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What is your current yard temperature?

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RyManUtah

Slightly humid at 28% and pleasant 91F at 22:00. Things are happening outside. Fingers crossed. 
 

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Reyes Vargas
14 hours ago, RyManUtah said:

Slightly humid at 28% and pleasant 91F at 22:00. Things are happening outside. Fingers crossed. 
 

221873D9-1087-4256-B894-D0778E782534.jpeg.25c9302fc48c21cb7aba28b6e8807887.jpeg

So did you get a soaking or did the clouds Just tease you?

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RyManUtah
4 hours ago, Reyes Vargas said:

So did you get a soaking or did the clouds Just tease you?

We got something. Not sure how much, it was just drizzling when I crashed. Ground was wet and and sidewalks weren’t at sunrise. Got quite the lightning show, however. :greenthumb:

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Silas_Sancona
1 hour ago, RyManUtah said:

We got something. Not sure how much, it was just drizzling when I crashed. Ground was wet and and sidewalks weren’t at sunrise. Got quite the lightning show, however. :greenthumb:

Watching Satellite data on the College of Dupage website, looks like you have more coming from the north / west this evening too.

Same complex of storms that started up there last night put about .28" on the ground here around sunrise. Might repeat itself tonight/ early tomorrow.

 

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RyManUtah
5 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

Watching Satellite data on the College of Dupage website, looks like you have more coming from the north / west this evening too.

Received .75” in less than an hour - mostly sideways. :greenthumb: 
 

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Silas_Sancona

A hazy, humid ..and partly sunny 97F atm w/ a dew point reading of 67deg..  Maybe some action later, or tomorrow ( depending on what the atmosphere decides to do this afternoon ) Regardless, storm chances across AZ continue thru the weekend ahead and may ramp up again next week..

While i haven't seen much at the house, yet, Tucson, and some other spots across the southern part of the state are already ahead of last year - a good sign this year won't be as dreadful, if August and September switch gears and trend drier ( hopefully not  ).. Mountains/ rim have been pretty active as well.

Some interesting things to keep an eye on as we start next week, California esp:  **As always, check your daily forecast as forecasts can change. That said, have been hearing the same thoughts since Monday.**  Is good for those who want to get in on a little monsoon action, not so great from a fire standpoint.  With the suggested position of the 4- corners High next week, there may be other opportunities for showers/ storms across CA. on and off thru the upcoming week as well.


Adding to the potential for CA. storm chances ( as well as enhancing possible activity here ) E. Pac. is starting to get active again. We've also seen one of the longest, on- going Gulf Surge ( Gulf of CA. ) episodes in recent memory across AZ and that doesn't appear to be changing for at least the 4-6 days.

Yesterday's SST map for the Gulf.. Also saw parts of the coast around S. Cal. have warmed to the 70-74F-ish range.

gulfcalf.fc.gif
 

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UK_Palms

31C / 88F earlier at 4pm here going by the good old fashioned wooden thermometer. The digital reading reached 30.4C / 86C, so about a 1C difference between the two. I'm currently down to 24C / 75F at 9:30pm. Glorious day without a cloud in the sky. Makes a change from the past 3-4 weeks that have been crap. Expecting 33C / 92F tomorrow.  

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Tyrone
4 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

31C / 88F earlier at 4pm here going by the good old fashioned wooden thermometer. The digital reading reached 30.4C / 86C, so about a 1C difference between the two. I'm currently down to 24C / 75F at 9:30pm. Glorious day without a cloud in the sky. Makes a change from the past 3-4 weeks that have been crap. Expecting 33C / 92F tomorrow.  

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Balmy weather you’re having there. Enjoy. Also don’t forget to water your plants as they will be drinking heaps more than usual on days like that. A bit like people really. :winkie:

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Tyrone

Blue skies this winters morning ( they’ve been very rare lately) and about 13C at around 9am. Wild weather fires up again tomorrow with some very heavy falls forecast and possibly another 60-70mm by the end of the week. That will take us way past 800mm for the year so far.

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UK_Palms
16 minutes ago, Tyrone said:

Balmy weather you’re having there. Enjoy. Also don’t forget to water your plants as they will be drinking heaps more than usual on days like that. A bit like people really. :winkie:

I watered everything on Saturday afternoon and by the time I had finished I was dripping with sweat in the 30C+ heat. I had to turn the hose on myself pretty much. I've set my alarm early and will try to wake up early and get the stuff in the garden sorted well before noon on Sunday. The sun is still pretty intense this close to the solstice, even up here at 51N. I really felt it on Saturday under the clear skies. I've burnt my face again. I can feel it burning as I type this.

