It looks as though nature (or Divine Providence) is sparing the Miami-Lauderdale, FL area "Is-Aye-Ee-Ahs" That is a nice way to begin August! I guess that this is a temporary "reprieve" though as the next 60-70 days are a virtual shooting gallery in the Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico!
I wish all our palm-loving, palm nurturing & growing members the very best of wishes (and freedom from bad storms) during this stressful season ahead.
It kind of makes up a portion of my mind that asks itself: "what do I most fear as a threat to keeping my palmy landscape intact?" Is in tropical cyclone season, or is it winter with it's potentially fatal, or at least damaging freeze/frost events? I tend to lean towards fearing winter's cold more, because it seems more likely to get a bad cold spell than a hurricane. What do you all think? Which type of weather peril brings more shivers down your spine: cold waves or really bad storms?
By Cindy Adair
As you all know, Hurricane Irma in early September left damage and no power or water at my farm for 5 days, but I still had internet and phone service and it was far less than predicted. We in mainland PR breathed a sigh of relief and felt so much sympathy (we still do) for our smaller islands of Culebra and Vieques and so many other Caribbean islands. As Florida got nailed I saw the photos here on PT and elsewhere and grieved for all of you who met up with Irma.
I unpacked all my potted plants and relaxed. For a couple of days.
Then Maria headed for a visit and this time no last minute reprieves. Hurricane supplies in PR had been depleted already by Irma preparations so all D batteries and generators and such were long gone.
I did manage to get a full tank of gas and a bit of extra water but I started out less well stocked than I had been prior to Irma. The idea of moving all my plants (that I had just moved back out) back in held no appeal but I knew it must be done.
On to the photos, starting with some "before hurricane season" shots.
Yesterday when Irma rotated its howling winds to the east, we were able to open the garage side door on the west end of the house without being instantly flattened. The roar was deafening and rain flew in sideways torrents. Already we could see that our Garden Lot was already damaged almost beyond belief and we could see only a few dozen feet at best. Of course, I had to take photos. Enjoy from the comfort of your easy chair.
Texas flooding and record rainfall.. a coolish and moist pattern back in CA/AZ over the past several weeks.
A Hot/ record breaking Spring, and early start to our typical summer rainfall pattern here in Florida.. and TWO record Hurricanes already in the E. Pac.( Blanca likely to reach Cat. 5 sometime tonight/ early tomorrow) What lies a head.
Some thoughts i have: ** Keep in mind, these are just thoughts.. this isn't anything official. Ponder with a "Grain-of Salt".**
Expecting a VERY active Hurricane season with enhanced chances for remnant moisture surges into CA and the Southwest. Quite concerned about the potential for Lightning-sparked Fires this year. Could this be a year something tropical "makes it" to San Diego, or the coastal waters of ''?? Unlikely.. but there's a lot of warm.. warm water around this year.
50/50 on how the Monsoon evolves. Usually a wet spring in the Southern Plains aids in moisture transport to help fuel to an active SW Monsoon but if it stays wet in Texas and Oklahoma all summer, the monsoon may be dry.. Moisture from the E. Pac is a potential wildcard.
Thinking heat will return over the west coast and lock itself in. Could also see a few extra muggy " Earthquake Weather " days than normal out there.
Pretty sure we here in Florida are in for a long, and hot summer.. Question will be will the rain be consistent or could an early wet start end quite dry. We'll see.
While pretty much everyone is calling for a quiet Hurricane season on our side of the fence, we all know it only takes one.. as in '92. Gulf is a bit warmer than normal atm. As always, Be ready, just in case.
As for a major player in the weather patterns this Summer.. 50/50 on what may happen. The massive rains Texas has experienced are perhaps a calling card of El Nino but, like last year, any hope of a Drought Buster for CA and the Southwest next Winter is still up in the air. At one point, the suggested peak of a potential ENSO hit +3.1 per suggested forecasts awhile back. They have since settled back to around +2.0. All models/forecasts i have seen to date look good but have backed off a bit.
All i can say is keep doing what ever you choose to bring an end to the Drought. I really don't want to see CA enter year 5.
Hurricanes and typhoons at their peak intensities are shifting away from the equator and towards the poles, scientists reported Wednesday, potentially placing coastal areas that are unaccustomed to deadly storms in their path if the trend continues.
Satellite data going back to 1980 show a global average shift of about 35 miles each decade on both sides of the equator, the experts announced in the peer-reviewed journal Nature.
This “pronounced poleward migration” means “potentially profound consequences for life and property” if the trend continues, according to the scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
The poleward migration follows earlier studies showing an expansion during the same time period of the tropics, the area along the equator defined by warm, humid weather.
The tropics’ expansion has been linked to manmade problems: ozone depletion, air pollution and greenhouse gases tied to global warming, Kossin noted. But figuring out to what extent each plays a role is needed before finding a fix.
Here's the link: http://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/hurricanes-are-shifting-putting-new-areas-danger-study-says-n105371