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GottmitAlex

What is your current yard temperature?

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GottmitAlex

12:20am  oct/14/2020

22F

20201014_002151.jpg

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mdsonofthesouth

Cold....49f for pt this am.

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GottmitAlex
1 hour ago, mdsonofthesouth said:

Cold....49f for pt this am.

wow.  Take care.

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Silas_Sancona

99F at 4:22PM MST

As anticipated... 


Maybe another 1 or 2 days could get added to this total before Saturday as well. Maybe down to the upper 80s/low 90s by next Friday. Lows at least have really  started to come down.. running in the lower/mid 60s here, upper 60s in Phoenix proper. Might see some upper 50s ( finally, lol ) by next weekend.. Now to see if we'll also break the record for most 90F/90F+ highs this year. 

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NorCalKing

Really hoping "fall" arrives at some point this year. With November on the horizon, we are still teasing triple digits. Ugh.

 

Screen Shot 2020-10-15 at 3.07.47 PM.png

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GottmitAlex

Four straight days in the low 100's. They're calling for one last day in the 100's for tomorrow (Friday, Oct 16th).

Loving it

 

20201015_174156.jpg

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GottmitAlex

9:00pm Oct 16

23C 

What a gorgeous evening!

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sandgroper

Currently 30c, bright and sunny, a very pleasant day all round.

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greysrigging

Darwin Airport made it to 33.4c today.
It's a significant date for the weather stats nerd ( my good self ). On this day ( 18th ) in 1982 we had our hottest day on record, 38.9c ( 102f ). At 12*S and on the coast, we do not see extremes very often. In fact only 5 days above the old 100f ( 37.78c ) since records began in 1941.
I remember it like yesterday as I was on shanks pony and a push bike all day traipsing around doctors, insurance companies, police etc after being caught in a bushfire out at Twin Falls in Kakadu the day before. My new 4wd Hilux, ( Tacoma in the US ) camping gear, rifles etc all lost, but fortunately no one injured. ( I had some minor burns and a foot injury ). Our camping party took refuge in the water of the gorge as the flames roared overhead......|
The blue vehicle was mine.
121729411_4013586581991414_2492480294313365215_n.jpg.7d1aae6d09aaca94ca8896d65f833bbd.jpg
The next day...
121541137_4013582998658439_2255036318500703142_n.jpg.93b4d8da4ed581efc0a49ac67698d927.jpg121739561_4013582991991773_7392349090307014477_n.jpg.b96c0347959f29a9b2068f29e5fb337b.jpg
 

 

Edited by greysrigging
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Silas_Sancona

80F at 6: 32 PM MST.. Day 167 w/ a high above 95F, a record ( see below ) Will add at least 2 more, and at least 2 more days above 90F before a big change ( Current 10 day forecast, as suggested by WX Underground.. Crossed fingers this time. See below. )


https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/az/chandler


***Will add.. While i don't trust recent data from it much .. Everyone across most of Texas and the southeast ( away from the coast ) might  keep an eye on the forecast for next week.. Same storm that will brush by AZ. may whip up an unwelcome, pre- Halloween surprise to our east, at least according to what keeps showing up on various GFS runs. Again, can't trust ANY model 100% but.. Yea, just keep an eye on things.. Hopefully the GFS is " hugging the bottle "a bit too much lately.

Yea, it's late October, but some of the suggested lows look a bit too cold, esp. for Texas for so early on.

Pivtol WX ( CFS ).. and some of the Ensemble models don't look as cold( or paint chances for icy stuff as far south ). Then again, it keeps suggesting some decent rain for AZ and Central/S. Cal after the start of November, depending on which run of that model you happen to analyze.

Would completely ignore garbage model runs but this potential scenario keeps popping up, more so today. :hmm:.. Hopefully it is  ..complete trash, but figured it was worth mentioning, just in case.. It is still 2020 after all unfortunately:bemused:

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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Silas_Sancona

85F at 5:55PM MST..  2 more days in the 90's, then come the changes.. BIG changes. 

