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2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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bubba

Latest Tropical Tidbit model shows TS Nicholas near Brownsville with 40 MPH winds but no other Hurricane or TS activity affecting the eastern continental US through September 29, 2021.

Can anyone hazard a guess on the lack of Hurricane/TS activity in the US this year?

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JLM
15 hours ago, bubba said:

Latest Tropical Tidbit model shows TS Nicholas near Brownsville with 40 MPH winds but no other Hurricane or TS activity affecting the eastern continental US through September 29, 2021.

Can anyone hazard a guess on the lack of Hurricane/TS activity in the US this year?

Tropical Storm Claudette (Southeast Louisiana), Tropical Storm Danny (South Carolina), Hurricane Elsa (TS landfall in the Big Bend of FL), Tropical Storm Fred (Eastern Florida Panhandle), Hurricane Henri (TS landfall in Rhode Island), Hurricane Ida as a Category 4 (Southeast Louisiana), Tropical Storm Mindy (Eastern Florida Panhandle), and now within the next several hours, Hurricane Nicholas is expected to make landfall on the Texas coast soon. 7 total US landfalls this season, Nicholas is about to make it 8, this is not a lack of activity, and is actually more US landfalls than what we had by this time last season.
Nicholas is about to dump a lot of rain in a place where it is not needed: Southeast Louisiana. 3-6 inches of rain is forecasted to fall there, an could go up with the latest forecast, not good.

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Looking Glass

It does seem like I strange season at least for South Florida.  Usually there are some grazes out of Africa a few times by now.  It seemed to be a really dry-sunny summer here, with rain bypassing us a lot of the time, and a lack of storms.   Did a lot of watering this year, and none of the usual late summer fungal issues with a mushy lawn.  But I won’t get too carried away wishing for storms.  A major devastating smack-down can happen anytime. My older neighbors talk about past storms with two weeks without power and every major tree in the neighborhood flattened, Sables torn out of the ground, Royals toppled, cracked-open houses attracting opportunists.  Hope I don’t live to see that happen again here.     

Edited by Looking Glass
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bubba

Latest Tropical Tidbit run shows TS Nicholas near Galveston this morning. No other Cape Verde storms affecting the eastern continental United States through September 30, 2021.

I know that hurricane Henri was a Cape Verde that affected Rhode Island as a tropical storm. Otherwise, from a strict timeline perspective, It appears that South Florida has missed a devastating Cape Verde this year. As I have previously stated, Cape Verde’s can certainly affect the lower Caribbean through October but hopefully not like 1780.

 

Can you give an explanation for the lack of Cape Verde’s this year? What does sidewinder season portend for Florida?

 

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bubba

Latest run of Tropical Tidbits shows no Hurricane or TS affecting the eastern continental US or Gulf of Mexico through October 5, 2021. There is a hurricane in the Atlantic but far away from the US and headed north.

What kind of global causes this?

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