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What is your current yard temperature?


GottmitAlex

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93F ..at 9:03AM  On the way to 106-109F later...  Could be the " coolest " day for several..

Regarding this weekend's nuke fest season opener?

Current WxU forecast:


2060630738_Screenshot2022-06-07at09-13-46ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.2f005cdc546a1c41e2ebf593d14f5889.png

Current point n' click NOAA for this part of town:

87116844_Screenshot2022-06-07at09-07-457-DayForecast33.29N111_86W.thumb.png.f3de1cf7f24e4f439862e9c308829bb6.png

Pretty much everyone's  getting cooked.. Not surprised at all if these turn hot pink ( = Excessive Heat Warning ) with the " watch " area expanded state- wide  in the next day or two..

735912624_Screenshot2022-06-07at09-09-15NWSPhoenix.png.d5a3e5535af1c0bb3855c5cc428c156b.png

Then there's this, from one of our trusted forecast Gurus:  Hard to see on the screen capture, but yes..  that is 118F suggested by the WRF GFS  for Saturday ( ..and 112-115F for Tucson as well )  ...Yuck is right, lol.

1311410687_Screenshot2022-06-07at09-14-25MikeLeuthold(@1074j)_Twitter.png.b7acee532b115eab6c17d77a7ff6ef7b.png


Could both the locall NWS office and current Wx Underground forecasts be under estimating the heat a bit? Have to watch for changes thru the rest of the week..  Will shatter long standing records if we exceed the rounded out # of 114F on Saturday regardless.

One thing is certain: we'll find out soon enough. :blink:  *** As was the case last year, ALL popular hiking trails in Phoenix will be CLOSED 10am-5pm once the excessive heat watch is upgraded to a warning..***

Regardless don't be a dummy / " that Dude / Dudette ", hang in a pool,  not out on the trails..



Still a chance for some scattered, dry, high- based thunderstorm activity over the eastern mountains / S.E. AZ, and New Mexico thru the end of the week / possibly into the weekend as well as a Upper Level disturbance moves north / northwest from Southern Baja.  We'll see if -any- activity makes it further west across the Rim / N.W. AZ, or into any lower elevation areas near the mountains here or near Tucson.  As is the case w/ pre- monsoon season storm activity, Lightning sparked fires are the biggest threat everyone will be watching for.

Could also see  Dew Points flirt with 50deg at times Thursday- Sat. as well.. Just to add some extra sweat to the sizzle..  

Tis' the Season, for Sizzlin'

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June 7, 2022

10:15 PM PST 

72F

We have a heat warning from tomorrow (8th) until Sunday (12th)

 

 

Screenshot_20220607-221434.png

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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16 hours ago, sandgroper said:

I've a feeling we may get wet tomorrow.

Screenshot_20220607-205249.png

Yes. There's an interesting circulation off to the west in the Indian Ocean. I'm glad I'm not in a boat out there. 

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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And the rain has just started falling heavy again at 11.10pm. Some wild weather is coming. 

Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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100F with 14% humidity. Roughly on our way to 104 today and 107 later in the week. Low pressure is anticipated to “cool” down to the mid 90s for a couple days this weekend. Lows in the range of the upper 60s to the mid 70s.
No sweat off my back. I’m one of the weird people who enjoy this. Spent 5 hours in the garden at 101F yesterday. :greenthumb:

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45 minutes ago, RyManUtah said:

100F with 14% humidity. Roughly on our way to 104 today and 107 later in the week. Low pressure is anticipated to “cool” down to the mid 90s for a couple days this weekend. Lows in the range of the upper 60s to the mid 70s.
No sweat off my back. I’m one of the weird people who enjoy this. Spent 5 hours in the garden at 101F yesterday. :greenthumb:

Love it as well. Far better than only reaching 65 or 70F all  summer..   The tough part is.. a few hours out in 104F+ heat / low humidity just doesn't love me back, lol.. 

Evenings and mornings this time of year can't get any better though.

Edited by Silas_Sancona
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22 minutes ago, Silas_Sancona said:

Love it as well. Far better than only reaching 65 or 70F all  summer..   The tough part is.. a few hours out in 104F+ heat / low humidity just doesn't love me back, lol.. 