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It looks like it will be a fight between Heathrow and Kew Gardens to see who registers the highest temperature in the UK on Sunday. I'm thinking Kew will just edge it with a sneaky 34C. The Met is also saying that central London won't drop below 22C on Sunday night as well, with a low of 23C for Westminster. 

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Also, it appears Northern Ireland has just recorded it's highest ever temperature out of nowhere on Saturday :o ... what a weird year this has been...

 

 

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UK_Palms

El Scorchio here at 51N...

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35C / 95F on the wooden thermometer...

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34.7C / 94F was the high on the digital sensor, which is a shade cooler than the wooden thermometer for the second day running...

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These were the 3pm temperatures around west London. 

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Hotspot to the northwest Guildford around 4pm...

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Temperatures to the south of me...

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Typically there's no Wunderground station for my village. If there was, there would probably be a 34C on the map over Compton.

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Northern tip of Surrey, going into London, looking like a bit of a hotspot. Temps locally 34-37C.

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Hottest day of the year by far here. This theme needs to continue for some time though, to make up for the bad spring and poor first half of summer. Next week is looking hot thankfully. Not surprising though, given that we are going into the dog days of summer now. Statistically, the hottest period is the last week of July - first week of August. Hottest period last year was in mid-August. Hopefully it will be the same again

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sipalms
2 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

Typically there's no Wunderground station for my village. If there was, there would probably be a 34C on the map over Compton.

You do realize that "Wunderground stations" are just people's backyard stations that are connected to WiFi? I noticed that in one of those maps above, one "Wunderground Station" had 36 and one had 31, and they were about a km apart, so definitely take these readings with a grain of salt or two.

What/Where was the official metoffice high for the UK Sunday?

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UK_Palms
2 minutes ago, sipalms said:

You do realize that "Wunderground stations" are just people's backyard stations that are connected to WiFi? I noticed that in one of those maps above, one "Wunderground Station" had 36 and one had 31, and they were about a km apart, so definitely take these readings with a grain of salt or two.

What/Where was the official metoffice high for the UK Sunday?

Of course 100%, I get that they are unofficial stations and the overwhelming majority won't have stevenson screens. But it also makes for a valuable reference, especially when there aren't any 'official' stations in the area. Just because a lot of them may be 'off' by a degree or two, doesn't mean they are irrelevant.

I would use an 'official' met station for Guildford, or the surrounding area, if they actually had one. Even if you deduct 1-2C from each reading, temperatures were locally in the low 30's C around the Guildford area. And the southeast in general. There's enough different stations close by to approximate the temperatures in my neck of the woods. 

I think Wisley in east Surrey recorded 33C. Heathrow max was 31.6C. Kew I think came in at 31.3C. It's obvious the heat peaked in southwest London and into western Surrey, where there are not any 'official' stations. I stand by my 34.7C digital reading. The thermometer on the fence may be off by 1-2C potentially. It was almost reading 36C, compared to my digital 34.7C, but then again other stations nearby were also reading 35-36C. They could be correct, or they could be off by 1-2C.

There was a 37C just to the north of me. I'm not saying that is accurate. I would deduct 2-3C off those more extreme readings, but that would still correlate with the multiple 33-34C readings that were widespread. It definitely wasn't below 33C in Guildford, but probably not above 34-35C. I certainly don't take those 36-37C readings as gospel. 

London is still 30C at 8:30pm. I can't see it dropping below 22-23C in a few spots tonight. The Met keep upgrading the forecast as well. Low 30's could be widespread all of this week. These temperatures have come out of nowhere. None of the models predicted this even just a few days ago.

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The French Aperge model is usually pretty accurate at gaging temperatures. They are predicting Mon - Thursday to be pretty hot. Heatwave conditions (3+ days above 28C). We've already had 2 consecutive days above 28C. Could be 7 consecutive days above 28C for London & southeast now. At least it's a step up on what we have had in recent weeks.

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GFS signalling for a major heatwave for northwestern Europe going into August. If that comes off, it could be record breaking heat for London, Paris, Brussels, Amsterdam etc. 

