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GottmitAlex

What is your current yard temperature?

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Tyrone

The rain is a coming again though. Back to winter again. 

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UK_Palms

Currently 30.6C / 87F here in my yard at 2pm according to both digital sensors, making it the 3rd consecutive day that temperatures have reached 30C+ here now. For the record, my warmest August temperature last month was only a pathetic 24.7C, one of the lowest August maxima's on record, so September is absolutely smashing August out of the water here in terms of both temperature and sunshine hours. 2021 has been a very bizarre year for us here.

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The wooden thermometer is reading exactly 30C now, although it was at 31C earlier today and was reading 32C yesterday. 

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Current 2pm temps around London, all in the 33C - 28C range. Southwest London the hottest region, as per usual. 

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Today is the warmest September day in 115 years for Scotland. That's crazy. 28-29C is pretty damn warm for Scotland even in mid July. The temperature is still rising there too, so they should make 29C. Surely that has to be their warmest day of the year there... in September!

 

 

Wales had its warmest September night on record last night too with a low of just 20.5C. They must have had quite a bit of cloud cover out west overnight. I went down to 14C last night due to the crystal clear skies and longer nights now that we are in September. The low last night in central London was a balmy 21C though and some parts of Cornwall and Devon didn't drop below 21C last night either. Still not warm enough to break any records in England though. The same in regards to the daytime highs, since the September UK record stands at 35.6C. 

 

 

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Hutch

U guys finally got some warmer weather....nice ..to see...im burnt out on smoke and 80s -90s it seems like groundhogs day here......85 @505 pm time....apperentently ...its suppose to cool down to mid 70s...got a rain shower last night for 10 mins...lol....wierd front came through @ mach 2!

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kinzyjr

Relatively comfortable today at 85F.  Seems like we're already on the decent into fall temperatures.  It will make weeding a lot easier.

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GottmitAlex

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GottmitAlex

19C/ 66F 81% RH

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Chester B

84f today, another beautiful sunny day. 
 

long term forecast shows nothing starting with an 8. Cool weather looks like it’s finally about to make an appearance along with some much needed rain this weekend. 

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Silas_Sancona

Finally below 90F ( 86F currently ) at 9PM MST on this final Friday night of Summer 2021.. Waiting to see if a minor push of moisture brings a shower / storm or two tomorrow as we close in on the final 13 days of this years' Monsoon season.  Might be the season's finale, might be a pre cursor to a finale late next week / weekend / last week in September  if some hinted at things in some current Wx models come together at that time. Crossing fingers for a nice send off. Been a good summer regardless.

 Looks like the 110F heat is done for the year..  105/ 105+ heat may also be ending as the current forecast for next week only maxes out at around 103/104 F for a couple days. Highs for the start of the week hang in the mid/upper 90s - 101F.  Areas west of Phoenix may stay hotter though.  Nights ( in the Valley / Tucson, S. AZ ) are finally back in the 70s, and may dip to the upper 60s across many areas of town ..for a night or two early next week.  High Country / Flagstaff area lows are dropping back into the lower 50s- upper 40s.  Have been hearing that, due to the good summer rains, Fall foliage up in the high country might be pretty decent this year.  Not something many people might think of when Arizona comes to mind, but is a trip- worthy experience when good.

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UK_Palms

24C / 75F at 4pm here. Besides March, September has been the only other 'decent' month this year with average or above average temperatures and good conditions. All the other months (7 out of 9) have been colder than average, wetter/cloudier than average or just poor in general. The two transitional months around the spring/autumn equinox's have performed though. No idea why that is. Probably just down to freak luck/chance that the April - August period was so poor. September is going to go down as warmer than August though, just like how March was warmer than April. A strange year for us and a pretty poor year too compared to other recent years that have been rather good. I still only grade 2021 as a 2/10 so far. 

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Silas_Sancona
21 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

 ......Waiting to see if a minor push of moisture brings a shower / storm or two tomorrow as we close in on the final 13 days of this years' Monsoon season. 

76-82F and humid ( Dew Point & Humidity both at 68 Deg / 68% atm ) around Chandler at 6:47PM MST..