Evenings and mornings this time of year can't get any better though.

 ..While just today's " suggested " forecast, Something to keep an eye on ".. Enhanced " percip. %'age chances across the southwest esp...  Keep in mind,  overall forecast confidence is only 3 out of 5 in both outlooks at this moment.  Hopeful signs for sure though.

More
  interested to see what this week's 3-4 week outlook looks like on Friday.

6-10 day:


1284136546_Screenshot2022-06-08at13-16-13ClimatePredictionCenter-6to10DayOutlooks.thumb.png.a810946421fd407861e0af7d62a83071.png

8-14Day:

1747253416_Screenshot2022-06-08at13-15-17ClimatePredictionCenter-8to14DayOutlooks.thumb.png.1ed41cd966c329d45cf5393fdf5d771c.png

A tidbit from the Albuquerque  NWS, and UofA Professor of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences Christopher L. Castro on Monday:  Again, hopeful hints, ..but not a sure bet,  -yet -

1506980972_Screenshot2022-06-07at12-18-33ChristopherL.Castro(@CLCastro1974)_Twitter.png.e390cf0ed776d5d519ccfd26bbd9511f.png

..And a note from our buddy,  The Tucson Monsoon.. Back on the 3rd. :D

1065397380_Screenshot2022-06-08at13-34-26TheTucsonMonsoononTwitter.png.4f794ae8f3fb8e03e76de920ff9fb45f.png



....104F ..on the way to 107-109 later this afternoon.. A touch of extra moisture in the air as well.  Tucson? Keep an eye on the mountains today and tomorrow.

 

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98F as the sunsets after hitting 108 ..under high, thin cloud cover.. Dew points had dropped a little but can feel that slight boost in moisture when outside a few minutes ago..

Soo close..  Could be a little more interesting along the border / up in the mountains tomorrow.  Not sure most forecasts thought bigger storms in Mexico would get so close to the border today. 

COD Natural Color imagery from the season's first good attempt at a monsoon season surge down south..  Chandler/ southern edge of the East valley are located where the Orange text is in the image.


CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-Baja-truecolor-02_11Z-20220609_counties-map-glm_flash_-100-1n-10-100.thumb.gif.a08fe607c8b3eaaaf95d7c90d9e58087.gif

A note about the coming weekend.. As hot as it will be during the day, we could set record lows as well.. Some forecasts call for Phoenix to not drop below 87F sometime between Friday and Sunday.. Just a bit early this year, lol.

 

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The past 2 days have reached 23C / 74F in London. Expecting the same again today. It’s not particularly warm, but it’s not cold either. Just above room temperature, so I can’t really complain for early June at 51N. The best weather is obviously yet to come though.

2D9CDBC1-7003-4F51-A4DF-474D66EB8C06.thumb.jpeg.5aa2a08ce0565d1cfb604ce78449a16e.jpeg


GFS is predicting 36-37C / 97-99F in London next Friday. Hopefully it verifies, but it more than likely won’t. We will probably still get close to 32C / 90F though, at least I hope. While this year in general has been above average and pretty mild, there has been a notable absence of proper heat so far, similar to last year. I haven’t recorded anything above 28C / 82F so far. That could change in 7-8 days time as a plume of hot air comes up from North Africa…

E82F215A-CA46-48EB-B7E9-97618829967D.thumb.jpeg.bc96ba556901e6151cedca88b112bf78.jpeg

7EAA6DB0-8431-4C74-BD02-9EA5B3A8363A.png.8abf7fe7a2b04991ceada443782cebcd.png


The first ensemble run on GFS is predicting 37C / 99F in central London next Friday!? I’ll believe it when I see it. Most GFS ensembles predicting quite intense heatwave conditions. Why does GFS torment us like this… :rolleyes:

F437B1BB-43BE-41EB-BD93-2293447A2CF4.png.2ed12f959b4ae5c2545db60f52dce1ca.png

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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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107F w/ a 47deg Dew Point at 1:44PM MST

Continued good signals for an early start to Monsoon '22 in the extended forecasts.. Though, to keep everything balanced,  Confidence level is still 3 out of 5.