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UK_Palms

Monstrous UHI in London, especially overnight. I am already back down to 23C here under the clear skies at 10:30pm, whereas parts of London are still at 28C. That's an UHI influence of 5C potentially. All that concrete releasing stored up heat after dark no doubt, especially right in the centre of London and the inland western suburbs.

 

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Heathrow is the same temperature as my bedroom right now, 28C. I have all my windows open and two fans going as well. Indoor temperature is maintaining steady at 28C. Sleeping is going to be a challenge tonight. Some people's bedrooms in London must be at least 30C tonight. British houses are not designed for this kind of weather. They are built to retain the heat. :rolleyes:

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Rinse and repeat the next few days. I'm not sure I'm looking forward to working in this sustained heat. I would rather a one-off 38C day, or a consistent run of 25C days. Having 5-7 consecutive days of 30-33C is a bit too warm. Humidity is higher than usual as well, due to all the rain in recent weeks. I really felt it today. I had a heat index of 39C here earlier. No doubt the palms will love these conditions though. The two Queens should pump out new growth. I suppose I can't have it both ways.

 

 

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Tyrone

Enjoy the heat while it lasts. You’re experiencing Perth summer weather but without the air conditioning at night which allows you to sleep. 

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UK_Palms
1 hour ago, Tyrone said:

Enjoy the heat while it lasts. You’re experiencing Perth summer weather but without the air conditioning at night which allows you to sleep. 

Literally nobody has an air conditioner in the UK. It's just not a thing here. You can buy one easily enough, but probably like 1 in 20 households actually have one. Perhaps even 1 in 50. I remember last August when we had like a week straight of 35C+ temperatures, I was adamant that I would get an air-con for next summer. That never happened, clearly. For the most part, I haven't actually needed it this summer anyway. 2021 has been a poor year in general, weather-wise.

This hot spell will be over by Friday/Saturday and then we will have a week or two of average temps again. I suspect we will see much worse heat than this in mid August though, about 3-4 weeks from now. Hottest temps likely between 10th - 20th August, similar to last year. The cheapest, half-decent air conditioning unit (which doesn't have a 2 star review) is like £400. Even for a decent second hand one I will be paying like £250, for something that I won't need for about 10 months of the year... :sick:

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GottmitAlex

34C/93F High 3:00pm PST

 

 

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UK_Palms

9:30am and it is already 28C / 82F on both the digital and wooden thermometers. Temperatures are at least 3-4C up on where they were at this time yesterday when I reached 34-35C. Depending on cloud cover this afternoon, 37-38C isn’t out of the question. I suspect thunderstorms will move in about 2pm though, limiting the heating potential. We may still reach 36-37C at this rate though.

 

ACE190F5-DF68-475A-A4E4-CF5CE55A6041.jpeg

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UK_Palms

Current temps at midday/noon on Monday. Cloud cover is moving in rapidly now. I can’t see it being warmer than yesterday now due to that. Isolated thunderstorms are possible here this afternoon. Unbearably humid right now. 

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Tyrone
22 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

Literally nobody has an air conditioner in the UK. 

We got rid of ours when we renovated. Hadn’t turned it on for years. London can have warmer summer nights than us. I’ve never recorded a minimum as high as 20C since we moved in over 7 years ago. On the very rare 38C plus day we could do with it, but a fan, and a trip to the beach is all that is needed. By nightfall the temps plummet and on a warm night you can open a window. 

Did those thunderstorms move in?

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GottmitAlex

31C 6PM PST

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UK_Palms
26 minutes ago, Tyrone said:

We got rid of ours when we renovated. Hadn’t turned it on for years. London can have warmer summer nights than us. I’ve never recorded a minimum as high as 20C since we moved in over 7 years ago. On the very rare 38C plus day we could do with it, but a fan, and a trip to the beach is all that is needed. By nightfall the temps plummet and on a warm night you can open a window. 

Did those thunderstorms move in?

It's similar here in that our 'hot' days are typically clear and sunny during high pressure events, meaning the temperatures will plummet overnight. A 30C day generally gives way to a 15C night here. London just has a mammoth UHI so it remains much warmer overnight, often by 4-5C. I mean Westminster only went down to 21C last night after a high of 32C, whereas I went down to 17C out here in the countryside after a high of 34C. London's UHI is definitely more prominent at night, rather than during the day. Especially in winter too.