As for that moisture push? ....

...Well played, Monsoon 2021.. Well played..  Broken trees and all..

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Dust, not Smoke..
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It's 3:30PM right now..
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Round #1..
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...So much for that 20% chance of " Ioslated ", " light " showers..

( Looks out the living room window ) I see you might not be done adding to today's downpours this evening?

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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GottmitAlex

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GottmitAlex

Almost 10:00 PM and 25C/ 77F

 

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Silas_Sancona

98-104F around the East Valley, w/ a few 105-108F readings scattered about neighborhood Wx stations at about 10 to 3PM on this first day of Calendar Autumn. 

For now, looks like tomorrow might be the last 100F+ afternoon for about a week as a change in the pattern across the Western U.S. brings  a warm, but nicer taste of " Fall in the Desert " ..and perhaps a few more showers as the clock ticks on the final 8 days of Monsoon Season '21,  and we start October.

Forecast, for now at least,  trends highs back to the mid- upper 90s after tomorrow, with a few opportunities highs may hang in the lower 90s later next week. Lows, which have already returned to the " comfortable " range, should stay put.. if not drop further back into the lower 70s, w/ more upper 60F readings showing up for the start of October.  Parts of N. AZ have already seen the first sub- 40F readings of the year, and may see more next week.

Rain chances this weekend / how long they might linger across the state / region  currently hinge on the evolution and track of a cutoff low as it progresses southwest after developing somewhere near west central Utah and heads toward northern Baja,  and how slowly ( or quickly ) it gets nudged eastward over S. AZ next week.

  A few additional things may influence how much ( or little ) moisture is pulled north / west from Mexico as well, and how far west opportunities for any fall showers might reach ( some model runs this week have been pretty consistent on including a good chunk of S. Cal in such rain chances ).. Adding to this, there are hints of another potential trough dropping south toward AZ later next week / weekend ( perhaps further south than this weekend's event ) which could either extend or raise rain chances, perhaps even offer up a few, early snowflakes for parts of the Sierras, which would be great news..  .. We'll see what happens.. 

Regardless, Happy  Nor. Hemi.  Autumn 2021..

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GottmitAlex

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9:30pm pst. 

We hit 100F today. Hottest day of the month and ironically it's the first day of autumn/fall.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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amh

Currently 71F, 45F this morning and 84F for the high. Should be pleasant through the weekend.

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Silas_Sancona

A comfortable and cloudy 78F at 11AM MST w/ a few showers / storms prowling the desert southwest of town..  We'll see if we get something today.. If not, Tomorrow - Monday looks better ( rain chances are now up to 60-80%, vs. the 30-40% from earlier forecasts for Sat. afternoon- Monday morning )

High for today was forecast to hit the lower 90s but w/ all the clouds / showers, both locally and across the deserts west of AZ, not sure we'll get there. Highs thru the weekend/ early next week have trended down, w/ Sunday possibly not exceeding 85F. Could hold in the mid 80s- to about 92 thru most if not all of next week, unless things change of course..

See showers / isolated storms have managed to reach coastal parts of San Diego as well today.. 


Depending upon where the Upper level low, currently sliding southwest through the area, settles off N. Baja tomorrow,  Shower/ storm chances might hang around the area between now and Sunday. Closer to the coast is better vs. a few hundred miles further to the southwest ( west / southwest  of Tijuana / Ensenada ).


Still signs in the forecasts for more showers / storms mid to later next week both locally and across the region..

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amh

84F and dry.

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Silas_Sancona

Boom! .. Hope everyone is enjoying the show out there atm. More showers/ storms moving into the O.C. area atm also.  89F and partly cloudy at 3:30PM MST here..
 

 

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RyManUtah

93F / 35c / 11%RH

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amh
1 hour ago, RyManUtah said:

93F / 35c / 11%RH

That is dry.

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RyManUtah
1 hour ago, amh said:

That is dry.

Indeed. Mostly is though lol 

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amh
Just now, RyManUtah said:

Indeed. Mostly is though lol 

I have to carry moisturizer and nail files whenever I travel to the western hill country or south Texas, both of these areas are more humid than your area. I hope I could climatize to that low of humidity. 