That said, Can't recall when i have seen 60-80% Precip. possibilities  suggested for this area for mid/ late June since i have been here..


204439532_Screenshot2022-06-09at13-40-33610prcp_new.gif(GIFImage33002550pixels)Scaled(25).png.4423b3e9e87cfa3ad12177af0db72570.png



1455934029_Screenshot2022-06-09at13-41-16814prcp_new.gif(GIFImage33002550pixels)Scaled(25).png.230ff1289573be4680d762e94a64c912.png

That said, some interesting thoughts in the 10AM discussion from our local NWS Office. 

1860685204_Screenshot2022-06-09at13-50-00NWSProductView.png.78bb86b05c6a81c83fcd9836ea680ec0.png

Hints in the current extended from Wx Underground too..

1353887149_Screenshot2022-06-09at13-42-49ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.e7d8c9ac0ceb9597bfa7390a6c4afb63.png

We'll see how well this does.. ~ ..or does not ~  come together next week..

Meanwhile, stay cool and get any hikes completed early this weekend ..Don't put the health and livelihoods of first responders in jeopardy due to intentional disregard for the rules.

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My June temp highs range from about 24 C (75F) to around 35 C (95 F.).  It's been fairly wet here in NJ, so I suspect record highs will not occur this month as the ground is quite wet.

UK_Palms, I am shocked by how low your annual precipitation is! I knew that it was a false stereotype that it rains constantly in England, but 18.7 inches?! My average rainfall in NJ is 47 inches, but recent years have been averaging MUCH more (50-60 inches), sometimes much more.  And it's not seasonal, so it can come in any season, but especially, in recent years from August-October, hurricane season. Last summer was both wetter and hotter than normal for me. Flooding has been getting much worse and more frequent, and people are definitely noticing THAT more than the gradually warming temps, as it involves repeatedly flooded basements and rising water tables. And all this as the West is facing increasing desertification.

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

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Just like yesterday morning it's pretty damn cold here in S E Qld @ 7.15am.   My thermometer says 1.9C at the moment.

 

ghPquzP.jpg

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40 minutes ago, steve99 said:

Just like yesterday morning it's pretty damn cold here in S E Qld @ 7.15am.   My thermometer says 1.9C at the moment.

 

ghPquzP.jpg

Dang!

5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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June 9th 2022,. 3:00PM pst 

34C/ 93.2F

 

 

 

 

 

IMG_20220609_145925_1_copy_2592x4608.jpg

5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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IMG_20220609_154112_1_copy_4608x2592.jpg

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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1 hour ago, steve99 said:

Just like yesterday morning it's pretty damn cold here in S E Qld @ 7.15am.   My thermometer says 1.9C at the moment.

 

ghPquzP.jpg

That’s cold for you guys.

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Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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17c/62.6f currently at 1.50am in London weather in low 20s during the day. Weather next week looks better 150156553_Screenshot_20220610-014735185(1).thumb.jpg.08247e96a6aa2a6064fab31ed42f2333.jpg

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4 hours ago, oasis371 said:

My June temp highs range from about 24 C (75F) to around 35 C (95 F.).  It's been fairly wet here in NJ, so I suspect record highs will not occur this month as the ground is quite wet.

UK_Palms, I am shocked by how low your annual precipitation is! I knew that it was a false stereotype that it rains constantly in England, but 18.7 inches?! My average rainfall in NJ is 47 inches, but recent years have been averaging MUCH more (50-60 inches), sometimes much more.  And it's not seasonal, so it can come in any season, but especially, in recent years from August-October, hurricane season. Last summer was both wetter and hotter than normal for me. Flooding has been getting much worse and more frequent, and people are definitely noticing THAT more than the gradually warming temps, as it involves repeatedly flooded basements and rising water tables. And all this as the West is facing increasing desertification.

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

The south east of the UK is pretty dry but on average the UK gets about 40 inches of rain 

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Oh gosh. Even though we're going through a 4 - day heat wave, I love these 74F nights!