Houses in WA and Oz in general are also built with hot summers and mild winters in mind. That definitely isn't the case here. My outdoor temperature is down to 21C now at 2am, whereas my bedroom is still up at 28C with all windows open and 2 fans going again. It was 31C in my bedroom a few hours ago and it only went down to 27C in here last night. It doesn't help that my bedroom is on the side where the sun sets at around 9pm this time of year. Even downstairs the coolest room is like 25-26C still. I do need to get an air-con unit really.

And no, the thunderstorms never did come. Not here. Sussex and Kent got them. They were predicted to be over my area, but they were actually out further west.

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The afternoon cloud-cover limited the heating potential to 33.4C here, so temperatures did not rise much after about 1pm. Monday's high was actually about 1C down on Sunday here, but most stations in the area seemed to be reporting similar temps as yesterday. Maybe a shade under. Wunderground have issued an Active Watch warning for "extreme high temperatures" in my area which seems a bit excessive. I mean they didn't issue a warning last August when it was 38C.

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My nearest stations at around 3pm. 

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These are the 4pm temps after it had already started cooling off a bit due to the cloud cover. Nothing below 30C. Locally 32-33C. 

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Rinse and repeat again on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday potentially too. More afternoon thunderstorm risks again tomorrow. Thunderstorms will probably be out near Heathrow in west London. I have a feeling I will catch one here as well tomorrow, but still make 31-32C at least. 

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palmsOrl

This has actually been a summer that I would say hasn't been exceptionally hot, in an "era" during which it seems every summer is hotter than the previous.  The rainy season got off to a late start but has been decent so far.  No flash droughts or extended dry periods in a month and a half.

Sitting at around 90F right now with high humidity.

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UK_Palms

Down to 23C at 11pm now after a high of 33C on Tuesday. It's perfectly comfortable outside right now, but indoors it is ridiculous. The house is like an oven. I'm desperately trying to get the bedroom temperature down before I go to sleep as it is still 31C. It was 33C in my bedroom a few hours ago. The downstairs living room is maintaining at 28C. 

I'm going to try keeping the bedroom windows closed during the day tomorrow and see if that stops the heat getting in. It does feel like there has been a cumulative effect with each passing day/night the house is getting progressively hotter. Houses in the UK have tons of insulation in the walls and attic, thick carpets, as well as double glazed windows. Not ideal.

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Same again tomorrow. Clear skies in the morning with it clouding over by mid-afternoon and then risk of thunderstorms. I'm expecting about 32C / 90F tomorrow, although it could be anywhere between 30-34C, depending on cloud cover. Abnormally warm in Devon and Cornwall as well. They could see 35C in the southwest.

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Also, there has been some crazy, biblical floods in China recently too. Aside from hurricane storm surge, I have never heard of floods like that before, ever. The videos are insane...

 

 

 

This is insane... I would be absolutely terrified...

 

Never seen anything like this before. I know subways are notorious for flooding, but there is usually time to evacuate and close the station. Clearly there wasn't in this case. The person recording the next video is obviously trapped down there and can't get up the steps...

 

Just crazy.

 

 

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Silas_Sancona

101F at 11:14AM w/ a dew point of 66deg/ 34% humidity under partly cloudy skies...

Looking like today might be the opening act to what could be a very active rest of the week/ weekend as a large and strong easterly wave/ inverted trough / retrograding Upper Level Low combo, currently sitting somewhere in eastern TX, heads west toward AZ over the next 3-5 days.

Despite more than enough moisture available in the atmosphere over the Valley, been fairly quiet with most storms/ rainfall hanging out in the mountains, or briefly popping up here and there across various parts of the lower / western Deserts over the last few days.. That looks to change starting today as winds turn more easterly, speed up, and expand further up into the upper levels..

Already under a Flash Flood watch for Thurs- Sat/ Sun. but that might be triggered earlier if what was passed along by the WPC/ SPC occurs as we head through the afternoon/ evening:


Notice Phoenix/ surrounding spots in the Valley are pretty much in the Bullseye today.. As always, a little skeptical when it comes to where / who might get dumped on, but certainly looks good for more activity that we've seen so far..  While more scattered/ isolated, what storms have occurred this week have put down quite impressive rain totals where they have occurred.. So the moisture is there.

Very sticky out atm ..and about to get real' juicy for the rest of the week..

Current SST's in the GOC ( and off S. Cal ) atm.. 

