BUY BUY BUY

[trioderob]

MONDAY SHOULD BE A BIG DOWN DAY

[Moose]

MONDAY SHOULD BE A BIG DOWN DAY

Here is my prediction - these will sell like hotcakes

[trioderob]

is everyone having fun ?

[paulgila]

how was monday? was it "BIG" & "DOWN?"

[MattyB]

Don't feed the bears Paul. oh, hey, that's an unintended stock market pun too. I amuse me.

[paulgila]

i am glad someone is amused by you,even if it is only you.

[trioderob]

do I make you nervous ?

just keep buying - the top is not in !

Edited January 21, 2013 by trioderob

[paulgila]

i find it curious that you think anyone would just take your advice with no proof that you have any idea what you're talking about.

[trioderob]

on tuesday you will have your proof

[paulgila]

oh brother

[Moose]

on tuesday you will have your proof

With the pending crash you so vehemently predicted? Hmmmmm

At least my prediction was accurate - these are selling like hotcakes

[trioderob]

Moose-

get over it already -

I made a real time "buy call" on this forum - which way has the market gone ?

things change - and you have to be able to switch directions on a dime

stop harping on an older post

you are so confident in what you think you know- that you can not change

i can

Edited January 21, 2013 by trioderob

[Vincent]

Money moves fast these days- mostly out of my pocket. If you can quickly figure out where the flock is going you can get a little; not be quick enough and it is flock you. What could be ideal one moment can be a flash crash the next. Goldman Sach says sell gold it will be under $500 and 8 days later they say buy. At least at the casino you get free drinks and a pretty girl to look at.

[Moose]

Moose-

get over it already -

I made a real time "buy call" on this forum - which way has the market gone ?

things change - and you have to be able to switch directions on a dime

stop harping on an older post

you are so confident in what you think you know- that you can not change

i can

get over it already - Rob, you resurrected this thread not I

I made a real time "buy call" on this forum - which way has the market gone ? - After your Crash call ?

stop harping on an older post - its called a past precedence, a history of your predictions

you are so confident in what you think you know- that you can not change - now you are predicting what I am confident in and having no ability to adapt from 3,000 miles away

i can - possibly not, an admission of "blowng the Crash Call" has not been forecoming from you

[trioderob]

ok we moved up as i predicted and its been a very nice run the last few weeks

here is where it gets interesting

everyone is all "bulled up " -the

combination of excessive leverage and extremely low cash reserve ratios has set the stage for an extraordinary reversal of price and sentiment - very little money is in rydex bear funds - everyone thinks happy days are here again

the japanese market looks to have topped

have we topped too?

not sure - but this is now a dangerous time - lots of moola to be made - but the risk is very high too now

might not be a bad time to take profit if you are weak at heart

MOOSE and Paul

any comments/criticisms/questions/complaints ????

[paulgila]

i'm sorry,were you talking? i wasn't listening & never will be.

[trioderob]

Paul-

glad to hear from you.

keep an eye on Japan - they are VERY important right now.

they just made an "all or nothing move" they threw a hail Mary.

this is not a market to get too comfortable - we are in a nice trend because the printing presses are cranking around the world.

it not clear if this will end well.

stay on your toes.

Moose- you still out there bro ?

Edited January 22, 2013 by trioderob

[paulgila]

[paulgila]

any freeze damage,triode?

[spockvr6]

All this is interesting.....and why guys like me just go to Vanguard for things like VGSTX!

[trioderob]

any freeze damage,triode?

yes-

more than I thought at first - not fun

the dypsis black stem got fried - not fatal- but close

you are in lolando and i am in midlando

on second thought we would have been better buying in hilando

Edited January 22, 2013 by trioderob

[Bags]

All this is interesting.....and why guys like me just go to Vanguard for things like VGSTX!

Probably the best way to go anyways. While it is fun to dabble in individual stocks, the more you look into stock investing the more it becomes clear that basic low fee, low turnover index funds are the way to go. Over time VERY FEW investors can beat them. The Vangaurd total stock market, total international stock market and total bond index are really all anyone needs.

[spockvr6]

All this is interesting.....and why guys like me just go to Vanguard for things like VGSTX!

Probably the best way to go anyways. While it is fun to dabble in individual stocks, the more you look into stock investing the more it becomes clear that basic low fee, low turnover index funds are the way to go. Over time VERY FEW investors can beat them. The Vangaurd total stock market, total international stock market and total bond index are really all anyone needs.

Yes......0.34% load and ~9.6% return (fee adjusted) over its life (since 1985). Its not going to make anyone a billionaire overnight, but these days thats a pretty solid, safe return especially for someone who pretty much just wants to buy one thing. Little to no thinking or emotion involved.....which is what usually messes our decisions up in the first place.