Suggested forecast is still on schedule, both here and further east.  While, as the saying goes " Devil is in the details " more models are zeroing in on quite a cool down, and.. maybe some of that stuff called " rain " ....Maybe a little snow up on the rim/ over N.E. AZ as well. 

Much will depend on where a low off S. Cal links up with another dropping down the west side of the Rockies, and how deep of a trough digs down into AZ as the two merge..  " Canadian " low slips more to the southeast, into New Mexico rather than moving south of the I-40 corridor, before merging w/ the low to the southwest, less moisture gets transported north into AZ. from the south.
The further south the low from the north/northwest digs into AZ, more potential for showers/ higher rain totals locally.  Atm, forecast totals range from .10" to .40" in/around Phoenix, Higher in the mountains. Not sure what is suggested snow-wise. While not much, anything is better than nothing obviously..

The biggest influence from this low will be the rapid cool down after Sunday.. Supposed to go from the mid/upper 80's over the weekend, to the low 70's.. possibly upper 60's Monday- Wed. Lows could bottom out in the upper 40s Wed/ Thursday mornings. Warms back to the low 80's by Halloween-eve, but lows stay in the low/mid 50's.

New Mexico, and areas east/south are going to freeze with low 30's making it down into central Texas by Wednesday.

Looking at this afternoons' 18Z GFS on Tidbits, chances for frozen precip may brush Dallas by next Friday. New Mexico/ N. Texas/ Oklahoma/ Kansas may see the brunt of any possible Ice/ Snow next week. Living in Kansas for several years, snow before Halloween is pretty uncommon.  Looks pretty tranquil after that.



 

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ColdBonsai

Currently at 37F for a low thanks to the early La Nina storms. Still no rain though for us. Thankfully the mountains have done their job and pushed the worst of it to the east. Will probably get our first frost at my house by this weekend though, and then we'll be warming back up. 

The official reading at the airport here is 31F. Thats consistent with my neighborhood being 5-10 degrees warmer at night vs the official reading. Gives me hope that my zone 7a is really more of a 7b.

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mdsonofthesouth

76f currently

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WaianaeCrider

About 75* f.   Heavy clouds, 1.8 " rain over night.  Another 0.6" in the last 20 min.  It stopped right now, but the neighbors land drains into mine and my "dry" stream bed is FLOWING.

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sandgroper

Currently a lovely 27c in Jandakot Western Australia, cold beer in hand waiting with anticipation for the AFL grand final to start about an hour from now. Carn Geelong!

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greysrigging
43 minutes ago, sandgroper said:

Currently a lovely 27c in Jandakot Western Australia, cold beer in hand waiting with anticipation for the AFL grand final to start about an hour from now. Carn Geelong!

 

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cbmnz

In middle of a long run of 23C days,  a good 4C above average for October. Mild nights too, has really got everything growing.

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GottmitAlex

17C!!!!

1:42AM  Oct/24/2020

 

20201024_014158.jpg

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Silas_Sancona

63F at 11:18AM MST..  About the same at Sky Harbor. What a difference a day makes.. Was 85F here yesterday.

As advertised, cold Canadian area of low pressure rolled down the west side of the Rockies yesterday and is bottoming out over the mountains east of Phoenix near the AZ/NM border. Breezy and cool is the rule here for roughly the next 24-36 hours. Unfortunately, optimism for any rain faded over the weekend and only high elevation areas over northeast AZ saw showers and an inch or two of Snow. The main action precipitation-wise is unfolding across New Mexico, N. Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas atm  While dry here, Albuquerque could see 5-8" of snow, while parts of Oklahoma may see close to 1" of Ice accumulation as this storm heads east tomorrow.

At the same time, pressure gradient to the west of this storm is helping to enhance critical " Santa Ana"-type fire conditions and near zero/ - zero humidity levels across California.