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Silas_Sancona

A wet and steamy Friday morning.. 74F at 8:34AM w/ a dew point of 71deg / Humidity 87% ..with continued light rain /occasional thunder...   Forecast to reach 87F later but might not if it stays cloudy.  Temps. for the Weekend stay in the 80s / 90-92F.


A wild night across most of AZ last night as the first wave of rain/ storms soaked the region..  While it took a little longer for storms to dump here at the house, has been raining ( lighter now ) since about midnight.. Other parts of the valley saw rain arrive earlier. 

Already LOTS of  flash flooding issues across the Valley, Mountains, and Tucson/ other parts of S. AZ last night..  was so wrapped up in editing all the crazy lightning shots i got ( was up till 2AM ) was not able to track where some of the flooding was occurring but have seen pictures of some that occurred in/ around Scottsdale ( Indian Bend Wash area ), and down in Tucson..  

From Tucson, along the Rillito ( Wash / River ):


General estimated rainfall totals -so far-.. Have to check more detailed maps for more detailed totals later.. This should really green up the Desert shortly.. Areas south/ southeast of Tucson are already quite lush.

More detailed totals from Tucson from around 6:30AM:



...And this is just day #1, of a storm event that could stretch out into/ through Sunday.. 


Lightning shot teaser..

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First decent Haboob of the season.. Might be the last ( Due to all the soaking rain last night across the dust -prone areas to my south )
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Guaiacum coulteri soaking up that sweet liquid sunshine..
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Silas_Sancona

Closing in on 3PM: 75F w/ a dew point of 72deg / humidity at 86%  and occasional raindrops..

Total might seem pitiful in many places but Phoenix ( at Sky Harbor ) broke their daily rainfall total . Tweet is a couple hours old and rain has continued over the area on and off since. Would anticipate an updated post sometime later on today.

Possible cloudy skies limit storm chances the rest of the afternoon (  Due to the local Atmosphere being worked over from today's activity ) but overall flow in the Atmosphere should bring the next wave of storms/ heavy rain west / southwest out of N.E. AZ / Western New Mexico later / overnight.. Mountains /Rim are already quite stormy.
 

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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Silas_Sancona

Currently 78F ( 72deg Dew Point / 77% humidity ) under cloudy skies after another morning soaking..  80-82F is the suggested high for the afternoon, we'll see if we hit it. Next possible wave of rain is taking shape over the mountains across N. E. AZ. as the IT = Inverted Trough and associated Upper Level Low  heads southwest from Northwestern New Mexico.

Some stats from around the state regarding this event so far. While it won't erase the drought, this ..and anymore rain we see the rest of the season will help out, at least in the short term.  For the Phoenix #'s, pretty sure this beats BOTH last year and what rain fell during the Monsoon in 2019:



Same system currently headed into AZ still looking like it heads west into CA. starting tomorrow - mid week.  While i've seen rain chances in the 20-50% range for the coast / near- coastal / Interior valleys, west of the Deserts/ mountains of S. Cal., ~ from roughly Santa Barbara south ~, i won't be surprised at all if chance #s are raised a tad as details on where this system ends up become clearer.. As much moisture as this system is working with, hard to imagine it only brings sprinkles and extra humidity as it surges west, esp. if the system itself moves off the coast, and / or slows down while moving over the region.
 


That said, keep an eye on the forecasts, esp. if you are headed up into.. or live anywhere near the Mountains / any Burn Scars.  System may bring another threat of drier storms / lightning to central / Nor. Cal. / Sierras mid-late week. 


Rain chances back off the gas, but not off the petal  for the start of the week here, then return to the season standard 30-50% chances later.  Warms up, but only to the low 100's mid/ late week before perhaps another rain/ storm- related cool down.  Keeping an eye on the E. Pac. for more Hurricane/ Trop. storm activity <  may see another uptick in activity >, and possible more moisture may head west into CA. -after next week's surge-  as well.. 

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Silas_Sancona

86F at 10:20 am under some sun after a wet weekend.. 

Same system is currently moving through S. Cal bringing some impressive - for the season - rain totals to various spots, inc. right to the coast, and in the Cochella Valley / Palm Springs / Indio.  Looks like more action out there for later today before this wave of moisture works it's way north toward the Bay Area / other parts of N. Cal / Central/ Northern Sierra Nevada.


