Jump to content

HELLO CALIFORNIA! Big storm!


Palmy
 Share

Recommended Posts

For some reason, I got an alert on my weather station. I reported 2.16 inches yesterday in a span of 1 hour and 15 minutes. I practically spit my coffee all over the screen, I couldn't believe it. I had to check the radar and what do you know. A huge blob of 1 inch+ an hour even 2 inches+ at some points. Incredible...

Anybody else in the bay area get any of this action? It looked like the storm only affected north bay and east bay with other areas getting less than a quarter inch. I think I have about 6 1/2 inches so far for the season... Wow...

That's great about more rain & is another indicator of El Nino's influence. Here's some excerpts from about weather conditions yesterday in Los Angeles on AMS chat. Richard Dickert is a Channel 9 weather caster:

Subject: CQT: 67F at 6:47 - An El Nino Signature?

Date: Mon, 19 Oct 2009 18:24:56 -0700

"Hey all-

Just a few observations-

Hurricane Rick: STRONGEST E. Pac Hurricane since Linda in 1997

It was a cat 5 hurricane with sustained winds of 180 for a short time yesterday..

THIS MORNING at CQT [uSC/Downtown Los Angeles]:

19 Oct 6:47 am 67 58 73 CALM 10.00 OVC025

67 degrees (avg. 61] just before sunrise in late October?? Sunday's high temp was only 78.

Cloudy, humid and OVC morning..More like late July than late August..

..and finally..how about this:

Ocean Temps SUNDAY:

Hermosa 69 (avg. 64)

Newport 68 (avg. 65)

Dew points were high this morning..METARs indicated OVC at most stations..

This made for an abnormally mild late October AM.

Comments...Thoughts?

Rick Dickert

----------------------------------------

Rick, you're probably up in the air right now - let us know what the temps are aloft over the next few days.

It is strange to see Hurricane Rick Vs Hurricane Linda in 97 and Oxnard hit 100 F 3 days ago and beat the old record set when? 1997. The SST anomalies in the ENSO region are cooler than in 1997; however, their temps, location, and distribution are very similar to October 2004. What does this mean? It could mean another wet year or a drought for us. Isn't that the Catch 22. This freak Oct 13th Storm over California was unexpected and has me re-examining my long range forecasts.

Jeff"

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Interesting info written yesterday:

Melor's Deluge in California will be a great boon for the state, helping it to overcome one of the most severe droughts in the past 50 years".

Now THAT statement is pure comedy.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Happ,

Not the big storm that moved through Calif. last Tuesday, but the second weaker one surprised me. I expected no rain from it, but it rained at my place pretty hard for about an hour. I didn't measure it but I expect I got at least half an inch and maybe more.

Dick

Richard Douglas

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was surprised also by the most recent storm in northern California. Already grass is growing on the hillsides & we only had around 2" here. Looks like some warm temps for a few days\ 90F but cool nights. Hope we get another storm ASAP that even reaches San Diego.

Los Angeles/Pasadena

34° 10' N   118° 18' W

Elevation: 910'/278m

January Average Hi/Lo: 69F/50F

July Average Hi/Lo: 88F/66F

Average Rainfall: 19"/48cm

USDA 11/Sunset 23

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?MTW

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

From NOAA (SF BAY AREA)

LONG TERM

AGAIN

THE GEM MODEL IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE EURO IN TIMING AND INTENSITY

WITH AT LEAST TWO ~980-985 MB LOWS PASSING WEST OF CAPE MENDOCINO

MONDAY THROUGH WEDS OF NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY THING KEEPING CONFIDENCE

DOWN SLIGHTLY IS THE FACT THAT THE GFS MODEL KEEPS THINGS DRY UNTIL

WEDS. CONSENSUS IN HOUSE AND WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES IS TO DISREGARD

THIS AND WOULD EXPECT TO SEE NEW RUNS OF THE GFS TREND MORE IN LINE

WITH THE EURO. ITS GETTING HARD NOT TO START DRAWING ANALOGIES TO THE

OCTOBER EVENT WITH ANOTHER RE-CURVING FORMER TYPHOON TAKING AIM AT

THE CENTRAL COAST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. TO GIVE AN IDEA ON