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RyManUtah
2 hours ago, amh said:

I have to carry moisturizer and nail files whenever I travel to the western hill country or south Texas, both of these areas are more humid than your area. I hope I could climatize to that low of humidity

Fair enough. You definitely could.. There is moisturizer in sunscreen B)

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Silas_Sancona
16 minutes ago, RyManUtah said:

 There is moisturizer in sunscreen B)

Lol, applying the stuff when going to the beach as a kid was bad enough.. Would be pure torture ( and sweated off in under 5 mins. ) in AZ heat.

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RyManUtah
20 minutes ago, Silas_Sancona said:

Lol, applying the stuff when going to the beach as a kid was bad enough.. Would be pure torture ( and sweated off in under 5 mins. ) in AZ heat.

Hehe I was hoping the sarcastic joke was caught - hard to convey in text 

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Silas_Sancona

A cloudy, drippy, humid, ..and dare i say,  slightly cool  Sunday morning.. ( 72-75F around Chandler / rest of the East Valley at 5 till noon )  Forecast high today is 81-85F but clouds may keep temps lower unless more sun breaks through the clouds later.. Rains been mostly light this morning, expecting another round, maybe heavier this afternoon / overnight.  Rain chances diminish locally but hang around the state early week before another trough dives south from the N. Cal. /Pacific N.W. spurring better rain chances area wide sometime Wednesday - Friday -ish ( unless forecast timing changes < no doubt it will > )


Highs stay in the 82-87F-ish range most of the week before possibly heading back to the low 90s early next week ( ahead of another trough looking to move into / through the west ) Lows stay in the upper 60s to low 70s, with a couple nights mid / late next week falling into the mid / lower 60s around town. Outskirt / Foothill spots around town areas may see lows in the mid / upper 50s on the same days..

Forecast storm for middle / end of next week could bring some good rainfall to New Mexico, & West / west central TX as it heads east.

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Paradise Found

The garden has been in raining mode.  A few more days and the sunshine will be back, at lest the nights have been mild 60F every night.  

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RyManUtah

Cool, mostly cloudy day. 79F - which will likely be the high. 20%RH and nighttime should be somewhere around 52F. 

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Palmensammler

Autumn is coming very fast, daytime temps of 65F and nighttime around 40F

Eckhard 

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UK_Palms
14 hours ago, Palmensammler said:

Autumn is coming very fast, daytime temps of 65F and nighttime around 40F

Eckhard 

Likewise, we have had a proper autumnal feel creep in over the past few days. September was fantastic - far warmer, drier and sunnier than August was for us. I was swimming in the sea just a week ago with 75F temps and clear sunny skies, however the weather has quickly degraded in recent days. Lots of wind, rain and overcast conditions, typical of mid-late autumn now. 

I only reached a high of 62F yesterday and I’m expecting a high of about 65F today. Hardly cold, but certainly not warm either. I did have my coldest night in over 4 months on Wednesday night though with a chilly low of 45F. I’m still not expecting my first frost for another 3-4 weeks, which typically happens last week of October here. Last year the first frost came on 4th November. 

Edited by UK_Palms
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Silas_Sancona

A warm, but pleasant 81F at 10:32AM MST on the first day of October..  On the way to 87-89F around the Valley today, maybe one last  weekend in the the mid -upper 90s, before another chance of showers, and cooling back to the lower- mid 80s sometime Monday - Wednesday AM.

Looking further out?..  ~ For now ~,  some signs the Fall's first big cool down and a couple cold fall storms for the West could be just around the corner sometime between the 9th-15th.. Current look at Wx underground's extended has highs around 80F / lows in the 50s - about 62F for Chandler / Phoenix on the 10th.  Last few runs of the GFS take us lower ( highs possibly only in the 70s,  widespread lows in the 50s/60F in the warmest spots sometime between the 10th- 15th )

At the same time ( According to the same model runs ) Pac. N.W.  could see several days w/ lows in the low 40s- 30s, Highs not reaching 60. Sierra may see at least some light Snow / maybe some much need rain down to about the Central Coast ( California ) with the same storm.  A second, possibly stronger storm may follow the first around the 17th.