As for local rain totals, QUITE impressive over a good portion of the state, esp. around both Phoenix and Tucson. Wast Valley locations ( west side of Phoenix ) saw very little rain both Fri. / Sat. ..but got more than a majority of East Valley locations ..in less than one day, which resulted in a lot of Urban flash flooding out there.

 

Both Tucson and Phoenix experienced a 2- 3 day streak of record low high temperatures as well.. Would be perfect summer weather  here if it stayed like this.



Couple views of some of the flash flooding in parts of Tucson:



Action wasn't limited to the deserts either.. ***Full credit to the photographer who shared this incredible time lapse.*** There are additional, epic pictures of the same event from various AZ Storm Chasers who were filming up there on Twitter.




Looking like we take a little break from the action for the start of the week though w/ so much moisture laid down, over the entire state, early week storm chances don't shut down completely.  Many areas in the state are greening up quite nicely atm as well, which will only add increasing amounts of moisture to fuel widely scattered storms that may occur, esp. up in the mountains.


Already a fairly strong signal another Easterly Wave / Cut off Upper Level Low heads west / northwest up the Rio Grande Valley from just off the coast of S. TX. mid to late week, reaching somewhere near the Southwest corner of the AZ. / NM. border by Thursday or Friday.  WX Models are notoriously bad at forecasting the tracks of such events so factors such as timing,  position, strength, etc can change quite a bit over the next few days. Regardless, while this next event may not be quite as strong as the system we just experienced, still looking stronger than a " typical " easterly wave. Because these lows tend to be erratic and slow movers, system could linger over the state / region thru the upcoming weekend again and send another good slug of moisture into CA / NV., and UT.

Looking toward the month ahead, while some current model " thoughts " suggests a slight drying trend.. or at least less +wet / more " normal " possibilities, other " thoughts " for August show a continuation of normal to +normal conditions are possible across AZ ..and the rest of the southwest,  inc. at least the southern part of California..  Have to say the  " wetter " - looking model thoughts have been a bit more accurate, at least so far,  compared to those that might lean drier.  Obviously,  we'll have to wait and see.. 

Regardless, looking like a MUCH better season than ~ at least ~  the last 2 YEARS.


 

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JLM

As of 3:50 PM CDT, the temperature in the backyard, under the shade, is 95F with a feels like temperature of HellF (116F). Same is expected tomorrow, but worse. Heat index may approach or exceed 120F, just based on how today went. Saturday is looking to be the worst day, with a forecasted high of 98F and a heat index in the 116F-120F range. Heat Advisory in effect for today and tonight, Excessive Heat Warning goes into effect at 10 am tomorrow and lasts through tomorrow night, when an Excessive Heat Watch goes into effect (likely to be upgraded to a warning). 

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Silas_Sancona

Mid to upper 90s around the East Valley( 96F in the neighborhood ), on a sunny and humid Saturday afternoon after last night's soaking.. 


After appearing we'd miss out on another good soaking, storms slowly formed southeast of town, then headed north / northwest across the valley last night.  Here, individual cells skirted this side of Chandler for a time before eventually filling in and providing  lots of gaps between compact but well structured storms early on for more lightning shots, and roughly another inch of rain here at the house. 

Tucson also saw another stormy Friday night, adding to their already stunning Monsoon season rainfall total.. This tweet was from 10 last night and i think they got a little more. While not as likely as last night, there's still a chance they see a shower or two tonight.

Tucson, mountains / Rim country, and Southern AZ have been getting some degree of rainfall almost daily. As mentioned elsewhere, getting pretty green down there too ( and up in the mountains ).


As we head into the start of August, looks like storm activity takes a bit of a break again/ temps. heat up as the overall Wx pattern re-arranges itself a bit.  Even with a break, most of the state is in pretty good shape so far.  Regardless, the anxious are crossing their fingers a wet July doesn't flip to a dry August.. That's the last thing we need right now..

More than likely, at least how it is looking now, while it may dry out a bit the next 5-8 days or so ( a " break " in activity, here and there through the season, is normal ), already seeing signs August should be pretty active, maybe extending into the start of September, esp. if we start drawing in moisture from the parade of Tropical systems currently moving across.. or forecast to form over  the East Pac. over the next week / two weeks.

As far as impacts on the on- going drought situation, this will help for sure, but will not erase 20 years ( plus ) of drought. If we see a couple heavy,  tropical storm-related rain events between August and October, that would really help. That said, the state is out of the worst level of drought, for the moment at least..