[trioderob]

Google knocked it out of the park after hours.

trend should keep going for awhile

[Bags]

What a bout Apple Rob? I think their numbers are going to be huge. I say that only because I own some

[trioderob]

Apple is a market leader because it is a large % of the market.

that one has traders from all around the world looking at.

there are some positives and negatives - I think it comes down to this subject here:

http://www.upi.com/Science_News/Technology/2013/01/22/Bigger-iPhone-Maybe-not-this-year/UPI-15661358891516/

so -

do they come out with a large phone which is the new trend for young people ?

do they come out with a very cheap phone for China?

do they make a mini phone ?

will Apple TV be a hit ?

you tell me !

Edited January 22, 2013 by trioderob

[Bags]

All this is interesting.....and why guys like me just go to Vanguard for things like VGSTX!

Probably the best way to go anyways. While it is fun to dabble in individual stocks, the more you look into stock investing the more it becomes clear that basic low fee, low turnover index funds are the way to go. Over time VERY FEW investors can beat them. The Vangaurd total stock market, total international stock market and total bond index are really all anyone needs.

Yes......0.34% load and ~9.6% return (fee adjusted) over its life (since 1985). Its not going to make anyone a billionaire overnight, but these days thats a pretty solid, safe return especially for someone who pretty much just wants to buy one thing. Little to no thinking or emotion involved.....which is what usually messes our decisions up in the first place.

Averaging 9.6% on your money over a long period is exactly how to get rich. Investing $5000 a year in a roth IRA for 40 years returning 9.6% gives you 2.1 million all tax free. Just an average of 1% less return gives you 1.64 million. Fees, taxes, and as you said, our emotions can eat away at your retirement quickly.

[trioderob]

things are looking "toppy" here

we are "over bought" on all time frames

[trioderob]

VIX index is crazy low - everyone is happy.

folks are sure that things are ok and the market is a safe bet - many are taking out loans to buy more stocks.

trend may go on - but this is not an ideal entry point

[trioderob]

What a bout Apple Rob? I think their numbers are going to be huge. I say that only because I own some

APPLE MISSED

down 6-7 %

but NETFIX is up 37% after hours - LOL

Edited January 23, 2013 by trioderob

[trioderob]

apple now down 10%

thats brutal

[trioderob]

now this is interesting

Apple is down 10% after hours but the markets is UP today

notice how the market never does the obvious-it tries to trick the most people it can

thats why many times the hardest trade which goes against human nature - is the correct one to make

you have to think in a cold robot like way -many times the best move is getting out right after you made a bad move.

nobody likes to do this becuase it proves you were wrong - alot of people dont wont to admit they were wrong-it makes them feel like a loser- so they hold on -only to make things worse

[MattyB]

This is my "this is too sad to stand by and watch" post.

[Bags]

[LJG]

I read all Robs post and want to thank him. I am now a millionaire.

[Bags]

now this is interesting

Apple is down 10% after hours but the markets is UP today

notice how the market never does the obvious-it tries to trick the most people it can

thats why many times the hardest trade which goes against human nature - is the correct one to make

you have to think in a cold robot like way -many times the best move is getting out right after you made a bad move.

nobody likes to do this becuase it proves you were wrong - alot of people dont wont to admit they were wrong-it makes them feel like a loser- so they hold on -only to make things worse

Who says because a stock went down it is a looser? Even though I lost tens of dollars yesterday I have no plans of selling. It is funny that a company that grew its profits by 18% and has 140 billion in cash and no debt is such a disaster. The earnings report just did not make quite as much as predicted. It only made 54.6 billion vs prediction of 54.9. What a disaster.

Check back in five years

[trioderob]

market is up 6% now from my "buy-buy-buy" call

im outta here

have fun !

Edited January 24, 2013 by trioderob

[Kim]

Just for entertainment value, when Triode made this call the DJIA was about 13,170.  At the moment it's 16,413.  Rough simple calculation (not time weighted), that's an average gain of 7.8% per year.  The S&P 500 Index was about 1412.28, now 1919.62, giving you about an 11.47% average annual return. 

It has not been a smooth ascent, but congratulations to those who stayed the course.  Good call, Triode.

Was it perfect timing for entering the market in 2012?  No. The only point that would have been higher that year was briefly in Sept. 2012 and a short period in December after his call.  The other 10 months of 2012, the markets were lower than this "BUY BUY BUY".

Interestingly, though "things (were) looking toppy here"  January 23, 2013 with the S&P 500 at approximately 1500, the index has never yet returned to that low of a level.

The comments on Apple also have some entertainment value from today's perspective.

I haven't done a full review of all these old stock market threads, just came across this at random while searching for something else.  Wishing everyone good health and prosperity.