 

June 9th,  2022, 11:02 PM , PST

 

5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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We had around 7.5mm of rain overnight, a minimum around 11.5C and between the odd showers during the day a max that almost hit 20C. I will take that in June. More rain on the way. 

Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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11 hours ago, oasis371 said:

My June temp highs range from about 24 C (75F) to around 35 C (95 F.).  It's been fairly wet here in NJ, so I suspect record highs will not occur this month as the ground is quite wet.

UK_Palms, I am shocked by how low your annual precipitation is! I knew that it was a false stereotype that it rains constantly in England, but 18.7 inches?! My average rainfall in NJ is 47 inches, but recent years have been averaging MUCH more (50-60 inches), sometimes much more.  And it's not seasonal, so it can come in any season, but especially, in recent years from August-October, hurricane season. Last summer was both wetter and hotter than normal for me. Flooding has been getting much worse and more frequent, and people are definitely noticing THAT more than the gradually warming temps, as it involves repeatedly flooded basements and rising water tables. And all this as the West is facing increasing desertification.

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

18 inches is an exaggeration where he is located gets an average of 27 inches of rain a year no where in the uk has an average of 18 inches 

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1 hour ago, Samuel said:

18 inches is an exaggeration where he is located gets an average of 27 inches of rain a year no where in the uk has an average of 18 inches 

London gets about 23 inches of rain not sure about there but so far  this year though at Heathrow airport there has been only 4.9 inches of rain. Can't find how much rainfall for central London this year but probably nearly the same 

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1 hour ago, Foxpalms said:

London gets about 23 inches of rain not sure about there but so far  this year though at Heathrow airport there has been only 4.9 inches of rain. Can't find how much rainfall for central London this year but probably nearly the same 

Yes that’s about right has been a dry first half of the year most of southern England gets around 600-800 mm rain a year which isn’t to bad but we have a high number or cloudy/damp days that gives the illusion that it’s wetter 

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46 minutes ago, Samuel said:

18 inches is an exaggeration where he is located gets an average of 27 inches of rain a year no where in the uk has an average of 18 inches 

The London average is only 18 - 24 inches and some parts of east London average as little as 17-18 inches. Much less than many Mediterranean regions. Some parts of southeastern England have only recorded 4 inches so far this year and we’re nearly halfway through the year. I have been recording rainfall for the past 8 years now and only one year has ever reached 27 inches here. The average in my location is about 19 inches and I had as little as 16 inches here back in 2018 @oasis371

 

1 hour ago, Foxpalms said:

London gets about 23 inches of rain not sure about there but so far  this year though at Heathrow airport there has been only 4.9 inches of rain. Can't find how much rainfall for central London this year but probably nearly the same 

So the Met station at Heathrow hasn’t even recorded 5 inches of rainfall yet this year. Other stations in the southeast will be even drier. There doesn’t appear to be much rainfall in the forecast and June was supposed to be the wetter summer month due to La Niña. They have been calling for a dry July & August. Will a warm-summer Med pattern lock in? The BBC forecast is getting hotter as we get closer. Still a week or so away yet. It’s currently 24C / 75F and sunny in London at 2pm. Rather pleasant. 
 

E95E62FA-087C-4326-B1D5-45C49A13C54D.jpeg.a2c3244e64be1bac2087356378d2fc55.jpeg


ECMWF (Euro) model now has 24-25C isotherms at 850hPw which would translate to about 37C / 100F this close to the solstice in London next Saturday.

6131E722-09B3-4C72-8976-2388C858EC28.png.8390ae8ae3b92bef3e48fc5398bf072b.png


The Canadian model currently has 35C / 95F at 9am in East Anglia and 32C / 90F in London at 9am. Absolute madness for mid-June. That day would exceed 40C / 104F under clear skies. It won’t happen. Again the chart below is 9am temps!

2D2B0831-DB57-4DB8-9002-4BD470DA071A.png.940ba26b23d9e8e9c60e32921a691b44.png


The Japanese (JMA) model is now on board too for a big burst of heat in Western Europe.

40A548DD-18DE-4292-BF9D-77B95EBCEFBE.png.09130cb46c9271609e04d53e7b6432af.png
 

ECMWF looking very similar. France is going to get roasted. Probably a red flag for temperatures in the PNW as well moving forward.