RAINFALL POTENTIAL...AND THESE ARE VERY COARSE AND PRELIMINARY AT

THIS TIME THE ECMWF GIVES 4 DAY STORM TOTALS OF 5-7 INCHES IN THE

HILLS WITH WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5 INCH RAIN TOTALS FOR THE VALLEYS. OVER

IN THE SIERRA THE LATEST RUNS GIVE STORM TOTAL QPF OF NEARLY 19

INCHES OF LIQUID PRECIP. STILL WAY TOO EARLY TO GET SPECIFIC BUT

OBVIOUSLY THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND BIG SUR COAST COULD REALLY GET

NAILED AGAIN. AS WITH THE OCTOBER STORM WILL EVENTUALLY HAVE TO LOOK

INTO WIND AND BIG SWELL POTENTIAL AS WELL. ITS NOT TOO EARLY TO START

YOUR STORM PREPARATIONS.

Here we go again???

Meteorologist and PhD student in Climate Science

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From NOAA (SF BAY AREA)

LONG TERM

AGAIN

THE GEM MODEL IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE EURO IN TIMING AND INTENSITY

WITH AT LEAST TWO ~980-985 MB LOWS PASSING WEST OF CAPE MENDOCINO

MONDAY THROUGH WEDS OF NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY THING KEEPING CONFIDENCE

DOWN SLIGHTLY IS THE FACT THAT THE GFS MODEL KEEPS THINGS DRY UNTIL

WEDS. CONSENSUS IN HOUSE AND WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES IS TO DISREGARD

THIS AND WOULD EXPECT TO SEE NEW RUNS OF THE GFS TREND MORE IN LINE

WITH THE EURO. ITS GETTING HARD NOT TO START DRAWING ANALOGIES TO THE

OCTOBER EVENT WITH ANOTHER RE-CURVING FORMER TYPHOON TAKING AIM AT

THE CENTRAL COAST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. TO GIVE AN IDEA ON

RAINFALL POTENTIAL...AND THESE ARE VERY COARSE AND PRELIMINARY AT

THIS TIME THE ECMWF GIVES 4 DAY STORM TOTALS OF 5-7 INCHES IN THE

HILLS WITH WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5 INCH RAIN TOTALS FOR THE VALLEYS. OVER

IN THE SIERRA THE LATEST RUNS GIVE STORM TOTAL QPF OF NEARLY 19

INCHES OF LIQUID PRECIP. STILL WAY TOO EARLY TO GET SPECIFIC BUT

OBVIOUSLY THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND BIG SUR COAST COULD REALLY GET

NAILED AGAIN. AS WITH THE OCTOBER STORM WILL EVENTUALLY HAVE TO LOOK

INTO WIND AND BIG SWELL POTENTIAL AS WELL. ITS NOT TOO EARLY TO START

YOUR STORM PREPARATIONS.

Here we go again???

Hope so for the water, hope not for the potential damage.

Batten down the hatches and hold on!

John Case

Brentwood CA

Owner and curator of Hana Keu Garden

USDA Zone 9b more or less, Sunset Zone 14 in winter 9 in summer

"Its always exciting the first time you save the world. Its a real thrill!"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So?

This is the 2nd big, wet storm headed our way? Let 'er rip.........we need the rain.

Dick

Richard Douglas

Link to comment
Share on other sites

and the additional warmth.

It might spoil your Freez Pruf test, though.

John Case

Brentwood CA

Owner and curator of Hana Keu Garden

USDA Zone 9b more or less, Sunset Zone 14 in winter 9 in summer

"Its always exciting the first time you save the world. Its a real thrill!"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

 Share

×
×
  • Create New...