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GottmitAlex

What is your current yard temperature?

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GottmitAlex

12:20am  oct/14/2020

22F

20201014_002151.jpg

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mdsonofthesouth

Cold....49f for pt this am.

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GottmitAlex
1 hour ago, mdsonofthesouth said:

Cold....49f for pt this am.

wow.  Take care.

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Silas_Sancona

99F at 4:22PM MST

As anticipated... 


Maybe another 1 or 2 days could get added to this total before Saturday as well. Maybe down to the upper 80s/low 90s by next Friday. Lows at least have really  started to come down.. running in the lower/mid 60s here, upper 60s in Phoenix proper. Might see some upper 50s ( finally, lol ) by next weekend.. Now to see if we'll also break the record for most 90F/90F+ highs this year. 

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NorCalKing

Really hoping "fall" arrives at some point this year. With November on the horizon, we are still teasing triple digits. Ugh.

 

Screen Shot 2020-10-15 at 3.07.47 PM.png

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GottmitAlex

Four straight days in the low 100's. They're calling for one last day in the 100's for tomorrow (Friday, Oct 16th).

Loving it

 

20201015_174156.jpg

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GottmitAlex

9:00pm Oct 16

23C 

What a gorgeous evening!

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sandgroper

Currently 30c, bright and sunny, a very pleasant day all round.

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greysrigging

Darwin Airport made it to 33.4c today.
It's a significant date for the weather stats nerd ( my good self ). On this day ( 18th ) in 1982 we had our hottest day on record, 38.9c ( 102f ). At 12*S and on the coast, we do not see extremes very often. In fact only 5 days above the old 100f ( 37.78c ) since records began in 1941.
I remember it like yesterday as I was on shanks pony and a push bike all day traipsing around doctors, insurance companies, police etc after being caught in a bushfire out at Twin Falls in Kakadu the day before. My new 4wd Hilux, ( Tacoma in the US ) camping gear, rifles etc all lost, but fortunately no one injured. ( I had some minor burns and a foot injury ). Our camping party took refuge in the water of the gorge as the flames roared overhead......|
The blue vehicle was mine.
121729411_4013586581991414_2492480294313365215_n.jpg.7d1aae6d09aaca94ca8896d65f833bbd.jpg
The next day...
121541137_4013582998658439_2255036318500703142_n.jpg.93b4d8da4ed581efc0a49ac67698d927.jpg121739561_4013582991991773_7392349090307014477_n.jpg.b96c0347959f29a9b2068f29e5fb337b.jpg
 

 

Edited by greysrigging
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Silas_Sancona

80F at 6: 32 PM MST.. Day 167 w/ a high above 95F, a record ( see below ) Will add at least 2 more, and at least 2 more days above 90F before a big change ( Current 10 day forecast, as suggested by WX Underground.. Crossed fingers this time. See below. )


https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/az/chandler


***Will add.. While i don't trust recent data from it much .. Everyone across most of Texas and the southeast ( away from the coast ) might  keep an eye on the forecast for next week.. Same storm that will brush by AZ. may whip up an unwelcome, pre- Halloween surprise to our east, at least according to what keeps showing up on various GFS runs. Again, can't trust ANY model 100% but.. Yea, just keep an eye on things.. Hopefully the GFS is " hugging the bottle "a bit too much lately.

Yea, it's late October, but some of the suggested lows look a bit too cold, esp. for Texas for so early on.

Pivtol WX ( CFS ).. and some of the Ensemble models don't look as cold( or paint chances for icy stuff as far south ). Then again, it keeps suggesting some decent rain for AZ and Central/S. Cal after the start of November, depending on which run of that model you happen to analyze.

Would completely ignore garbage model runs but this potential scenario keeps popping up, more so today. :hmm:.. Hopefully it is  ..complete trash, but figured it was worth mentioning, just in case.. It is still 2020 after all unfortunately:bemused:

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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Silas_Sancona

85F at 5:55PM MST..  2 more days in the 90's, then come the changes.. BIG changes. 

Suggested forecast is still on schedule, both here and further east.  While, as the saying goes " Devil is in the details " more models are zeroing in on quite a cool down, and.. maybe some of that stuff called " rain " ....Maybe a little snow up on the rim/ over N.E. AZ as well. 

Much will depend on where a low off S. Cal links up with another dropping down the west side of the Rockies, and how deep of a trough digs down into AZ as the two merge..  " Canadian " low slips more to the southeast, into New Mexico rather than moving south of the I-40 corridor, before merging w/ the low to the southwest, less moisture gets transported north into AZ. from the south.
The further south the low from the north/northwest digs into AZ, more potential for showers/ higher rain totals locally.  Atm, forecast totals range from .10" to .40" in/around Phoenix, Higher in the mountains. Not sure what is suggested snow-wise. While not much, anything is better than nothing obviously..

The biggest influence from this low will be the rapid cool down after Sunday.. Supposed to go from the mid/upper 80's over the weekend, to the low 70's.. possibly upper 60's Monday- Wed. Lows could bottom out in the upper 40s Wed/ Thursday mornings. Warms back to the low 80's by Halloween-eve, but lows stay in the low/mid 50's.

New Mexico, and areas east/south are going to freeze with low 30's making it down into central Texas by Wednesday.

Looking at this afternoons' 18Z GFS on Tidbits, chances for frozen precip may brush Dallas by next Friday. New Mexico/ N. Texas/ Oklahoma/ Kansas may see the brunt of any possible Ice/ Snow next week. Living in Kansas for several years, snow before Halloween is pretty uncommon.  Looks pretty tranquil after that.



 

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ColdBonsai

Currently at 37F for a low thanks to the early La Nina storms. Still no rain though for us. Thankfully the mountains have done their job and pushed the worst of it to the east. Will probably get our first frost at my house by this weekend though, and then we'll be warming back up. 

The official reading at the airport here is 31F. Thats consistent with my neighborhood being 5-10 degrees warmer at night vs the official reading. Gives me hope that my zone 7a is really more of a 7b.

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mdsonofthesouth

76f currently

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WaianaeCrider

About 75* f.   Heavy clouds, 1.8 " rain over night.  Another 0.6" in the last 20 min.  It stopped right now, but the neighbors land drains into mine and my "dry" stream bed is FLOWING.

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sandgroper

Currently a lovely 27c in Jandakot Western Australia, cold beer in hand waiting with anticipation for the AFL grand final to start about an hour from now. Carn Geelong!

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greysrigging
43 minutes ago, sandgroper said:

Currently a lovely 27c in Jandakot Western Australia, cold beer in hand waiting with anticipation for the AFL grand final to start about an hour from now. Carn Geelong!

 

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cbmnz

In middle of a long run of 23C days,  a good 4C above average for October. Mild nights too, has really got everything growing.

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GottmitAlex

17C!!!!

1:42AM  Oct/24/2020

 

20201024_014158.jpg

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