60130723-1954-4A45-9C8E-2F9C920ED832.png.34cd490d1415635d230af8206c34d398.png

 

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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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108F on the way to 111-113 later.. Dew point currently at 50 deg, after starting out at 56 this morning. Definitely a bit stuffy out there atm.  Clear now, but some storms already starting to get themselves together up in the mountains east of the valley, and down across the southern part of the state.. Not expecting anything here, though maybe a late night breeze picking up a little dust from outflows / some debris clouds from dying storms later.  Bigger concern today, and for as long as moisture lingers up there the rest of the weekend is fire starts from lightning.. Current time frame is the most critical time of the year for such events.


Today's thoughts on the 6-10, 8-14,  and 3 week updates: 

Strong signal continues for a robust opening act to Monsoon season '22 still in the offing in both outlooks.. While HIGHLY unlikely, was mentioned this morning that some forecast model members used by the local NWS are spitting out potential rainfall totals in the .50 -1" range for Phoenix late next week..  Highly unlikely.. but interesting...  .02" is average. 

last time Phoenix saw 1" / 1"+ of rain in June was wayy  back in 1972  ( 1.64" in June that year )  If   things come together as suggested, more than likely, we'll see something like last year where most areas, ~in the low desert at least~, see .03" - .08" of rain..  That said, you never know..


60912341_Screenshot2022-06-10at12-43-01ClimatePredictionCenter-6to10DayOutlooks.thumb.png.de54be7f707f1ffd5202b046ee66b9ab.png


1287524602_Screenshot2022-06-10at12-44-22ClimatePredictionCenter-8to14DayOutlooks.thumb.png.092852f76a226f18a83d4a96584025e6.png

3 week looks good too, though it would be nice if we could expand the 60+% chances a little further west ..and the 50+% category into S.Cal.  We'll see how it looks next week..

977318542_Screenshot2022-06-10at12-46-31ClimatePredictionCenter-Week3-4Outlook.png.e0029b2b01bc4a9292cb49ab6a8978b9.png


Suggested, potential Monsoon season opener next weekend should also temper the desert heat beast  (  ..reining it in a bit at least )  while pushing dew points close to ..or just over  60% at times..

Current 10 day for Chandler..


1584109329_Screenshot2022-06-10at12-45-05ChandlerAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.87a6627c70f6bffc8db340777c3dccbd.png

Current 10 day for Tucson, Neighborhood Wx station on the north side of town at least.

1725734258_Screenshot2022-06-10at13-31-01TucsonAZ10-DayWeatherForecastWeatherUnderground.png.baacc6cf277677798818900684567421.png

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11 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

The London average is only 18 - 24 inches and some parts of east London average as little as 17-18 inches. Much less than many Mediterranean regions. Some parts of southeastern England have only recorded 4 inches so far this year and we’re nearly halfway through the year. I have been recording rainfall for the past 8 years now and only one year has ever reached 27 inches here. The average in my location is about 19 inches and I had as little as 16 inches here back in 2018 @oasis371

 

So the Met station at Heathrow hasn’t even recorded 5 inches of rainfall yet this year. Other stations in the southeast will be even drier. There doesn’t appear to be much rainfall in the forecast and June was supposed to be the wetter summer month due to La Niña. They have been calling for a dry July & August. Will a warm-summer Med pattern lock in? The BBC forecast is getting hotter as we get closer. Still a week or so away yet. It’s currently 24C / 75F and sunny in London at 2pm. Rather pleasant. 
 

E95E62FA-087C-4326-B1D5-45C49A13C54D.jpeg.a2c3244e64be1bac2087356378d2fc55.jpeg


ECMWF (Euro) model now has 24-25C isotherms at 850hPw which would translate to about 37C / 100F this close to the solstice in London next Saturday.

6131E722-09B3-4C72-8976-2388C858EC28.png.8390ae8ae3b92bef3e48fc5398bf072b.png


The Canadian model currently has 35C / 95F at 9am in East Anglia and 32C / 90F in London at 9am. Absolute madness for mid-June. That day would exceed 40C / 104F under clear skies. It won’t happen. Again the chart below is 9am temps!