While we may max out in the 106-110F range early to mid- week, not seeing any signs of sustained 110F / 110+ heat anywhere over the next 10-14 days.Unless things change sometime during the week, temps. return to the 100- 105- ish range by next weekend.  That said, clock is quickly running out for the exceptional heat.. Days are only getting shorter.


As far as what shots i was able to capture last night, will have a few to add to the Monsoon 2021 " thread. Challenge atm w/ them ..and those from the last event is settling on which ones are post- worthy, lol ) Regardless.. While the ones i've been able to capture are ok,   ...for now..

..This is what i'm aiming for, once i have a few $$ for a real Camera, lol.. **** All Credit to the great Warren Faidley ****



 

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Silas_Sancona

88F, w/ decreasing humidity under clear skies at 11:09PM MST.

As mentioned yesterday, start of the week across the Valley looks a bit toasty as storms take a break. While temps. for Tuesday-Thursday have trended up, doesn't look like we'll see anything crazy, in the Valley at least. Far western Deserts along the Colorado River, and areas around/ west of Yuma will see 112 / 112+ heat though.  Hottest day, Wednesday, looks to top out at 111F for Phoenix, and some of the other hot spots around town. Monsoon lull  will be short lived however as storm chances ramp up steadily after Friday thru the weekend ( and likely into the following week )


CPC released their latest update for August yesterday and while there is data supporting the idea of a dry August following a wet July, that might not be the case this year, thankfully..


No doubt things can change though.  Even if the month ahead / September aren't quite as wet as July was, esp. for Tucson ..and far S. AZ,  that would still keep them well above normal for the season..

Tucson's current total stands at 8.06" which is well above the 5.69" they'd get in an entrie season, and just below cracking the 10th wettest summer there ( 8.62" ).. Tucson's Wettest Monsoon?  13.84".   Wouldn't take much to match ~or exceed ~ that by the end of September, esp. if any Tropical Storms between now and then wander into AZ. 

Even if they only receive average precip. totals for the next two months, that would top their current 3rd wettest Monsoon season.  We'll see what happens..

Phoenix is a mixed bag..  above average rainfall- wise for July,   but still below average for the season -so far- ( unless you look at this:.. 



Not sure how Phoenix averages the #'s  )  

Have a lonngg way to go to reach the 9.56" that is our wettest monsoon season rainfall total. 10th wettest = 5.99" ..so we'll need 4.26" of rain between now and the end of September to hit that goal.. Not impossible, but... we'll see how it goes.. Sky Harbor seems to keep missing out on a lot of the bigger storms that have hit the valley so far.  That said, a good Tropical Storm- induced rain event ( or 2 < :innocent: crosses fingers > ) ..say like what occurred in 2014, would definitely change things.. ( 2014 season ended up as 7th wettest for Phoenix )

Regardless of the outcome of the rest of Monsoon 2021, State ( and good portion of the entire region ) is in a much better place right now than last year ( and 2019 in many cases )..  Look at the difference in Tucson, wow!


Let the rain keep dumping...
 

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GottmitAlex

August 3, 2021

4:23AM (PST) 

20C/68F

 

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GottmitAlex

IMG_20210803_141959_1.jpg

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Hutch

86 and a bit humid....

16280375821192290103580175573692.jpg

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sonoranfans

1:56pm EST 82F, 77% humidity, looks like we may get more rain in 2hrs.  Looks like we got ~4" rain this morning  between 6 and 8am, some of the biggest boomers I've heard in years with 20 mph winds.  I was glad not to have to drive in it.

image.thumb.png.e8602275a19e8d1820d99b0b1f23006a.png

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RyManUtah

Officially, 109F (42c) with RH of 9%. Home weather station is currently reading 44.4c, however. 

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GottmitAlex
3 minutes ago, RyManUtah said:

Officially, 109F (42c) with RH of 9%. Home weather station is currently reading 44.4c, however. 

Whoah!

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Jubaea_James760
4 hours ago, RyManUtah said:

Officially, 109F (42c) with RH of 9%. Home weather station is currently reading 44.4c, however. 

I laid over in Mesquite last night & temperature was about 95F close to midnight :bemused:

Made my way into Hurricane this morning & you could definitely fill the heat building up. The heat loving palms are loving it!

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Jubaea_James760

Hesperia, CA 10:20 pm PST, currently 84F/28.8C.

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