Highs stay in the 60s to around 70 today and tomorrow here before a quick warm up to the mid/upper 80s by Halloween.. Possible another day or two hits 90F by the 4th of next month. Lows around Phoenix drop to the mid/low 40s tonight- Thursday morning, w/ some upper 30s possible in the coldest spots away from town.  Potential frost/freeze/ hard freeze south and east of Phoenix, esp across Southeastern AZ where lows may bottom out around 30F tomorrow night/ Wednesday night. They too warm back to the 80s by the weekend.

Right now, looks pretty quiet beyond that. No real signs of rain/snow forecast either.

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RyManUtah
5 hours ago, Silas_Sancona said:

Right now, looks pretty quiet beyond that. No real signs of rain/snow forecast either.

We got mostly “ghost rain” before it cooled down. The wind has picked up a lot and is drastically colder than it has been. Currently 50F as the highest of the day. We are advertised to have a freeze tonight. Forecasts show on the 28-30F range. And then warm back up. 
looks quiet beyond that for now..

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kinzyjr

After 8:30pm and almost Halloween - still 81F.  Mind the clock... I never reset it in the spring.  It will be right again soon. :winkie:

20201026_203407_Temperature_1600.jpg

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GottmitAlex

3:13pm PST oct/29

80F and an overcast sky.

 

20201029_151238.jpg

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Silas_Sancona

After a couple " chilly " days, a very pleasant 86F downtown, 84F at our local airport here in Chandler. 82F at Sky Harbor just after 4PM.  Back to the upper 80s/low90s starting tomorrow, thru next Friday,  for now, at least.. Lows, which bottomed out around 40F here yesterday rebound back to the high 50s/low 60s from tonight onward.  Maybe another quick cool down around/after the 10th. Looks mild otherwise.

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GottmitAlex

In todays news article from the Mexican national meteorological service (SMN), they are forecasting 3-4C+ temps above average for this winter throughout western Mexico/California/Arizona due to the "La niña" phenomenon: Low precipitation, higher temps, drought.

 

Keeping an eye out.

 

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Silas_Sancona

88F at 4:57PM MST..   A HOT  start to November..   95F yesterday, 93 today.. Sky Harbor's high of 96F yesterday ties the daily record, and is one of the hottest readings for the month ( Nov. ) They also broke this morning's low w/ a low of only 68F.. Old record was 66F. May break tomorrow mornings record as well. Forecast is 68F,  Record is 64F.  Stays in the 90s the rest of the week before another big cool down arrives over the weekend.. Goes from the low 90s Friday to the low 70s/ high 60s over the weekend. Monday may only reach 60F.

Lows also crash to the mid/low 40s to start next week. Warms again later on but this particular cool down may finally slam the door shut on any more upper 80/low 90 deg highs for the remainder of the year, or so it appears, for now at least. 

Rain/snow??.. we'll see.. Some model runs suggest a little of both, others keep most of the state dry.. We'll also see if any more early season 30 lows lie ahead.  Regardless, overall, western part of the country looks to be heading into a more active 10-15 day period spurred by remnant tropical storm energy in the west Pacific, traveling north and east across the rest of the Pacific.

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wase471111

some moisture of ANY sort would really be nice in Phoenix now..:D

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Silas_Sancona
3 minutes ago, wase471111 said:

some moisture of ANY sort would really be nice in Phoenix now..:D

Believe it or not but there was a quick shower/ couple rumbles just east/southeast of town this morning..  Crossing my fingers we get something/anything next week. 96F here in Chandler atm.. Crazy for November.

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wase471111

yeah, I saw there was some rain there; I'm near lake pleasant/Jomax road and we had nothing but a few clouds..

I have several new palms that I would love to be able to taste what REAL rain water is like, instead of the stuff from the hose/drippers. 