2D2B0831-DB57-4DB8-9002-4BD470DA071A.png.940ba26b23d9e8e9c60e32921a691b44.png


The Japanese (JMA) model is now on board too for a big burst of heat in Western Europe.

40A548DD-18DE-4292-BF9D-77B95EBCEFBE.png.09130cb46c9271609e04d53e7b6432af.png
 

ECMWF looking very similar. France is going to get roasted. Probably a red flag for temperatures in the PNW as well moving forward.

60130723-1954-4A45-9C8E-2F9C920ED832.png.34cd490d1415635d230af8206c34d398.png

 

BBC forecast has gone up again 

Screenshot_20220611-014520458 (1).jpg

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109 at 6:51 after reaching 113F a few hours ago.. 84-86F overnight..  113-115F tomorrow as this heatwave peaks..  As anticipated, Phoenix broke their high temp. record of 111 with a reading of 113F today. Old record was set back in 1978.


Late Afternoon COD True Color Satellite view:  I see you Tucson! haha.. 

Some sweet relief from the heat in various spots up in the high country, inc. Flagstaff  today as well.  No reports of any fire starts as well.  Maybe some more activity up there tomorrow before this moisture surge moves out of the state  ..as attention turns towards the next one on the horizon.


CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-Desert_SW-truecolor-01_31Z-20220611_counties-map-glm_flash_-100-1n-10-100.thumb.gif.76b2626affdce699bad4d2cdc60f8712.gif

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Well today was quite a warm and even muggy winters day. A minimum of 12.8C max of 20.2C dewpoints peaked at 16.5C a bit of drizzle towards the late arvo. UV index peaked at 6 and you couldn’t wear a jumper in the sun. I was doing a bit of heavy work in shade and was working up a sweat. We get colder days in summer sometimes. Being so close to the winter solstice this sort of weather doesn’t feel right. 

Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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@Foxpalms It's going to keep going up as we get closer to next weekend. I think the BBC forecasted temperatures are still on the conservative side of estimates, given the strength of the plume, it's isotherms and it's proximity to the solstice. Really long days now at this latitude to maximise solar heating. A clear absence of rainfall in the forecast too.

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June is the only summer month that hasn't reached 100F in London. The June record has stood for 65 years now. Whatever happens, western Europe is going to get roasted. Potentially 115F+ in Spain. 110F+ in France. Maybe 100F in London. I think it's time, and long-overdue, for that long-standing June record to go. Records will be broken across western Europe either way.

Remote possibility of the UK's all time temperature record falling, given the proximity to the solstice for solar heating. Cambridge Botanic Garden holds the UK temperature record of 38.7C. It will be hard to beat this early on in the season, but not impossible. The latest ECMWF and GFS runs would have 100F at Heathrow or Kew probably. Possibly even 105F in Paris. 

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Even if we don't get as hot as the models suggest here, Spain and France are going to get incinerated still. The earliest major heat wave/blast on record with 45C / 115F possible even in France. Certainly one to watch.

Edited by UK_Palms
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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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Well you don’t often see this but the forecast for Perth tomorrow is 13C min 20C max and for my place 3 degrees further south the forecast is 13C min 20C max. Exactly the same. It’s balmy out there tonight and I’ve let the wood fire go out. A tiger snake was also seen on the road outside my place today. If winter keeps this up it will be awesome. 

Millbrook, "Kinjarling" Noongar word meaning "Place of Rain", Rainbow Coast, Western Australia 35S. Warm temperate. Csb Koeppen Climate classification. Cool nights all year round.

 

 

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3 hours ago, UK_Palms said:

@Foxpalms It's going to keep going up as we get closer to next weekend. I think the BBC forecasted temperatures are still on the conservative side of estimates, given the strength of the plume, it's isotherms and it's proximity to the solstice. Really long days now at this latitude to maximise solar heating. A clear absence of rainfall in the forecast too.

