026718cda3.jpg

 

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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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16731267282116137589621450354194.jpg

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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