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GottmitAlex

November 4th, 2020 2:00PM PST  

83F.  

20201104_142157.jpg

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GottmitAlex

Last picture of the season. 75F evening.

Nov/4/2020 5:30pm PST

They're calling for 90's for tomorrow.

 

 

16045393992389005438089949068303.jpg

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NorCalKing

Might be the last one of these days for a while. They are calling for a cool down here in NorCal.

Screen Shot 2020-11-05 at 4.14.21 PM.png

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Silas_Sancona

It may be November 5th.. but the " Crazy 2020 weather streak " continues, at least for another day..

These tweets sums up today.. Can see all the records broken -today- in the 1st tweet as well.  Some neighborhood stations here in Chandler, around Mesa and Tempe managed 1-3 deg higher between 2-4pm.

 

70s tonight as clouds roll in ( likely setting overnight records ), back in the 90s tomorrow.. then a 30-35deg drop by Monday as back to back storms sweep through.  Still not certain we see much ( if any ) rain here but the mountains/rim should see a few inches to a foot of snow. Back to the low 70s later next week..


We'll see if if we squeeze in any more 2020 weather craziness before the year is finally over.

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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enigma99

Hot weather for weeks is finally over. 58F now at 1:30. Calling for a high of 60 with some cold mornings next few days

Edited by enigma99

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cm05

Upper 70’s to 80 for the past couple of days, lows in the 40’s.

Not common for November in NY, but I’ll gladly take it.

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Silas_Sancona

A little chilly today.. low/mid 60s was it for Phoenix and the Low Deserts around AZ.. No rain here but Rim/Mountains did see some Snow.  After a night or two in the high 30s, low/mid 40s,  its back to the 70s/low 80s starting Wednesday- start of next week. While a relatively active pattern looks to continue bringing rain/snow chances to the Pac. N.W./ parts of CA from time to time, nothing looks like it will bring much / any rain south to S. Cal/ most of AZ. for at least another week. For now anyway.

On a side note, while i'm not posting them this month, monthly update from the CPC -of the NMME models- is out to analyze. Most of the models in their data set still look pretty warm  and dry ( esp. here )

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LouisvillePalmer

Louisville, KY

11/11/2020

3:47 P.M. (EST)

61 Fahrenheit 

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greysrigging

Been a horrible nights sleep ! This at 1.00am this morning !
124190775_10158976357102764_5248907601585650095_n.jpg.893b2db14d0b164d9a8d66f809e5f204.jpg
But a nice little storm cooled things down briefly.
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Edited by greysrigging

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Tyrone
2 hours ago, greysrigging said:

Been a horrible nights sleep ! This at 1.00am this morning !
124190775_10158976357102764_5248907601585650095_n.jpg.893b2db14d0b164d9a8d66f809e5f204.jpg
But a nice little storm cooled things down briefly.
125078613_10158976437267764_5524056734514631918_n.jpg.d2d4e4e04b5b8097215cae58c17215f4.jpg

Wow. Total foreign temps to this area.

We ripped our air con out last year as we never use it. You couldn’t survive in those temps without air con. You gotta sleep or things start to break after a while.

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Tyrone

12.8 C and 75% RH at 7.20am this morning. 

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Silas_Sancona

After a pretty chilly start ( bottomed out at 40F in the neighborhood ), nice afternoon spent in the lower 70s.. Perfect for another trip out yonder to get more gravel and boulder hop.

Trend is up the rest of the week. Crazy as it sounds, may flirt with 90F sometime between Tuesday-Thursday next week.. 85-88F is what is currently forecast starting Monday but possible highs get boosted a degree or two by the time Monday arrives. Regardless, a couple days could break daily records. 2020, ..continues being 2020, lol

Great day for a walk, and quiet reflection for those who fought for everyone's right to wide open spaces.
1793017958_DSC09886(2).JPG.3b16aefdf885728071fbec57e1998bf1.JPG

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