1578241434_Screenshot2022-06-11at10_28_09.thumb.png.31db49dded657d17ae2d63cdf9ebadaa.png

 

June is the only summer month that hasn't reached 100F in London. The June record has stood for 65 years now. Whatever happens, western Europe is going to get roasted. Potentially 115F+ in Spain. 110F+ in France. Maybe 100F in London. I think it's time, and long-overdue, for that long-standing June record to go. Records will be broken across western Europe either way.

Remote possibility of the UK's all time temperature record falling, given the proximity to the solstice for solar heating. Cambridge Botanic Garden holds the UK temperature record of 38.7C. It will be hard to beat this early on in the season, but not impossible. The latest ECMWF and GFS runs would have 100F at Heathrow or Kew probably. Possibly even 105F in Paris. 

FU9iod5WUAAaQVy.jpg.5d0b66b4c56afb6defd1f3860acf6b22.jpg

CB5BFB91-DDEF-4EA0-B1F6-0C4D5AC8C00F.png.16238bcb7d34cf693a7afa7c2f8aff85.png

FU6UxHRXoAAfcAc.jpg.edbfd2adecc627d232a41f73c3a83c6f.jpg

 

Even if we don't get as hot as the models suggest here, Spain and France are going to get incinerated still. The earliest major heat wave/blast on record with 45C / 115F possible even in France. Certainly one to watch.

It’s looks incredibly hot for Europe next week whether we get 32+ here in southern England is the big question to answer I’d guess we will probably scrape 30c but I don’t think any records will be broken here the low pressure out west cuts the heat off very quickly and with it being so near to us we will probably have clouds around which will cap temperatures 

Edited by Samuel
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Just now, Samuel said:

It’s looks incredibly hot for Europe next week whether we get 32+ here in southern England is the big question to answer I’d guess we will probably scrape 30c but I don’t think any records will be broken here the low pressure put west cuts the heat off very quickly and with it being so near to us we will probably have clouds around which will cap temperatures 

GFS still has 37C / 100F in London on Friday, which is 6 days away. Other models suggest a cooler max of 32-35C / 90-95F. 

1540284165_Screenshot2022-06-11at16_23_47.thumb.png.4241a54e9cb0be132ff8404ca3ee93db.png

 

GFS has Paris down for 39C / 102F on Friday...

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I don't think I have ever seen a setup like this in early summer before... :bemused: 

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Dry-summer Oceanic climate (9a)

Average annual precipitation - 18.7 inches : Average annual sunshine hours - 1725

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112F at 2pm..

Some other readings around the east valley atm.. Note the higher ones..  Phoenix is a deg from tying a record set back in the early 1900's..  Will they do it?  Can i hit 115F as well? ..Well know in an hour or so.


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Hot enough, but still manageable in T- town..

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Regardless, life outside today / rest of the weekend  is ..... Stay cool..

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It is very interesting to observe just how hot the temperature gets in the desert regions, including but not limited to Death Valley/ Furnace Creek, which yesterday recorded 119 degrees Fahrenheit. In virtually all of these locations, however, the the “Feel Like”temperature in these regions is actually lower than the temperature itself because of the low humidity and dewpoints.

Roll down to Rio Grande City, Tx., which reports a 103.8°F temperature with a dewpoint of 87.3°F and humidity at 60% for a “Feel Like” temperature of 143.9F!

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What you look for is what is looking

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Currently very comfortable outside if you don't mind the much needed rain.

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Lakeland, FL

USDA Zone 1990: 9a  2012: 9b  2023: 10a | Sunset Zone: 26 | Record Low: 20F/-6.67C (Jan. 1985, Dec.1962) | Record Low USDA Zone: 9a

30-Year Avg. Low: 30F | 30-year Min: 24F

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Not a lot of palms growing in and around Orange, NSW ( Australia's snowiest city ). Been a cold winter so far in south eastern Australia.
IS6IUd0.jpg

Fortunately I live in Darwin, and we've had 3 days of winter ie, 3 mornings below 20c.  looks like winter is over and we've got some heat in te forecast later in the week.
dCIsYIe.jpg

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IMG_20220611_171703_1_copy_2000x1125.jpg

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5 year high 42.2C/108F (07/06/2018)--5 year low 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)--Lowest recent/current winter: 4.6C/40.3F (1/19/2023)

 

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