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Cycles of weather


bubba

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In Florida, our most recent serious freezes took place in 1983, 1985 and 1989. Interestingly, the most recognized series of serious freezes took place in 1893, 1895 and 1899. Does this suggest some format of a ninety year cycle or is it simple "co-ink- ee-dink"?

What you look for is what is looking

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The thought now is there is a multdecadal pattern based upon the oscillation of the earths orbit --- this affects the gulf stream etc. This permiots these Alberto cippers to come to South TX and FL

you have a 1962 freeze, a bad  1940 freeze and variation in rainfall etc . There wa a bad freeze in 1916 and 1928 ( from memory)

1962-1995 or so was very dry and was associated with these freezes 1962, 83,85, 89 etc.

As we are in the beginning of this 40 year warming cycle it feeds the incipient data points for any one forecasting global warming.

Best

Ed

Edwin Brown III

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Checking back some years, it appears there is a similar cycle that affects the SE US. We have the same 20-yr or so kick-butt freeze. It usually occurs in pairs and then waits 20 years again.

Los Niños y Los Borrachos siempre dicen la verdad.

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.....except the current stretch of time is an unprecendented one without a bad freeze.  That includes data dating back to 1886.  In the words of Paul Harvey, it is not one world.

Tampa, Interbay Peninsula, Florida, USA

subtropical USDA Zone 10A

Bokeelia, Pine Island, Florida, USA

subtropical USDA Zone 10B

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.....except the current stretch of time is an unprecendented one without a bad freeze.

That's what has me worried; we're overdue for the next kicker here. :(

Los Niños y Los Borrachos siempre dicen la verdad.

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Fortunately, mother nature could care less about statistics.

Tampa, Interbay Peninsula, Florida, USA

subtropical USDA Zone 10A

Bokeelia, Pine Island, Florida, USA

subtropical USDA Zone 10B

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IMO, all our data is far too limited to make long term judgements.

Weve got, in the best of cases, 100 of so years worth of data.  The earth is how many billions of years old?  How are we supposed to know what the long term trends have been?

As such, it is just as easy to predict a bad freeze coming as it is to say that one isnt.

Larry 

Palm Harbor, FL 10a / Ft Myers, FL 10b

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They can't even predict if it is going to rain TOMORROW ???  They were predicting fairly good  rain coverage over most central and south florida today,because of the tropical wave coming in from the Bahamas. Well mother nature decided to dry up all that moisture and whalla no rain!

Little lone whether it is going to freeze in a  certain place a year from now, 5 years from now, or 10 years from now!

Alas weathermen one step above fortune teller,maybe!! :laugh:

Scott

Titusville, FL

1/2 mile from the Indian River

USDA Zone COLD

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