Both storms, plus the one scheduled for the start of next week may spread much needed Snow through the mountains of the Great Basin / Inter-mountain West, and far northern AZ / N.M. 

As if to say goodbye to Monsoon Season 2021 / Hello Fall / Winter 21-22 yesterday, a few lucky spots high up on the Rim / in the far eastern section of the White Mountains saw the season's first dusting of Snow.

While hints of a colder storm ( or 2 ) have been on the maps from time to time since about the 26th, as usual, GFS has been waffling back and forth  between this possible scenario and a more typical " mild/ warm " early fall pattern.. We'll see if the colder model runs hold through next week. 

Regardless, welcome to the final chapter of 2021.



 

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GottmitAlex

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palmsOrl

The hallmark of the weather this summer and fall so far has been undramatic.  No droughts, a lack of severe storms though with adequate rains, somewhat hot but a tad below average highs and the temperatures are just very gradually declining and have been since early September or so.  I am not sure what this sort of preceding pattern portends for the upcoming winter but we shall find out.  The temperature is currently in the low 70s.

-Loke

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GottmitAlex

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GottmitAlex

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GottmitAlex

Holy mackerel. We just received our monsoon. 21C. And pouring.

 

Yeah!!!!!

 

Oct  4th, 2021 9: 00pm pst

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Silas_Sancona

85F, Cloudy and awaiting whatever rain is headed this way overnight and through most -or all of Tuesday.. Different story a few hundred miles west where all of S. Cal, esp. closer to the coast is being treated to quite a light show and some beneficial fall rains.. Should continue on and off until early tomorrow morning ..unless the Cutoff Low spinning to the southwest of San Diego lingers out there a tad longer than currently forecast.

Here, it's a wait and see kind of forecast regarding how much rain the same system brings as it swings northeast across the state sometime later tomorrow.. Could get less than .25" or close to an inch in the valley.. 1- 2.5" up in the mountains/ rim country north and east of town. System could bring some stronger fall thunderstorms across central AZ tomorrow afternoon as well. 

Clears out after that, but not for long.. Another system could bring some sprinkles toward the end of the week.. Will bring more showers to S. Cal. as well.  Beyond that, ..things could get interesting ..and a bit chilly, for October anyway. ..Those colder- looking model runs? Still hinting at it..

For the moment, Wx Underground has us hanging around the mid 80's- 90 thru the weekend and next Monday..  Next Tuesday / Wednesday could see highs in the low/ mid 70s / lows in the low to mid- 50s... which means some sub 30 temps for the high country / Nor. AZ, most of New Mexico and Utah.. Mountains of both areas could see some snow too..

For now, Hope everyone across Southern CA. is enjoying a rare, stormy and wet October evening..  Anticipate some great pictures from storm chasers out there later..  I know one person regretting not bringing all the chase gear while on vacation this week near Santa Barbara..

 

 



Nice capture from San Diego:

 

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GottmitAlex

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Silas_Sancona

Some more tweets from SoCal. as the rain continues there.. large area of moderate rain now working it's way north through San Diego.  Will be interesting to see how rainfall totals look tomorrow.   Little bit of popcorn stuff  w/ occasional flashes popping up around PHX atm.

..From Mike.

Others..
 

 

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Silas_Sancona

Partly cloudy, 80F  at 10:16AM MST ..and waiting to see how the day will play out.. Interesting set up across AZ toady regardless.. (  Yes, 2" sized hail potential is mentioned )

Rainfall totals from San Diego ..and surrounding areas ..as of 5am.. Seem a little less than i'd have thought based on how the radar was looking out there around 1AM, imo.



You know you're going somewhere when your FIRST storm/ lightning capture is this epic.. *** Credit to the Photographer ( ..and soon to be fellow Storm Chaser / Lightning adrenaline junkie ) 


Another no - tripod, but goody from Mike O.


Was awaken by several good strikes from some quick moving storms here not long after my last post  ..and was up until 3:30am taking, editing, and waiting for more..


Not a bad way to sacrifice sleep. ~ Will put 'em up later..~

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